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metafour

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Everything posted by metafour

  1. Harper has been a consistently better hitter than Vlad, and like mentioned, bleeds less value because he can play OF (a bad defensive OF is still worth much more than a bad defensive 1B). He is also consistently better as a baserunner, even though he is still negative there.
  2. Wow I didn't even realize the Orioles ruined Cedric Mullins like that smh. From 6 WAR to 0.3? He's not even 30 yet.
  3. I can make a more detailed post later, but the Athletic's Top 50 trade deadline candidates list which was released yesterday actually had Bichette at #4, above Vlad who they had at #5.
  4. Exactly. Come correct or don't come at all. Don't bring me joeblowmilbstuff.com as your "reference" for our apparently last place farm system.
  5. Toronto's #6 prospect (Nimmala) is a better prospect than Miami's #5 prospect (Morlando - literally just drafted and a late 1st/2nd round talent who was drafted as an under slot pick with their 1st round pick). Even if injured Tiedemann is a higher likelihood of succeeding (with the same upside) as Noble Meyer who hasn't even figured out High A. I've never heard anyone ever refer to a Bleacher Report MiLB article or ranking, my guy. There is a reason for that.
  6. As I was saying, 2nd round pick Khal Stephen signs for $1.1 mill (top of the 3rd round money) and 3rd round pick Johnny King signs for $1.2 mill. The rest of the banked pool (+5%) likely goes to Messina who I'm guessing signs for ~$700K+.
  7. I always go to Bleacher Report first for my MiLB news! I legit didn't even know they had someone writing about baseball farm systems. Translation: those rankings are worth nothing. For example; how does Toronto rank behind Miami, if Miami's best prospect is Noble Meyer?
  8. The following are signed per MLB.com Transactions: 2nd round RHP Khal Stephen 4th round 3B Sean Keys 4th round OF Nick Mitchell 5th round RHP Jackson Wentworth 9th round RHP Colby Holcombe 10th round OF Carter Cunningham 11th round RHP Troy Guthrie (HS) 13th round C Brock Tibbitts 1th round 2B JR Freethy 15th round RHP Jonathan Todd https://www.mlb.com/bluejays/roster/transactions
  9. Confirmed not a punt, but slightly below-slot:
  10. Sorry, but this is idiotic and makes zero sense. There is NO draft pick that is going to "save his job". Even if this kid miraculously comes up next year; do you seriously think that a #5 starter or mid-inning relief pitcher (which is the best outcome) is going to be the difference between him keeping his job vs. being fired LOL? What, a ~0.5 fWAR rookie coming up is going to save his job? How? Why? The 2nd rounder is a kid that they like who will likely sign for under-slot, which ties into them drafting 3 HS pitchers later who are all likely to sign over-slot deals. The 12th rounder (Carson Messina) is a Top 250 ranked prospect and will command a hell of a lot more than $150K. The 3rd rounder (Johnny King) has a slot value of ~$767K for his pick, but it took the Jays $1.5 million to sign a comparable HS pitcher last year (Landen Maroudis). Do the math my guy. They have employed this same strategy before, by the way. Both Josh Kasevich (2nd round) and Alan Roden (4th round) signed for under-slot in 2022. This was done so that they could go well over-slot with Tucker Toman with their compensatory 2nd round pick. They took 3 HS pitchers with their first 13 picks - that isn't "drafting to try to save your job" (which again is impossible anyway).
  11. 12th round is way too early to be drafting kids for jokes. Its possible that they have more money saved than we expect with those first 10 picks.
  12. Grady Sizemore was an OK MLB player, but nothing to write home about. Similar to a Lourdes Gurriel today. They should have received more for Colon.
  13. Colby Holcombe in the 9th round is interesting - he is massive and has hit ~99 in the past. He was a higher ranked prospect out of JUCO and was terribad for Miss State after transferring there. Could be a guy who figures it out as an MLB reliever.
  14. Crazy thought: perhaps they just like Yesavage more. He is in fact ranked higher on almost every ranking.
  15. The "best HS pitcher" has fallen in almost every draft in recent years. This is not a popular 1st round demographic anymore. Too much risk, and more often than not there ends up being one or more HS pitchers signed in the 2nd/3rd+ round who ends up being better.
  16. 17 year old HS LHP Johnny King is the Jays' 3rd rounder.
  17. Sure, but the guy we got is ranked higher on pretty much every list. Given the number of posts on Caminiti you'd think he was ranked #5-10.
  18. Someone explain why we all wanted Caminiti? Its not like he was some universal top talent no-brainer. #16 on Prospects Live. #27 on Keith Law's list. #15 on MLB.com?
  19. Their last 3 first round picks: 1) Extreme risk HS SS with massive tools. 2) High risk HS LHP with big stuff. 3) College RHP coming off TJ surgery and a Top 10 grade pre-injury. Literally no "safe" picks among those three.
  20. Just checked LMAO: from 2014 to 2018 Carlos Carrasco had the 7th highest fWAR among starting pitchers in the entire league @ 21.0 fWAR. 1.4 fWAR below Verlander and 0.4 fWAR better than than David Price.
  21. This post is approaching single digit IQ. I'm pretty sure that Carrasco had something like three 5 fWAR seasons with Cleveland. Brantley had a 6+ fWAR season. Nothing to write home about indeed lol.
  22. Are they? They are 10 games back in their division and have a 30% probability of making the playoffs this season as of today. They would be much better off this season with Varsho in CF in place of Corbin Carroll (who has been useless). That's the funny part here - they have no production in CF this season...a season wherein they are disappointing. Moreno has been a dud this season. A defense-only catcher who is 19th in fWAR at his position. As mentioned above, Gurriel is now an overpaid replacement-level player. This Jays team sucks, but at least find something relevant to complain about. You couldn't have picked a more incorrect point to try to bring up.
  23. Nah, Norby just sucks lol.
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