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TwistedLogic

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Everything posted by TwistedLogic

  1. TwistedLogic
  2. TwistedLogic
    Finally got around to watching and it looks pretty obvious that he recorded three different versions based on where he was most likely to sign. I wouldn't be surprised if he already had all three uploaded to his YouTube and just switched the Dodgers one from unlisted to public when he finalized his contract. Obviously the interesting thing of note there is that the Blue Jays were one of the final three teams and didn't actually pull out until yesterday evening. That makes me optimistic that they've still got quite a bit of spending space remaining.
  3. TwistedLogic
    Yeah, but I don't know who would actually offer him that. The way his deal is currently set-up, it looks like the Dodgers gave him the money he wanted for two years and then had a phantom third year added (almost guaranteed to be opted-out of) just to drastically reduce the luxury tax implications of the deal. His 3-year contract with them hits the CBT at a 34M AAV. And even with the reduced hit, they're paying $10.1M in tax fees. That means Bauer's already costing them more than $50M for 2021 (not taking into account any salary dump moves they make like trading away Price). If he had been asking for a one year deal at 50M, the AAV would also be 50M and the overall cost to the Dodgers would probably be near 70M for just Trevor Bauer. On a one year deal, the cap hit alone would probably disqualify both the Dodgers and the Mets.
  4. TwistedLogic
    That contract is tailor-made for a second year opt-out. He's definitely taking that unless his production falls off a cliff.
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  6. TwistedLogic
    This whole thing proves how much of a douchebag Bauer really is. Feel so bad for the Mets fans that he f***ed around with all offseason, especially with all the fake teases today.
  7. TwistedLogic
    Knew I should have added a Boob Nightengale asterisk, lmao.
  8. TwistedLogic
    Done deal.
  9. TwistedLogic
    Conversely, I f***ing hate Bauer, so I'm perfectly okay with his price being so high that I'm no longer torn on my dislike for him vs wanting his performance on the team.
  10. TwistedLogic
    Crazy that this wasn't enough and that it's expected to be even more expensive. Bauer's getting a godfather offer.
  11. TwistedLogic
    Mods can feel free to rename this thread whenever/wherever he signs. For now, it looks like he's nearing a decision. Tweet from Martino on Mets getting serious:
  12. TwistedLogic
    Jealous of this deal. Would love to see Felix in a Blue Jays uniform.
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  16. TwistedLogic
    Noticing an unacceptable lack of Captain Kirk.
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  18. TwistedLogic
    lmao
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    I do want to add though that even more than the projections (where Springer does edge out Arenado), the opt outs reduce the value of the deal imo. Taking those into account, it makes the hypothetical choice between the two guys a lot tougher for me, even if I don't think Arenado will exercise either one.
  23. TwistedLogic
    Yeah, I did take that into account, but as much as I respect projections and use them for my own analysis, I personally believe that wRC+ and other park-neutral stats don't do a good enough job of predicting how a guy will be impacted by moving home parks from one that's s***** for hitters to one that's great for them. Donaldson added 10-20 points to his wRC+ and went from a 6.5 win player in his two MVP-caliber seasons with the A's to an 8 win player in his next two seasons with the Jays. All that said, I wouldn't be surprised in the least if the Steamer call is the correct one and Springer has a more valuable season. I just like Arenado more.
  24. TwistedLogic
    If we aren't talking about fit and a deal between the Rockies and the Jays is structured similarly to the one we're talking about now, I take Arenado over Springer in a heartbeat. 1.5 years younger, similar financial deal (looking like 175/7), and he doesn't come with any of the Astros stink. He's also always reminded me of Donaldson, who was easily my favorite Blue Jays player of all time. I'd be stoked out of my mind if the Blue Jays got him and I'd probably buy his jersey the day it came out.
  25. TwistedLogic
    lmao, Bob Nightengale.
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