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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Yes if the mods can remove any lists until we are done it will help avoid biases and influences. This is important work and should be taken seriously, or not done at all.
  2. So Ike Davis is firmly getting non-tendered then Might be marginally better than Smoak.
  3. It would end up being a lot less than 128 because he'll inevitably need other days off for day game after night game, nagging injury reasons, etc.
  4. - All he did was look at offense in a 21 game sample size. It doesn't really mean anything. - Even if his conclusion was correct, you would assume it would affect any catcher so you might as well let Martin catch and then you at least benefit from his arm. - The only real consideration for having Martin not catch Dickey is the "toll on his body", which is common sense, but even then I don't support sitting Martin for 1/5 of the team's games. He should still catch some Dickey starts + DH some of the ones he doesn't.
  5. Does RA Dickey's other Dickey effect cancel out the famous Dickey effect? Earlier tonight I saw this article from October: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-culmination-of-the-r-a-dickey-experiment/ Apparently Martin was -16 Blocking Runs below average, thanks to Dickey. That's about 1.5 wins down the drain. What did CC estimate Dickey's "Dickey Effect" on other pitchers was worth initially? +1.5 WAR. Hmmm. The run value on blocking seems way too high though. If you look at passed balls, Martin averages about 4/5 and this year he had 19. Wild pitches were close to his career norm. There's no way that 15 extra passed balls would = 15 extra runs.
  6. Colabello and Smoak are both pretty bad 1B/DH options. They can't carry both of them again. Team needs a bit more positional versatility from at least one of those roster spots (and maybe both). Colabello projects a bit better and obviously was better last year, plus he's league min, so I guess he sticks around. It's kind of remarkable that Smoak might not even be a league average hitter. I'd probably tender Saunders. He's still worth a $3M gamble I think.
  7. Kelly Johnson!
  8. Definitely. Give me a man with poo-brown eyes and a stocky physique, any day.
  9. The sugar acts as a preservative making the icing keep forever
  10. They don't need anything else. 1-7 is very solid, and traditional. Price Buchholz Porcello Rodriguez Miley Kelly/Owens/Johnson They also have a robust offense, a couple of elite relievers, and minor league depth. Nothing really left for them to do except try to unload the bad Hanley/Panda contracts if they can.
  11. What would the point of an offer have been? Public relations? lol
  12. co-signed
  13. Different regimes, bro.
  14. If he starts at 5 WAR in 2016 and then declines normally while a $/WAR of $8M inflates normally, he'll be worth: 40 38.52 36.98 34.95 32.35 29.11 25.15 = $237M Of course you wouldn't really expect him to total that much WAR. The added risk with pitchers in particular is the heightened chance that they will blow out their arm and miss a huge chunk of time, or just decline precipitously like Sabathia did. The extent to which you want to bake that into the projections is discretionary. I don't know the proper percentage for "pitcher risk adjustment".
  15. f***ing Rogers!!!!!!!!
  16. Buzz from Twitter is that buzz from Korea is that the Twins were lowballing him pretty bad but he just signed anyway because he wants to play in the MLB
  17. Projections aren't really designed to predict playing time. Later on in the offseason Fangraphs will have team depth charts properly updated and at that point you can kind of sort of see projected playing time on those pages, but right now you can ignore what Steamer thinks for PA and IP. The current Fangraphs depth charts aren't really curated - more of an artifact from 2015. If you use Steamer600 right now it scales everyone to 600 PA / 200 IP / 65 IP (for relievers). It's much more useful for comparisons. Travis' recovery time window bleeds into spring training so it's possible that he won't quite be ready to break camp with the team. They probably do need someone else on the roster than can man an IF position since Travis and Tulo are both big injury risks and Goins can't hit. Kelly Johnson is increasingly attractive to me. - 2B depth - LF depth (makes a Revere deal easier) - Has even played some 1B and 3B recently, so has a lot of positional utility - Lefty with some pop - Skills don't seem to have eroded - actually has some upside; could catch a power upswing - cheap as f*** I think he would make the roster much more robust.
  18. Give him a one foot long, square beard though and BTS would enjoy it
  19. I'll take Vicente Padilla in the ugly horse race http://bis.npb.or.jp/players_photo/2013/h/042_61665137.jpg
  20. "in baseball" being used loosely I'm thinking about your LoD offer btw. Not sure how the flag situation will work
  21. Joc Pederson is handsome? I don't really see it.
  22. I think the Tigers gave Rajai Davis 2/$10 a couple of years ago
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