KingKat
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Everything posted by KingKat
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I have to admit I laughed. It wasn't because the joke was funny but because it was a classic case of Gibbers being a bull in the China shop with a sensitive issue.
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What happened to Gibbers's post with Jesus and a kid at the bat and Gibbers saying the kid was Dickey and Jesus was feeling him up? Did that get removed to? Seems to be in the same class. I didn't really mind it or 02cui's joke but if a standard is being applied, it should be consistent.
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lol, really?
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Yeah but the contracts you get with that money aren't likely to be nearly as team friendly as the Baustista, Encarnacion contracts. You'll need all the money you're paying them plus the money you're wasting on a bunch others to get players that good. At best it's a wash and it could be much worse if the money isn't well spent. I'm not optimistic that the Jays will be this close for awhile. Make some moves, weather the storm until EE, Lind, Lawrie and maybe even Morrow can come back. This could be an excellent team going into the playoffs. I'd rather go all in than throw in the towel.
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By the time that good, young, cheap rotation will be in place the team will need a new offensive core.
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AJ Jimenez might be ready to be a backup but definitely not to be a starter (which frankly he may never be). Kratz would have to be the starter but Thole would also have to have an increased role with more starts against RHP (which might not be a bad thing actually).
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Only if he plays 3B.
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Which of those is possible at this point?
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Cool. Googled "Regressed Platoon Splits Fangraphs" and found it immediately: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/estimating-hitter-platoon-skill/
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Well I don't really have an opinion on the matter but apparently the normalized sample need to be quite large according to experts. Nox posted a Fangraphs link explaining it yesterday. I'll see if I can dig it up.
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Holly s***! What a gold mine.
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Both Fangraphs and Baseball reference provide RHP/LHP splits. There's splits tabs in both baseball reference and Frangraphs but they are not available for MiLB data. Also you should note that sadly neither Fangraphs or Baseball Reference provide regressed splits. Basically what unregressed means is that the sample is too small to be considered normalized so to minimize SSS distortion you should assume average splits for whatever number of PAs are missing to normalize. Nox beats this drum a lot but until the major sites provide the regressed splits, I don't see what choice anyone has but to use the unregressed splits. I suppose to make him happy you should put an asterisk on any unregressed splits you quote.
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I think the reason people underrate that AAA sample is that he has a 1556 pa MLB sample of sub 800 OPS over 8 years. You usually stop looking at AAA numbers when someone has that kind of body of work but I do understand what you're saying though. You feel like the MLB sample's value is diminished because the playing time is sporadic and that he might do more if he just played every day. I honestly don't know if that belief is justified or not. I certainly understand the rationale. Gibbons is pretty committed to his platoons though so I think Johnson will have to show a lot to get everyday work. Lind was putting up a great slash line this season and many of the right-handed bats the Jays have used this season were/are hot garbage and Gibby still stuck to his guns.
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Offensively, the difference with your lineup and mine is that you have Johnson everyday instead of Navarro. Everything else is the same, just in different positions. You lose a bit offensively but you do accomplish your stated goal of not having Francisco play any 3B. I like my lineups more (obviously) and more importantly, I don't think the Jays will see enough benefit to yours to justify moving Bautista to a position he has offered to play but is well known to not enjoy playing.
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He's at DH. Like he's litteraly there in my post.
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I would have Reimold in RF against LHP and Bautista at 1B and Reimold in RF against RHP. RHP/LHP C Navarro / Kratz 1B Johnson / Bautista 2B Kawasaki SS Reyes 3B Francisco / Tolleson CF Ramus / Mastro LF Melky RF Bautista / Reimold DH Reimold / Navarro If you move Bautista to 3B, all you really gain offensively is the option to use Tolleson's bat at 2B against LHP. The defensive gain seems negligable since Bautista's terrible range at 3B has probably only gotten worse. The fielding percentage is a red herring, he's a lousy 3B.
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So who plays RF in that scenario? Reimold? Does he play there every day?
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Well I don't know what he was thinking but assuming that you call up Johnson it just looks like an unnecesary shuffling of deck chairs. Francisco may not be a good 3B but Reimold isn't a good RF either. If you're going to push one of them to DH, it might as well be the one who is playing the position that Bautista usually plays. I know that Bautista offered to play wherever but there's no need to abuse that offer.
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They really should just put him on the 7 day concussion DL. He'd barely miss any action with the All-Star game looming and it's the right thing to do.
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He's not saying there isn't an argument for it. He's saying it's not going to happen.
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Depends on how long Lawrie is out. I think the argument being made here is that Kawa > Francisco in the short term.
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Very reasonable. You clearly are not Gruber's wing man.
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Well just to get it out of the way, I might be a moron, I'm certainly not going to let you off the hook just to avoid being called a moron by you. Apparently your defense for not knowing what prophecy means is not knowing what figure of speech means. None of what you said consituted a figure of speech.
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The one saving grace is that Rasmus always goes through periods where it looks practically impossible for him to get a hit. His slumps are the uggliest in baseball and hopefully that's all this is. It would help too if he weren't also having a terrible defensive season.
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Can someone explain to me how fWAR works? (No I'm not joking) I'm looking at Dan Johnson's Fangraphs page. His fielding is worth 0.6 but but his postional adjustement is -29.3 for a total defensive value of -28.7. Why is the positional adjustment substracted from the fielding and called defense? That makes like zero sense to me. Shouldn't defense and fielding be synomymous with the positional adjustment only coming out at the end? I mean ultimately the total will be the same but this way of doing it seems kind of misleading and counter-intuitive to me. Could someone (basically Nox) explain the logic?
