Laika

He replaces Wily as my 20th man.

You are the only hope. I can't computer.

Of course. Baseball is a sophisticated sport. You still see the odd sizeable deviation between FA cost and talent, though. Especially on very big and very small contracts.

That type of talent bumps you up into the Wei-Yin Chen / Jeff Samardzija, 5 year deal territory though.

doesn't even matter though because you're too important in the boxing world to actually take the time to talk trade with anybody

Steamer thinks JA Happ is worth... 2.0 * 8 = 16 1.5 * 8.64 = 12.96 1.0 * 9.33 = 9.33 + = $38.29 million Contextual evidence also offers that he probably has a better than average chance of over-performing his projections.

If only there was like, some type of saber resource where we could access a bunch of newfangled stats that slip through the Fangraphs/BP cracks

The thing about having no good picks is that people can't ask for good picks from you

43 --> 79 waiver upgrade to Silvergun for ARod

Zimmermann's fair 5 year contract under the following assumptions... - $8M $/WAR - 8% inflation in $/WAR - Steamer is correct for 2016 - He declines in the standard fashion 2.8 * 8 = 22.4 2.3 * 8.64 = 19.87 1.8 * 9.33 = 16.79 1.3 * 10.08 = 13.10 0.8 * 10.88 = 8.70 + = $80.86MM Of course, Steamer could be wrong. Adding 0.5 WAR to each year makes the total projected value $104.36M, which is essentially the contract. Also, Steamer could basically be correct but the Tigers are buying wins at a rate that is higher than $8M/WAR. 2.8 * 10 = 28 2.3 * 10.8 = 24.84 1.8 * 11.66 = 20.99 1.3 * 12.59 = 16.37 0.8 * 13.60 = 10.88 + = $101.08

LOL this dude pitched 75 complete games in an 80 game season: http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/whitewi01.shtml

FRIAS and TIPS are now both property of the Toronto Blue Jays

It's hard to ignore the trend that JA Happ has demonstrated. In 2014 he posted the best BB rate and velocity of his career. In 2015 he improved on that BB rate to post another career mark, while adding more K's so that his K-BB% was the best of his career. He also pitched a career high in innings while largely maintaining the velocity gains from 2014, AND he even got better as the season went on. Of course, it all lead to the best overall results of his career. So I don't really see a signing based on a strong 2015, or a few strong months in Pittsburgh. I see one based on a multi-year transition and demonstrated learning + maturation. One thing that has to be noted is that, even though he seems durable, he's certainly not an innings eater. This is a 5 or 6 inning guy, which is fine so long as the manager and GM recognize that. Happ doesn't have a lot of tricks in his bag so even common sense tells you that the times through the order penalty should apply to him with full force. By the 3rd time through the opposing team's order, more often than not, they probably have pretty good timing figured out on his fastball. Aaron Sanchez as a 2 inning power RHP in the bullpen would complement Happ very well. You draw it up as 5 or 6 from Happ, 1 or 2 from Sanchez, then 1 each from Cecil and Osuna.

Has to be GD. I am in the weeds right now with finals and a massive term paper

Hard to like or hate this. Jays need pitching, he's fine, doesn't cost a draft pick, has been OK here before, is a little bit intriguing because of Pittsburgh success/changes, and we live in a world where Feldman and Vargas have gotten deals like this already. Have to take what you can get in free agency.

Tulo Donaldson Martin Bautista Edwin In 2017/2018 they could be paying five players around $100MM. Safe to say that if Price sign in Toronto, one of EE/Bautista has no chance of getting extended?

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2015/11/extension-candidate-jose-bautista.html How much would you offer both of them this offseason? Would you pick one over the other? Try to give them raises in 2016 in exchange for shorter terms?

He was actually serviceable last year and would be a massive upgrade on any other MiLB depth options currently in the system

Wow, Deck was actually serviceable in AA and AAA last year. That's kind of terrifying.

question all of your life choices

Has anyone turned over their entire roster now? Almost my entire roster has come from trades. A couple of adds. The only remaining original Butt Stallion is Zobrist. Hisashi Iwakuma Danny Salazar Jake Arrieta Kyle Hendricks Hector Rondon Jonathan Papelbon Raisel Iglesias Brett Anderson Adam Wainwright Wily Peralta Joey Votto Neil Walker Evan Longoria Ben Zobrist Chris Davis Alex Gordon Dexter Fowler Brad Miller Corey Dickerson Tommy Pham

Getting back on topic, decide for yourself if the 2016 roster is fragile:

Pillsbury Canada?

Met you and thought you were 60

like Hope Solo it's when her gape is so big you can see sunshine in there