Laika

If Ohtani stays healthy it's his, regardless of how to final WAR lines up between them. We've seen triple crown winners before and we've seen hitters dominate like Vlad. Nobody alive has ever seen someone do what Ohtani is doing. Ohtani has a chance to do this: .270/.360 50+ HR 100+ RBI 100+ R 20+ SB 7+ fWAR on offense 25+ GS 130+ IP ERA under 3.00 FIP under 3.50 K% over 30% 3+ fWAR as a SP

Better than Babe This is my MVP. Sorry, Vlad. They are tied for the MLB lead in fWAR now with 4.7 each

Probably not an AAV quite that high. DJLM is a recent comparable and he got 6/90, so a $15M AAV. Semien will be one year younger. Could certainly see a $20M AAV happening.

I think he does have more upside. The foundation is so strong - a lefty who can sit 95+ and get by throwing fastballs like 60% of the time. The guy literally only needs one more wrinkle in his repertoire to start limiting home runs. Just something, anything, to get the hitters off his fastball just a bit. Doesn't even have to be a changeup. And he has so much experience, he has used curveballs, changeups, and sinkers more often at various points in his career, so it's not like he is starting from scratch on anything; he knows what works and what doesn't, for him. Just go back to the lab in the offseason and find one more wrinkle.

6 against the Rays before the ASG in July and then 7 against Boston that month after the ASG. Put your big boy pants on and win a bunch of those games. Win the division.

Well, nobody has ever accused Donaldson of being classy.

Semien signed here as a 2B with the intent of testing free agency. Really hard to see him agreeing to an extension. Decent s*** with Ray though. Good vibes there.

Dude has pretty bad pitch recognition. He is what he is. It's a small miracle he is able to avoid striking out 30% of the time

Lmao at that swing by Reese. BABIP luck went straight to his horny head

control f "reached on error" https://www.mlb.com/news/ted-williams-boldness-paid-off-in-406-season-c203704716

lol so is the implication that he would have only hit .390 or whatever by today's scoring standards? makes sense actually seems wrong though i just can't see that being true.

The rejection of that comes from ignorance though. Or an immature worshipping of randomness. Imagine they did miss the playoffs by one game and they ran Joe Panik out there all year long and he ended up at -0.1 fWAR and -0.2 bWAR. Would you look at that as a missed opportunity, not upgrading on him with say a useful platoon player? Of course you would. Or would you instead say, hey remember that walkoff single Panik got on May 22nd? WAR is wrong and he was worth a win this year, so it was fine to carry him. You can't expect a bench player to be worth two wins. No, of course you wouldn't. That would be retarded.

It's not my fault that you don't understand the difference between WAR and WPA. Do your own research, meat. https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/wpa/ Now go look at your original post in this thread and think about it some more. What is the point of your post? Go get hired as a GM and bring in a bunch of guys with good WPA or large RBI totals in the past, and see how you do. Hint: the teams that focus on acquiring projected WAR will leave you in the dust. It's perfectly valid and sensible to say that acquiring Dickerson increases their projected future WAR by 1 win and that's a good thing. We can't predict his future WPA or RBI totals so what is the point in thinking about it? He could literally hit five walk off homers and be worth way more than one win in the win column, but that's random.

The exact opposite of this is true. Not only are you wrong, you are wrong and you have embarrassed yourself. WAR is not predictive. It's about assigning a value to what happened, based on measurements of performance. A player who runs a hot BABIP will also run a hot WAR, that doesn't mean it will be sustainable.

Anyway, flawless trade really. A masterpiece that doesn't matter much.

Sounds like the minor leaguer is RHP Andrew McInvale That's a legit "who?" guy from me. Late pick in 2019. AA reliever with lots of K's this year. Probably has some semblance of stuff.

I dunno, Montreal has a lot of presently underrated talent. Cole Caufield looks electric at times. Nick Suzuki seems very good. They do have a decent young core breaking through right now but it's early stages. A few other players that are capable of a lot more, too.

Absolutely. Cimber is a pretty big upgrade on (pick your worst current reliever). It's good to get a different look in the pen too. And guys like him who DON'T rely on wicked spin just got a league relative skill upgrade because of the new foreign substance rules (he didn't get better but a good number of his peers got worse; yes there is an assumption here, maybe Cimber used the sticky stuff and I don't know). Dickerson is also a pretty f***ing good hitter who has made himself into a playable left fielder. Capable of hitting .300 with power. A fantastic platoon option for the struggling Gurriel. Yeah, Dickerson's game is flawed but he's not a zero. Better at baseball than Joe Panik right now.

https://www.mlb.com/prospects/stats/top-prospects Select Teams from the dropdown

f*** it hurts to say this but I want Montreal to win. Very badly.

Mostly just Ray. Stripling will do what he's told and Matz doesn't have enough clout in the organization for his opinion to matter.

Brandon Morrow is really the perfect comparison. Merryweather is basically Brandon Morrow if Brandon Morrow, for some weird reason, didn't get called up to the majors until he was 28.

Better than a coin flip chance that at least one of Ryu-Ray-Matz-Stripling-Manoah will be banged up by then and it's a moot point but if everyone is healthy and Stripling is still throwing the ball like he is it would be a tough call. You'd hate to move Stripling to relief in that situation. Because Manoah would profile as an elite reliever I think that's the move (Manoah to the pen) and I guess there are also some seniority considerations there. Huge upgrade to the pitching staff no matter where the bodies land. Imagine Ryu-Ray-Pineda-Matz-Stripling with Manoah and Pearson in the pen, ready to shut games down or backup a SP if they don't have it.

I believe I have it set to "enter playoff matchups manually" so that it gives us four weeks doesn't matter. The fourth playoff week will just be ignored. It won't automatically generate a 16 team playoff. I don't actually remember if we merge the last two playoff weeks into one in the DDL or if we just end the playoffs before the final MLB week. I did change the trade deadline to August 31st just now.

Marlins get: Alejandro Melean Toronto gets: Yimi Garcia Veteran rental reliever. Toronto will need at least one and I doubt they want to pay up for them. Garcia should be useful but should not be too expensive. Melean is a low minors, low probability P prospect with solid stuff. Could sub him out for Luis Quinones or a number of other similar prospects. Twins get: Miguel Hiraldo Toronto gets: Michael Pineda and Taylor Rogers Toronto tries to get Berrios but settles for Pineda as the teams can't come to terms on the bigger deal. Pineda is a rotation upgrade at the time of the deal and has some upside. Pineda is an expiring contract. Rogers is really good, perhaps an elite reliever, and under control next year. Toronto is not happy about giving up Hiraldo but the pressure from BJMB posters for them to upgrade the pen pushed them outside of their comfort zone. Arizona gets: Leo Jimenez and Naswell Paulino Toronto gets: Eduardo Escobar Joe Panik has been replacement level. This is an offensive depth upgrade. I am seeing rumours that Eduardo Escobar may be getting traded to the White Sox right now but whatever, I'll leave this.