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Terminator

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Everything posted by Terminator

  1. Was he gambling? Does he have some sort of mental issue like depression? Pretty crazy story
  2. His quality of contact metrics should affect his xwOBA just as much as his wOBA though right? So I don't think that necessarily explains the discrepancies. There could be some reason but I really don't know what it could be so I think it's safer to assume that it's just bad luck as much as anything else. Remember, Vlad looked like a 1 WAR pumpkin for about 900 ABs and the reasoning that the board bought into (except for me, Spanky and Tom Tango that is) was that he wasn't aiming his deep fly balls enough. Tango said that kind of stuff is usually just noise on the whole and sure enough, he was right. Now I still worry about Springer, he's old so he could decline pretty drastically any time now and could actually turn into a true talent .300 wOBA guy. But even those concerns are a little overblown, he still projects well.
  3. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/why-were-moving-our-articles-to-a-metered-paywall/ Spanky I am going to need you to go ahead and sign up for a subscription and post all the articles for me thanks
  4. Geez so when he looked like the worst player on the planet he was underperforming his xstats by nearly 60 points! .300 xwOBA isn't good but it's probably about 28th percentile, not 1st percentile.
  5. Everyone keeps ignoring Springer's bad luck. He's had a .332 and .331 xwOBA the past two years. But his wOBA has been .320 and .302 with a BABIP of .243 this year. Even if next year he's a true talent .320 xwOBA player, if he merely gets normal luck, or heck good luck, everyone will be saying "he's back" when he's actually been pretty solid this whole time.
  6. Springer's xWOBA is holding strong at .331 (.332 last year). His defense and sprint speed are better than last year too and he's still projecting pretty well. He just needs to not get boned on the stats vs. his xstats next year and he should be an average regular. But he's old so he could fall off a cliff any year now but with just two more years left on his deal this could end up okay. It doesn't look great but you kind of expect year 5 and 6 of a FA deal to not be so great.
  7. Good to see them trying out new guys as the year ends. Not seeing many positives with de Geus though the team probably has their reasons for giving him a shot. His velo is decent, he can get ground balls and he has 2 options after this year. Almost looks like a Zach Pop clone though which means he suxxx.
  8. That's just a stupid way of saying we suck which is accurate
  9. How can anyone, with the power of hindsight, argue that IKF wasn't a good signing at this point? We squeezed 2 WAR out of him, most of which was at a position which was considered a black hole, and then traded him for a prospect. It was a good signing.
  10. Why would you love to do that? Didn't you complain about that signing for weeks on end?
  11. So you are sticking by your statement that we will bring in someone better than Jansen to be the backup?
  12. Christian Vazquez was probably a little worse player and he got 3 years for 30 million. But I honestly don't really care what Jansen costs because someone will pay him starter money and that's too much for me. He's not good enough to DH and I want him nowhere near that role and he's also a lesser player than the Catcher we already have. Yeah a stud backup would be nice because Kirk is fat so if this were a complete team looking to throw a cherry on top of the sundae I'd be for it. But this is a team who has almost zero reliable relievers heading into next year. I'd rather take the money and use it to sign a reliever rather than a good backup player.
  13. Despite his poor season, he's starting caliber quality and will get paid accordingly. There is no way in hell we bring in someone even better, and more expensive, than Jansen to form a catching tandem with Kirk. It'd be the dumbest waste of money.
  14. I'm sure most people wanting to bring him back realize this, they just like him as fans (I do too) and are being positive about the idea. Didn't mean to sound like a crank.
  15. Jansen gets a hard pass from me. Kirk is miles better and an expensive backup C is a luxury this team cannot afford when we have so many holes to fill this offseason.
  16. Bregman would be good but I worry about the price tag after the Chapman extension.
  17. One of Yariel or Francis could be the long reliever if we sign a SP.
  18. Cabrera and Swanson are contenders for the pen next year too. Not sure I'd tender them but it will be considered. Cabrera's ERA and xERA are good, his FIP and xFIP suck. Swanson can't hit the broad side of a barn but was damn good prior.
  19. We picked up some late blooming minor leaguer from the Marlins today. Made Fangraphs Marlins Top 40 list this year. Emanuel Rodriguez or Gonzalez or something like that is his name.
  20. Prospect defense is so hard to gauge. I can stat scout the bats but for defense you have to rely heavily on the little tidbits and grades that prospect sites give you. And of course, the prospects body types change as they age which can also affect their tools/defense. I remember reading about Barger sticking on the left side of the infield and possibly even SS. There ain't a chance in hell he could play SS.
  21. Definitely worth monitoring his SS defense. On the various prospect sites he was always listed around 5'10'' 160. He's now listed at 215 pounds. Hopefully that doesn't affect his defense but he's definitely built more like a 2B than a SS now. And if that's the case his shot at being a full-time starter drops dramatically. He's probably a bench player.
  22. He got 19.9M this past year. Would his arb rate really double? Seems like he'd come in closer to 30, right? Here are the largest ever arbitration salaries: Juan Soto, 2024 Yankees: $31.5 million. Shohei Ohtani, 2023 Angels: $30 million. Mookie Betts, 2020 Dodgers: $27 million.
  23. He is DEALING since joining them. He must be close to a lock to resigning there. They obviously love him given the package they gave up.
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