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metafour

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Everything posted by metafour

  1. metafour
    The last few games he is referring to in which Fujinami pitched included one blow-out win for Baltimore, one game that went into the 10th inning, and I think in all of the games being referred to the Orioles used 4-5 relievers. I'm not sure if their starter went over 5 IP in any of those games that Fujinami pitched in. He's making it sound like they're bringing Fujinami into the 8th inning of a 1-run game after the starter pitched 7 innings. No, they're bringing him in to pitch in blowout wins, or in games wherein they literally have no choice. Just like any other team in the league would treat a wild reliever they're hoping to "develop". The extra-inning save he recorded against the Mariners was a game wherein Bautista wasn't even available to pitch. Really ground-breaking stuff by the Orioles. The Jays literally used Nate Pearson in some high-leverage situations just a few short weeks ago.
  2. metafour
    Damn bro stop triggering everyone here. We're just trying to have a good time by simping for this front office, and you have to keep rekting and triggering .
  3. metafour
    Nimmala finishes 1 for 2 with 3 BB's. Season line: .308/.571/.538 with 8 walks to 4 strikeouts. Apparently one of the guys at BA just named him as one of the most impressive players he saw this past ~week in the FCL.
  4. metafour
    Nimmala finishes 1 for 2 with 3 BB's. Season line: .308/.571/.538 with 8 walks to 4 strikeouts. Apparently one of the guys at BA just named him as one of the most impressive players he saw this past ~week in thed FCL.
  5. metafour
    Arjun Nimmala just tripled in a continuation of yesterday's rained-out game, to go along with 2 walks. He now has 7 walks in 5 games. Obviously it's wild FCL-level pitching, but it's a good sign for a 17 year old to at least show restraint.
  6. metafour
    Royals were up 5-0 on the Mariners with a dominant outing from Singer. They try to bring him out in the 8th inning at ~100 pitches and he promptly gives up a double and hits a batter. Some reliever then comes in and gives up 4 runs to make it a 1 run game. Moral of the story, if your starter is cruising, he's good to pitch the whole game!
  7. metafour
    The element of luck is vastly underrated. When the Jays traded Happ for Drury, the underlying metrics on Drury were all positive. Yet he was horrible to the point wherein they couldn't even play him any longer. He immediately started hitting with the Mets and has been a 2-3 fWAR player the past two seasons when healthy. Even Billy McKinney is posting a 109 wRC+ season as a reserve for the Yankees. So they clearly weren't wrong in their targeting of those player(s). But the timing simply didn't materialize in their favour, and therefore the return looks horrible.
  8. metafour
    But it's really not this. Did you know that Espinal makes more contact than Merrifield? O-Contact Merrifield: 72.9% Espinal: 75.4% Z-Contact Merrifield: 88.6% Espinal: 90.2% Overall Contact Merrifield: 82.4% Espinal: 84.8% We're talking very miniscule differences in swing path or pitch selection which determine hit vs. out. Espinal and Merrifield have very similar exit velocities. The main difference on the surface is that Espinal hits the ball on the ground more (particularly this season), but even last year when Espinal ran a 23% line-drive rate (Merrifield is at 24.7% this season) it only amounted to a 99 wRC+. Keep in mind that Merrifield was at 105, 90, and 88 wRC+ the three seasons prior to this one, so you can see that his BABIP-driven success is definitely not something that is consistent. He's clearly in a season wherein seemingly everything he hits seems to be falling into play.
  9. metafour
    No doubt, I'm not suggesting signing him long-term. But what Belt does well he does really well, and it's easy to see why he's been such a successful hitter over his career. To me, Merrifield is the bigger anomaly. Nothing about his profile is 'impressive'. His hidden talent is basically making good contact but with such below-average exit velocity that it loops over the infield but falls into play well before the outfield can get to it. For most other players, the balls he hits would simply go to the out-field for outs. There are a few other guys like this (eg: Steven Kwan) but it's hard to imagine Merrifield being able to keep this up at his age.
  10. metafour
    He's in the 97th percentile in walk-rate and 98th percentile in chase-rate. He is in the 81st percentile in barrell percentage. What this means is that he generally only swings at balls in the zone, and he hits them really well - which is why his BABIP is so high (although there is luck at play this season). Yes he strikes out a lot, but he also draws walks at an elite rate. It can't be "pure luck" because he's done this his whole career. He is clearly declined, but this guy put up 3.4 fWAR in under 100 games just two seasons ago with a 157 wRC+.
  11. metafour
    SMH the very next batter homers to tie it for Seattle.
  12. metafour
    OMG what a catch to save a game-tying HR by Mullins.
  13. metafour
    Cade Doughty homers for the second game in a row. Kasevich is 2 for 2 with a double.
  14. metafour
    Orelvis 4th HR in Buffalo.
  15. metafour
    Jace Bohrofen just hit his 3rd HR in 3 games in Dunedin.
  16. metafour
    Yup two meatballs. Really annoying.
  17. metafour
    What!? Cubs pulled Steele after 84 pitches and 5 innings?!
  18. metafour
    I love how he conveniently tries to dance around the fact that Gurriel hit a whopping 5 HR's in those 121 games LMAO. Had to go back to 2021 to bring up his stats
  19. metafour
    That is fWAR. Baseball Reference has his WAR at only 0.7 (Bassitt is at 1.1 bWAR for comparison). Massive massive discrepancy there. Anyone know what it is about his profile that makes Fangraphs love him in their formula? It's not like his peripherals are mind-blowing (7.49 K/9 to 2.79 BB/9). In this case bWAR seems to be more reasonable for a pitcher sitting right under 5.00 ERA.
  20. metafour
    He has two seasons of ~100-105 wRC+ hitting. He's been floating around 70-75 wRC+ this season. Go look at his AAA and AA hitting numbers. It's not a massive stretch to see him getting hot and normalizing closer to his career average, which isn't even a huge mountain in the first place (Kirk went from ~80 wRC+ to 100 in like two weeks). The whole point was that it seemed odd to conclude that he was toast for the rest of the season while he was in the middle of noticeably better hitting.
  21. metafour
    You need to learn to read a bit better. The only reason why I brought up Varsho's hitting over the previous 7-games was to directly respond to the statement that Varsho is a lost-cause for the rest of the reason. You actually have no idea when a player can/will break out of a slump, and when that statement was made he was actually putting together much better at-bats. I wasn't making any claim that him hitting .316 over seven games meant that his season struggles are a mirage. That is just you lying through your teeth. The point I was actually making is very clear and obvious.
  22. metafour
    Vlad swings through a 90 mph meatball LMAO.
  23. metafour
    Better pull him right now so he doesn't ruin the rest of the game IMO.
  24. metafour
    It's a pointless statement because apart from maybe 2-3 teams in the league (like the Braves), every other team in the league will have had at least one stretch at some point in the season wherein they "underperformed their ability". There are teams currently behind the Jays in the standings who would have just as good a record (or better) if not for a bad stretch earlier in the season, so this logic doesn't only work in one direction. But it's only ever brought up from the perspective that it somehow doesn't apply to the teams behind the Jays as well. Did you guys know that from May 7th to June 8th the Red Sox went 10-18? If they managed to play even just 14-14 over that stretch, they would be sitting at 64-51 right now and one game back of the Jays. They were actually 21-16 on May 7th, and after June 8th they were 31-32. The Jays' season doesn't operate in a vacuum. "Coulda-shoulda" logic applies to everyone, hence it serves little actual value.
  25. metafour
    The Jays are definitely the only team in the league that blew winnable games early. Everyone else just plays consistent baseball over 162 games and wins the games they should win. So for example if the Mariners just barely miss the playoffs, it most certainly won't be because of a stretch in the season wherein they lost games they shouldn't have.
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