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glory

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Everything posted by glory

  1. glory
    Varsho was under it and the ball was basically coming right into his glove before the near collision, and Varsho's a pretty decent fielder too.
  2. glory
    That looked like Varsho’s ball but anything hit in the OF is KK’s ball in his mind.
  3. glory
    That Biggio DFA announcement is going to hit like the finest crack. Hopefully it happens in our lifetimes.
  4. glory
    If Orelvis could play 3B defensively then I have a hard time believing they’d convert him to 2B given the organization wide hole at 3B. My guess is they are keeping everyone as versatile as possible in terms of playing multiple positions.
  5. glory
    Vlad looked very happy putting the jacket on. Whether it has any impact on his performance remains to be seen but definitely think there’s a psychological benefit to this for him specifically. Breaking up the Barrio probably wasn’t easy for him and he enjoys the HR jacket and Gatorade baths that others seem to not care for. Embracing that stuff can’t hurt.
  6. glory
    2-0 with the HR jacket.
  7. glory
    They have a strange relationship with Vogelbach in that they only play him once a week but think he's good enough to bat cleanup or close to it when he does play. I don't get it.
  8. glory
    After that triple, IKF has a higher ISO than Vlad nearly 2 months into the season. Just as we all predicted.
  9. glory
    Vlad has turned into Luis Arraez with exit velocity. Not sure the Jays will get much of anything for him at $20m in 2024 and an increase on that in 2025. Other teams will almost certainly be interested in him to see if he's fixable once he's taken away from Don Mattingly (and he probably will be fixed by someone else sadly) but whether anyone will want to pay for that in terms of prospect capital is a different story. Bichette to the Dodgers seems like a perfect fit, just a matter of finding the right deal that both sides would agree to. With that said, Vlad/Bo being traded by the deadline ain't happening.
  10. glory
    Between Green, KK, Turner, and IKF, I think the Green signing was the most sensible of the group. Even if it failed at least there was enough upside to potentially make it worth it. Literally no upside in the other moves, probably more downside given how much playing time those 3 figure to get regardless of results.
  11. glory
    Kinda feel bad for Vlad that they brought the jacket back after he morphed into Luis Arraez. That man isn't wearing that jacket any time soon.
  12. glory
    Home run jacket is back. Things are getting serious now.
  13. glory
    I don't necessarily disagree with that logic, and ultimately I don't think Horowitz is going to be good enough for this to be a big deal in the grand scheme of things, but I think he was and is a more logical roster spot than a fat 0 WAR DH with no defensive or base running value. The fact that Horowitz can cosplay as a LF every now and then helps his standing as well. I just don't think he's "blocked". To me blocked would be what Moreno was with Kirk (when he was good) and Jansen on the roster. Horowitz's deal is more about options.
  14. glory
    Yeah Jansen was basically a 2 WAR player in half a season worth of PA's from 2021-23. If you signed him to a reasonable extension with an AAV around $10-12m, then the floor was basically that (~2 WAR/80 games) and the ceiling is probably what we will see this season if he stays healthy. It was definitely worth pursuing, but it takes two to tango, and we don't know what either side was thinking.
  15. glory
    Contreras probably wasn't willing to sign his prime away for well under market value, so AA probably still considers that trade a win, but yeah, Contreras has looked better than Murphy since the trade. Maybe AA thought he was selling high.
  16. glory
    Yeah, Jansen since 2021 has a 128 wRC+ and 7.5 WAR in 832 plate appearances (235 games). It's unfortunate he hasn't been able to stay healthy because when he is healthy, he's an excellent player. With Kirk turning into a pumpkin, which the club probably did not anticipate a year ago, maybe they'll be more eager to extend Jansen now. If the team goes south then there's also the trade route, but as mentioned they won't be rebuilding, so it likely makes more sense to work out a long term deal with him. If he has the type of season he's capable of when healthy, then my guess is the AAV is going to be around $15m or so, give or take, but depends on the market. I think the days of him accepting 4/40 or something along those lines have passed.
  17. glory
    Agreed. If they are prepared to let Jansen go, then I'm even more confused about the team's direction than I was before. Once Moreno was traded, a Jansen extension should have happened within 12 months. Either he wants to test free agency, which is possible, or the Jays don't want to commit until he proves he can stay healthy, which I guess would be reasonable, but if you want a "sustainable contender" then you can't be paying market value on the players you extend. At some point you need some below market extensions early to maximize flexibility and value. This might be a moot point a month from now if the Jays are out of it, as they'd probably trade him at that point, although he'd be a QO candidate if he stays healthy all season (not that extra picks are that appealing with this FO making the picks but still).
  18. glory
    Yeah Horowitz isn't blocked. They've chosen not to use him. He's 26 with options left and the Jays would rather use those options than use him on the big league roster. I hope he's traded at the deadline for the sake of his career, assuming he isn't up with the team by then. He has an option in 2025 as well from the looks of it, so he'll be 28 by the time the Jays have to keep him on the 26 man roster. Personally I don't think a 1B/DH with no power is much of an asset, but he's destroyed RHP in AAA the past two seasons, and the Jays have a logical platoon mate for him (Turner), so his path to the big leagues is right there. If that's not an option for them, then that says a lot about how they view him. Or they are scared to platoon Turner, which given their ass kissing to vetrins over the years, might be the bigger issue.
  19. glory
    My guess is yesterday's price is not today's price. They really should have extended him a while ago, especially if they were willing to trade Moreno. Hopefully they bring him back even if they have to pay market value. They have nothing in the upper minors as far as catching prospects, and Kirk is a backup at best at this rate. They need him, especially since they will avoid a rebuild like the plague, so might as well keep good players in that case.
  20. glory
    IKF down to an 81 wRC+. Turner down to a 91 wRC+, and a wRC+ below 70 against RHP. I know these were the big off season pick ups, but Atkins can't possibly think these two should be playing regularly at this point. This is closer to what IKF actually is, and Turner is 100 so this might be it for him.
  21. glory
    De Jong having more home runs than Vlad and Bo combined is kinda depressing.
  22. glory
    A Barger/Clement platoon at 3B, Horowitz/Turner platoon at DH, and Martinez at 2B with DS in LF all seem doable to me. Even if it doesn’t turn things around this season, at least you’re getting a look at some players that maybe could contribute cheaply over the next few years. It would involve getting rid of Vogelbach, Biggio, and I guess KK to make it work, so not losing much of anything besides CF defense which Varsho already does well. With this club’s love for vetrins I can’t see them even considering this.
  23. glory
    Turner has a 71 wRC+ against RHP this season, and 98 since the start of 2023. The team has a 26 year old 1B/DH in the minors who is putting up big numbers for the 2nd straight season in AAA and is likely a platoon bat only. This is such a no brainer decision for a team that supposedly wants to build a sustainable contender with waves of prospects coming up, but maybe that doesn’t apply to the Jays anymore. I can’t stand having Vogelbach on this team but he should be platooned with Turner if he’s up here.
  24. glory
    I think best case for this season is to figure out how to get Horowitz, Barger, Martinez, and Jimenez into the roster, and let them get their feet wet in the 2nd half playing regularly. Not sure how they do that when the FO is not likely to rebuild but that’s the only way this season would feel like it accomplished anything. Tiedemann too but no chance I'm going to count on a pitcher staying healthy.
  25. glory
    Based on what I’m seeing on the field, I think it’s over too. This team is not good by any objective metric. I’m just saying WC3 field looks pretty weak this year so if they want to make up ground then they are going to have to win the games against bad/average teams coming up.
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