Laika

Post was bait. Reese blows

When a player like Taylor combines mediocre ISO with low AVG and low BABIP in the minors, I tend to assume that they don't hit the ball hard. That may not be true all of the time. What evidently has happened with Samad Taylor is that he had pool noodle IN GAME power, most of the time, but he had okay RAW POWER that was just rarely showing up in games. Probably because of an underdeveloped hit tool.

Reese McGuire MLB batting average by season: 2018 - .290 2019 - .299 2020 - .077 2021 - .290

That package is pretty bonkers. Might be tough to actually get a player good enough for all of that.

Both potential studs, can't go wrong, I'd take Marte. More dynamic and more room for error. Could be a top 10 prospect. Gabriel Moreno would go after McClanahan but above Lowe. Somewhere in there.

He had pool noodle power in previous years so this is borderline shocking to see.

Guerrero Franco Bieber Torkelson Kelenic Alvarez Carlson Semien Peralta May McCullers Abrams Brujan Adell McClanahan Suarez (assuming Euginio?) Murphy Pearson Meyer Manning Clevinger Lowe Strasburg Corbin Heaney Woods Richardson Alek Thomas? Bart Verlander Stripling Hancock There is my incredibly rough, one minute ranking of your players. The bolded names count up to 20. In deep keeper leagues with a specific keeper amount, you need to tailor everything to optimize your top 20 through the cutdown. Yes, you probably should trade some of these older guys if you can, but the ultimate goal needs to be consolidating multiple pieces into clear keeper upgrades. Strasburg for Grayson + Patino + Casas would be a f***ing steal and you should do it immediately, but then you still have work to do because you may not be able to fit Casas into your top 20. You should try to do your own 2-for-1 and 3-for-1 trades to push every bit of value you can into your top 20. Package Clevinger with two good prospects you don't love (say Joey Bart and Nate Pearson) for one rock solid keeper, for example. Identify the prospects you could live without and try to package them up for young core players. You could compete as soon as 2022 if you can convert some of those flimsy prospects into bankable production, because your nucleus seems very good.

1000% Franco will outperform him ROS

Lopez really chops at the ball - practically swings down at it. He does not try to hit for power from what I've seen.

One of the most common reasons a prospect will fail is an inability to make contact. If you can put the bat on the ball you have a chance. Lopez isn't very similar to Espinal. Better offensive tools across the board but worse defense, apparently. Lopez' ceiling might be more like Marwin Gonzalez.

5 team games he just has one start pushed back a day, basically they might be appealing just to line up the start of his 5 game suspension in a strategic way

That's one game without Montoyo and Manoah only has a start pushed back a day. So a net win.

Greg Polanco dropped. Sad. I'm not touching him

The platoon splits that right handed hitters demonstrate tend to be much smaller than lefties. I think the average wOBA split for LHB is about 9% but for RHB it's more like 6%. Meaning the typical LHB will be 9% worse against same-side pitching, while the typical RHB is only 6% worse against same-side pitching. Because of this, I would also assume that the hitters who exhibit NO platoon splits are more likely to be RHB. Righties don't get dusted by ROOOGYs the same way lefties get dusted by LOOOGYs. Even to the point that it is a concern (say the true talent platoon splits of Bo, Vlad, and Teo all end up being more like 9%) it's a problem that is solvable by just plugging one LHB in between them, or even one RHB with no true talent platoon split. So it's not really an intractable long term problem.

Doesn't matter as much when it happens in this direction. A lot of these right handed hitters won't exhibit huge platoon splits. Now having a lineup of mostly lefties is probably a bad idea.

Yeah but they're all freaks. If I look at a population and notice that a subset of the population is more likely to be/do something (say I notice short+bald people are more likely to order a wife from Russia), if I then look WITHIN that subset of the population that specific dependent variable will likely just look normally distributed within the subset. Plenty of short+bald people don't order their wives from Russia.

Big difference between being a normal height + strong like Trout and being someone with a glandular disorder that makes them a freakish giant like Judge and Stanton. You'd never expect abnormally tall/big people to hold up. Terrible point here, Connor.

Fragile is the opposite of robust. You just said the same thing as me. I dunno, I'm not a doctor. Mike Trout's bigger muscles could provide structural support to his body, though. Of course it is all very complicated but when you watch Byron Buxton with his gazelle frame and gracile bone structure "glide" around the field you don't really think of someone who will be able to avoid breaking bones all the time while playing sports.

Watch the Tom Segura attempted dunk injury. Hilarious. Not sure there are more or less injuries in either sport though. You'd have to run an analysis. The thing with basketball is that so much of the sport is rhythm - the players don't know what is going to happen exactly but their internal clocks can kind of time the flow of the game/plays. On the contrary a lot of baseball is purely reactionary.

smart Spanky

If he is truly more injury prone then there is a reason for it. It's not a physical trait that just exists in the abstract.

Too big for shortstop, just like everyone said when he was a prospect. I guess.

Yeah he plays incredibly hard and has explosive athleticism, but his frame is not exactly robust. 6'2" 190 compared to, say, a tank like Mike Trout at 6'2" 235

He's 15th and 12th on the two lists posted. If anything we are overrating him

There is a service time threshold too, for rookie status, and IIRC they even tweaked it for 2020 because of the shortened season. I think it's only 45 days of active service time. In normal seasons September does not count as far as the active service time goes.