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Dick_Pole

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Everything posted by Dick_Pole

  1. Dick_Pole
    Remember in the alternate universe where instead of rolling with these guys, Montoyo pulled them for equally s***** also-rans available to him at the time who blew the games anyways and people still used these games to complain about his BP management?
  2. Dick_Pole
    Scherzer coming here is not the most unlikely idea in the world. He's gotta be thinking HOF by now and the best course of action to solidify that is the padding of stats and playoff appearances. Right now he's in Kevin Brown territory. So a three year deal where he adds 50-60 to his win total and 2-3 playoff appearances is possible with this team and its offense. Of course, it's also equally possible where he is right now. The one thing the Jays do have up on the Dodgers is an AL East position where he would get maximum exposure. So do the Yankees and Red Sox but I don't think either are up for adding Scherzer-like payroll without shedding it elsewhere.
  3. Dick_Pole
    Things that will be hard to repeat: Semien, even if he comes back next year -3 WAR Ray, see above -3 WAR Failure to sign one of the two -4 WAR Incredible SP health -4 WAR Things that are likely to get better: Bullpen, just by random chance, can't be as s*** as it was this year +3 WAR Full year of Manoah +2 WAR Full year of Berrios +2 WAR Full year of Springer, which means less for Grishuk +2 WAR Bichette and Guerrero get even better +2 WAR That's -3 WAR on a 100 win talent team. The Jays are starting with a base of around 90 wins with the top two priorities being resigning Semien and Ray with a distant and very achievable #3 priority being re-signing Matz.
  4. Dick_Pole
    The FO just needs to do what it can to bring back/extend the guys they had on this team on October 3, 2021. No real need for much improvements, honestly.
  5. Dick_Pole
    68% chance. It was in the 70's but the Rays blew it.
  6. Dick_Pole
    63% chance. Washington got out of that jam.
  7. Dick_Pole
    Jays are up to a 56% chance of playing game #163. Started the day at 45%. Of course, they pretty much maxed out what they can do, already up to a 93% win probability. Need the other games to start going their way.
  8. Dick_Pole
    The Score app is probably going to be down today with all the constant refreshing.
  9. Dick_Pole
    The mind of a 15 year old still going through puberty with a developing brain versus the mind of an adult. Of course the Rays are not going to intentionally throw a game to spite a minor incident that happened at the cost of improving their chances in the ALDS. Then again the Rays are run by a bunch of incels so who really knows.
  10. Dick_Pole
    Simple. Add up all the wins and losses of each division. Add up the run differential. Now average those stats among the number of teams in each division. Now go back to 1969 and do that for every division and season. Rank them all and there is your answer.
  11. Dick_Pole
    Well, that's just a function of there being four 100-loss teams this year. All those losses have to go somewhere as wins. A 45-win team in the NBA, which is like a 90 win team in baseball, would be lucky to get into the top four in their conference in a typical year. Mostly around 6th place which in baseball is not a playoff spot. It's just the MLB moving away from parity in recent years.
  12. Dick_Pole
    Ignoring Seattle for now, just focusing on getting at least to a game #163. The Jays need to win and one of the Yankees or Red Sox need to lose. Boston has a 66.4% win probability tomorrow. Yankees 58.4%. Jays 71.8% The chances of both the Yankees and Boston winning is the multiple of both of those probabilities, or 38.8%. 61.2% chance one of the teams lose. Multiply 61.2% by 71.8% and that leads to a 43.9% chance the Jays force a game #163.
  13. Dick_Pole
    Well...the good news is had Soto hit a slam and put them up 4-1, this four run outburst would have been a million times more annoying.
  14. Dick_Pole
    Remember in 2016 the percentage change of making the playoffs in the last few days went from something like 90% to 30% to 90% then 100%? So anything is possible. I believe that was the birth of crazy Olerud rants too.
  15. Dick_Pole
    To go 92-70: Yankees - 2-2 Red Sox - 3-1 Jays - 4-0 Mariners - 3-0 Pretty decent chance that all four teams tie at 92-70 or 91-71. The biggest roadblock to this is tonight's Jays game. Next would be Seattle sweeping, they supposedly only have a 40-45% chance of winning each game against the Angels. A four way tie, Boston holds all tie-breakers. Jays hold over Yankees, Yankees hold over Mariners, Mariners hold over Jays. This is going to be a clusterf***.
  16. Dick_Pole
    Yes that's why I said advanced modding needed. You initially failed but corrected the oversight later. So Hurl will have a strong word with you, but won't dole out any punishment.
  17. Dick_Pole
    And if the Jays record against Boston reflected the run differential, they would be comfortably in a WC spot. And if the Yankees played the Orioles like the Rays did, they would be challenging for first in the division. Every team has these what-ifs.
  18. Dick_Pole
    We don't need more playoff spots in baseball. We need realignment. Two divisions per league.
  19. Dick_Pole
    Advanced level modding needed. You do realize his post is fully quoted and visible right? I don't see how calling Buck stupid for a personal health decision is not political but someone sharing a personal anecdote and indirectly trying to defend his personal health decision is. The comments about his ability to perform his job under this circumstance is fair game.
  20. Dick_Pole
    Cheat sheets = okay Rays trash ideas = mostly okay Stealing signs the "natural" way = okay Using technology of any sort = not okay, unless that technology is sticky stuff, then that's okay for a while, until it's not Trash cans and buzzers = asterisk World Series and permanent trolling by fans/media/other players for cheating Steroids = best hitter and arguably best pitcher over the last 40 years not allowed in HOF The policing over the purity of the game makes no f***ing sense.
  21. Dick_Pole
    Yeah I really don't get the "old f***s" comment. As if young people are going to like this? This is done for one reason and one reason only. To compete without paying players what they are worth. No fans are going to like or defend this except the select few who cheer for front offices and get a boner fantasizing over the optimal point of WPA per dollar spent on salary.
  22. Dick_Pole
    Sale is scheduled to pitch today and the last game of the season. If the Jays can't overtake Boston, at least keep it close to the point where they have to burn him in Washington lol.
  23. Dick_Pole
    Toronto is an expensive city. Between rising costs of food, gas and rent, no one within driving/walking distance can afford Blue Jays tickets anymore. I could with all my penny stock gains but I'm not allowed to attend for ***censored*** reasons.
  24. Dick_Pole
    I'm glad the MLB clamped down on the Rays. This isn't rocket science to be lauded. Anyone with a bit of baseball knowledge can come up with all sorts of schemes to skirt the "unwritten rules" that teams have abided by for decades. It's not smart. It's cheap. And it hurts the integrity of the game for a minuscule advantage. Here's a novel idea. How about draft and develop pitchers who are good enough to get batters out in all sorts of scenarios? How about fielding players who are actually good in all aspects of defense? Oh yeah, I forgot. That would involve paying players with actual talent, something that the Rays can't do, but could if they weren't such a garbage franchise nobody cares about.
  25. Dick_Pole
    I agree to that last sentence. If you're a fringe RP that is replaceable by a million other arms like yourself, your best hope of sticking might be some additional marginal benefit you provide as a late inning defensive replacement or base runner.
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