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Dick_Pole

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Everything posted by Dick_Pole

  1. Dick_Pole
    Understood, but I do. In this fictional scenario where I had access to only to one stat, W-L record using my method would suffice. I mean, let's say you were talking to someone who was a complete newb to baseball and had no time to explain all the stats but wanted to explain how Roy Halladay was a good pitcher. Saying he had a W-L record of 203-105 for mostly .500 teams gets the point across. Or Hernandez or deGrom being winning pitchers for mostly trash teams. Not sure about your last line, that's my whole point.
  2. Dick_Pole
    Haha yup, that's one of the first things that comes to my mind too.
  3. Dick_Pole
    My rebuttal to this is that fat guys on the mound tend to have more longevity. The fat provides cushioning for all the breakable parts in the arm. My evidence is based on Bartolo Colon and David Wells having long and fruitful careers. Eat up, Manoah!
  4. Dick_Pole
    Jacob deGrom career W-L: 77-53 .592 Mets 2014-2021 W-L: 562-557 .502 Mets 2014-2021 excluding deGrom W-L: 485-504 .490 Mets add 10 basis points to their chances of winning over the past 7+ seasons by having this one particular pitcher on the mound. You can pretty clearly infer that deGrom is a superior pitcher here. Now do you really want me to do that with Seattle for 2005 to 2019 to prove my point?
  5. Dick_Pole
    I went through a phase of watching old baseball clips from the 70's and 80's especially before the season started last year. There's just something so pure about the simplistic analysis and commentary. Even the graphics and the s***** quality of the video. Maybe some people would lose their minds over it. I personally think the old school stats are derided a bit too much. For instance if you looked at Halladay's W-L record and had nothing else to go on then compared it to the Jays overall W-L during his tenure with the team, you'd know he was a damn fine pitcher for a very long time. WAR or WPA might be the only other stats to tell you that story. None of the rate stats would tell you about his dominance both in quantity and quality. Even strikeouts have begun to lose their meaning because every pitcher is friggin Nolan Ryan now.
  6. Dick_Pole
    Between this and the illegal substances ordeal it's about time Rich Gossage chimes in about player etiquette. I draw the line at players disrobing on field.
  7. Dick_Pole
    I grew up on the baseball card stats and that's what I get excited about. I'm not looking to get into baseball as a career, nor am I in any pools nor am I currently betting on baseball. So why not just enjoy being an uneducated fan? I can leverage the nerds of this board to assess if a player is good or not, for instance, upcoming prospects or a Jays trade. The mid-tier stuff like wRC+ and xFIP are easy enough to understand. Stuff like exit velocity or launch angle, sorry just can't get excited about that. Just need to fake it enough to fit in with the culture of the board then fap over W-L records on my own time.
  8. Dick_Pole
    Some guys get off choking women unconscious. Other guys get off trying to appear virtuous on the internet. What Bauer did is violent and potentially criminal and if it's proven in a court of law then I hope he gets a just punishment. But it's really not necessary to have a dick measuring contest to see who thinks Bauer is the biggest piece of s***. No one on here thinks what he did was brilliant and wonderful. This act isn't up for debate. It also wasn't completely unsolicited. It's not like Bauer is at the level of predator to attack random women like this, that we are aware of to this point. There's a mod on here who displayed naked pics of his ex without her permission on the old board and the long time posters here are fine with it. That was before King was born but for the rest of you guys pretending to be anti-misogynist superheroes, reading some of your comments about this situation are on a new level of cringe.
  9. Dick_Pole
    Try to contain your orgasm while posting this stuff.
  10. Dick_Pole
    They just shipped out Tellez to open up a spot for Cruz. Brilliant move.
  11. Dick_Pole
    But at least took down Cleveland a notch. Right now it's just slightly too early to scoreboard watch. In another month or so we'll have a better idea of who the biggest threats are. If the Jays can't get off this 85-88 win pace, Cleveland is a much bigger threat to the team's playoff hopes than the Rays are. Right now we just have to hope for the Jays to go on a nice little run so the division remains the primary focus.
  12. Dick_Pole
    There's a fine line between abusing someone and merely absorbing them into your gravitational influence. What Jupiter did to Shoemaker–Levy 9 looked pretty violent too.
  13. Dick_Pole
    Good job by the FO. You could probably spin the Tellez deal as a fair one just for Francis lmao. As for the Brewers, not sure what they are thinking. Are they suffering from Prince Fielder syndrome? Planning on switching back to the AL? I've never seen a team so obsessed with building 1B depth. Especially in the NL. He could pan out to be a good hitter for them or be in Japan in two years.
  14. Dick_Pole
    Yeah but...just because the loud part is said loud and the quiet part is kept quiet doesn't really fix the issue. That's why I'm just saying the quiet part should be said out loud too. Two famous NFL players getting featured in a virtue signaling ad campaign to try to make a multinational corporation more money isn't exactly changing things. Anyways I don't care enough to make this a long conversation on a baseball forum so I'm just gonna tap out.
  15. Dick_Pole
    It's a backhanded commentary on how white people's hair looks good/presentable/professional and how POC look bad/ridiculous/unprofessional by general beauty standards. It's one of those beefs that POC have, especially black women, about institutional racism and I can see their beef when it comes to job interviews and such. Let's be honest, 90% of the commentary of "wow that guy has really f***ing dumb hair" in baseball is reserved for black/latino players and the other 10% for Josh Donaldson and Tim Lincecum.
  16. Dick_Pole
    Now think on top of this, an exciting team and an entire city/country just aching to get back to the ballpark. 2022 payroll could top $200 million and attendance figures could challenge the World Series years.
  17. Dick_Pole
    You should say the exact same thing at work except replace the former with some random white guy and the latter with a person of colour, especially a woman. Let's see what happens!
  18. Dick_Pole
    The Marlins must think highly of McInvale. This makes no sense from their perspective otherwise except maybe make room in the OF.
  19. Dick_Pole
    This stuff takes time to adjust and find an equilibrium. Pitchers will find a more discreet way to get a grip back. What was stupid was Manfred doing this in the middle of the season. I think it'll work out to the Jays benefit as well as to anyone who bets on run totals.
  20. Dick_Pole
    We can celebrate that one game Panik did something useful without getting into a long discussion about it. Was he absolutely, completely useless? No. Any player with a batting average higher than .000 will eventually do something meaningful. Was it necessary for the Jays to upgrade the position and did they? Yes. A playoff team can't be carrying negative WAR players on a short bench.
  21. Dick_Pole

    NHL Thread

    Dick_Pole replied to GD's topic in Other Sports

    So as in other words they are the Leafs of three years ago with way less hype and more success. Got it lol.
  22. Dick_Pole
    I can see Dickerson hitting 130 OPS+ in a platoon/pinch hitting role on this team once he's off the IL. The Jays probably sneak out 1+ WAR worth of value in this trade for the remainder of the season. So remember this if they win a playoff spot by one game.
  23. Dick_Pole
    Instead of looking at run differential, maybe look at percentage of run scored versus total of runs scored and given up. For illustrative purposes let's say there's an extreme example of a team with s***** hitting but literally perfect pitching that wins all 162 games 1-0. Their run differential is 162. Now look at a team that scores an average of 5 runs a game and gives up 4. They will also have a 162 run differential but probably win around 95 games. This has little to do with strong hitting teams beating up on bad pitching, but more to do with large numbers inviting more variability. Maybe someone already made that argument. I skimmed over a lot of long posts before adding my two cents in.
  24. Dick_Pole
    That's why it's called a BOLD prediction, not obvious and lame prediction. The 2015 team did it being .500 at the break so it's possible. I'm just taking a look at the spin rates after the crackdown, how that's impacted each team, how well the Jays offense have done despite it, how the Jays starters have turned it around, and a road-heavy schedule to date to come to this conclusion. The final piece is the BP and with guys slowly coming back and with a 3 inning workload each game instead of 4-5 innings, this should drastically improve its performance. The BP has bottomed out in its uselessness. Run differential implies a 93 win season and I think the Jays will get there.
  25. Dick_Pole
    Couldn't find a bold predictions thread for this year so I'll stuff this here. I've seen enough from this team and baseball in general to make these two: 1. Jays will win 95ish games this year. 2. Guerrero will flirt with .400, maybe land somewhere between Olerud and Gwynn, and hit 60+ home runs.
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