Dick_Pole

My gosh, man.

Hell, I'm still hopeful that we will be cheering for the Yankees for that series

IIRC the potential mess with Detroit and Baltimore back in 2016 was that the Jays had H2H advantage so they would get the home game in any tie breaker scenario and would get a second chance on the road if they lost it. Then the O's won a coin toss and had the choice between the two road games or a one-and-done at home and of course they picked the latter. So my guess would be something similar this year. Red Sox hold the H2H over both teams and Jays over Yankees. Another reason why to cheer for the Yankees over the Red Sox when they meet (assuming Boston hasn't completely s*** the bed by then).

With the Jays having won, I can follow the Boston-Seattle game nice and relaxed. The obvious preference is to have Boston lose but if they win, burying the M's isn't a bad consolation prize.

Need 14-4, Guerrero to hit 15 home runs and go something like 60 straight at bats with a hit to score on all of this.

They won't need to choke. It'll be a mix of the Yankees and Orioles series. They'll never lead and give up 10 runs each game

So I just found this page on BR which I find to be an absolute delight. Especially since they estimate a higher percentage to the Jays than the Fangraph's site: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/TOR/2021-playoff-odds.shtml Yankees' page gives me great pleasure as well: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/NYY/2021-playoff-odds.shtml

Cheering for the Jays to go 13-6 the rest of the way so Montoyo can hit .500 all-time in his managing career. I didn't read this thread for a few weeks but regarding the "decline" in off-topic posts or posts that otherwise need to be moderated probably has as much to do with the team no longer being a dumpster fire than anything else. 2017-19 was a terrible time to be a Jays fan but a great time to be a right-wing troll and an even better time to pick fights with dummies on here. Even this year with the frustrating losses and bullpen misadventures, we all knew this team was good and that's where the focus of conversation should lie. < removed some political stuff >

Thanks for the update, bot that writes up the match up commentary on the Score app.

My order of cheering to lose: 1. Boston 2. NYY 3. Oakland 4. Seattle 5. TB 6. Houston 7. Chicago 8. Baltimore 9. Everyone else I added Baltimore in because I really did want them to hilariously fail to reach the 50 win mark again but with their remaining schedule I'll have to resort to losing every game except against the Yankees and Red Sox. Tampa, Houston and Chicago are still on my scoreboard watch list as the Jays aren't done chasing the division and top spot just yet. But this is a much lesser priority to securing a wild card spot. Depending on how this next series goes, TB may move way up those rankings or fall completely off along with Chicago and Houston. For the next three days, go Seattle!

To hit 92-70: Jays 12-7 .632 Red Sox 11-6 .647 Yankees 13-6 .684 A's 15-4 .789 M's 15-4 .789 These are the games left between these teams: A's/M's - 7 games BOS/NYY - 3 games Bos/M's - 3 games If you assume every team splits those games: Red Sox 3-3 Yankees 1.5-1.5 A's 3.5-3.5 Mariners 5-5 Subtract that out from the records needed to get to 92 wins and you get these records in the remaining games: Red Sox 8-3 .727 Yankees 11.5-4.5 .719 A's 11.5-0.5 .958 M's N/A A very good chance that 92-70 is playing for WC1 now as all four of these teams have an uphill battle just to make it to that record. The Jays aren't competing with four teams. They are competing with two. We just don't know which two yet. But scoreboard watching on all four is more fun.

https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds Jays are up to 52%, Yankees down to 58%. A Mets sweep would work well right about now.

I would hope in a one game playoff situation and the team's SP depth that all hands are on deck for that game. Two of Ray/Berrios/Manoah/Ryu cover 8 innings plus Romano. *waits for comments about Montoyo*

That hat is good though if you want to do something really unpopular without any consequences. People will already think you've been spat on with bubble gum or sprayed with pink paint so they'll leave you alone.

I'm still hoping for 60 LMAO. I guess I jinxed him as soon as I made that call.

Is it just me, or is everyone liking the fact that AL East teams seem to be in a lot of high scoring games recently? Particularly against each other. If pitching is falling apart and bats are getting hot, I like the Jays chances to win that battle. Especially since the Jays starters are holding it together.

Jays doubled their odds of getting into the playoffs today to 25%, more than Oakland and Seattle combined. https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds Boston down to 78% chance, Yankees 82%.

If we are going with 92-70 as the benchmark, the teams have to have the following records and win percentages: Jays 19-8 .704 Red Sox 13-10 .565 Yankees 14-12 .538 A's 18-7 .720 Mariners 17-8 .680 Now what the original analysis doesn't consider is that these teams face each other quite a few times. For instance, the Athletics and Mariners face each other seven times. Given that they both have to win two-thirds of their games, this is going to be deadly for one or both teams. Either one completely dominates the match up and basically eliminates the other from contention, or they both hurt each other's chances. A 5-2 record merely puts one team in line with the win percentage they need. But a 2-5 record eats up nearly all of the loss allocation. The Jays won't have to worry about both of these teams. They'll only have to worry about one, or none. These are the games left between these teams: A's/M's - 7 games BOS/NYY - 3 games Bos/M's - 3 games If you assume every team splits those games: Red Sox 3-3 Yankees 1.5-1.5 A's 3.5-3.5 Mariners 5-5 Subtract that out from the records needed to get to 92 wins and you get these records in the remaining games: Red Sox 10-7 .588 Yankees 12.5-10.5 .543 A's 14.5-3.5 .806 Mariners 12-3 .800 In this context it looks way better for the Jays. Only the Yankees and Red Sox are the ones to worry about. Someone in Boston could be doing the same calculation for the Jays/Yankees games and really be salivating. But from our perspective, the Jays need to dominate those games so that analysis would be irrelevant.

Jays win while Rays, Yankees, Red Sox lose. I wonder if that's the first time this has happened this year, lol.

Jays start September 4-0. Four games over .500. That's already more games over .500 for any one month this season lol.

Hopefully this is the start of a downturn for Oakland too.

Taking pleasure in Odor's gaffe in a 6-0 game with his team on fire is a bit like taking pleasure in your ******* neighbour's Ferrari getting a flat tire. Sure, in that instant, life sucks for him. But it will immediately be better than yours once past that issue.

What a terrible weakness to have. A desire to go for it when they think the team is ready. I'd much rather have J.P. Ricciardi back. He was efficient at running the 25 man roster and definitely didn't care about perception but sucked balls at drafting and player development so the team never had the top end talent to be a serious contender. I take no issue with what the Blue Jays have done.

Well for one thing, he and the rest of the Japanese people probably don't sound like that. How would you like it as a Canadian if everyone "impersonated" you by doing their impression of some French Quebec douche or an inbred Newfie hoser? You could probably ignore the first few times but after a while it's going to be a punchable moment. But then YOU go to jail for assault.

Okay so, there was this poll for winning free tickets by guessing the record over the next 14 games starting with Washington's games. Most people picked 9-5 or 10-4. All but three of the games remaining this month are at home, where the team has played really well and a s***** BP is slightly less of an issue because the Jays bat last. The team needs to go 9-3 or 10-2 to match people's expectations. They just did 9-2 on the last homestand, against similar competition as what is coming up. Now of course some of the other teams above the Jays are going to have to start losing in order to close some of that ground.