Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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Yeah these are my thoughts too. The only thing that may be interesting or insightful in that tweet thread is the part about them attacking Vlad with fastballs. But I don't think that matters, the guy can and does smoke everything. -
https://www.pitcherlist.com/going-deep-batted-ball-direction-and-baseball-savants-xstats/ Yes, the fact that xBA and xSTATS do not properly adjust for flyball hit direction is a known problem. BUT one thing not captured in the analysis so far is "non-event risk" i.e. the risk of wasting a good or great swing on a foul ball. Extreme pull hitters will have higher non-event risk and waste more good swings. Guys like Vlad have lower non-event risk and therefore put more good swings in play. This is common sense visible through everyone's favourite statistic, batting average - just think about or look at your favourite extreme pull hitters and where their batting averages typically end up. They hit for more HR power because of wall distance but they hit for lower BA because of non-event risk.
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Yeah that's a big part. Good defenders, perfect positioning.
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And some of it was bad luck. Hit some balls hard with runners on, right into gloves.
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yes
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Valera is twice the hitter McGuire is. Not pinch hitting for Reese was awful. The lefty righty thing totally does not matter because the talent gap between Kirk and Reese offensively is like, literally .100 wOBA points
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Is Kirk REALLY not pinch hitting? holy f*** this is a bad one
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It might be less than ideal. He struggled, by his standards. 108 pitches in five innings.
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It was Cole vs a random Orioles spot starter. That one was like a 90% win prob for the Yankees.
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Man Charlie Montoyo sure knows how to kill a streak. What was he thinking sitting the red hot Grichuk for Dickerson?
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These aren't the same thing, lol. So you'd abandon a platoon the first time one of the players has a big game or two? Seems f***ing stupid
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Because he hasn't been a starter. He hasn't been hot all month - he's been fine in a part time role for most of the month and happens to have a bunch of hits in the last few games.
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They aren't in that tough. It's Jose Berrios vs a guy who has mostly been a reliever. Rasmussen is due to get hit around. Dickerson and McGuire will both destroy him. Charlie is MOY.
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No. Those days are over. There will be no more Grich riding. Ever.
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Oh, you should look at his career. Increase the sample size, bro.
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26 man roster in the playoffs so two need to go from the current team. Biggio probably makes it back and bumps someone too. So if nobody else gets hurt three need to go from the current roster. McGuire is obvious. Borucki is obvious. Then I think they'd just lose Lamb for Biggio. Valera has proven himself kind of useful. Not sure if the above would be the typical bat - pitcher ratio though. Someone else can check.
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We have watched Grichuk disappoint for multiple seasons and then a couple of multi-hit games in a row and all of a sudden everyone wants him playing over a LHB against a power righty lmao.
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He is a few hundred PA against both LHB and RHB away from his pitcher platoon splits stabilizing but wtf are you even looking at when you say that? ???? LHB .326 wOBA RHB .261 wOBA
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I find it very unlikely that Dickerson won't be on any playoff roster.
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"Grichuk has been good lately" ----- guys it was two good games, against Baltimore and the Rays depleted bullpen assortment with a LHP going in bulk. Before that, I guess he ran into a homer against the Yankees. You still put the LHB in against a power RHP like Rasmussen. Grichuk is a part time player now. In a platoon, sort of. This is how it should be managed. On McGuire playing... Kirk has been playing a lot so I sort of get that. I suppose it's just getting Reese into a game against a tough looking RHP. Not sure I agree with that.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2021)
Laika replied to TwistedLogic's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Next year he starts setting his sights higher than that. The single season record is doable... -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2021)
Laika replied to TwistedLogic's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Two more to tie Eddie Matthews atop that leaderboard. Being HR total for a player 22 or younger. Matthews did it his age 21 season though so Matthews would still have that 21 and younger category to himself. If Vlad can hit 50 he would be tied for #1 in the 23 and younger category as well. Fellow large man Prince Fielder did that. 24 and younger is when it becomes out of reach. 58 by Jimmie Foxx -
I think he could add velocity too. It's not hard to imagine him getting into elite physical condition and adding one or two ticks to his fastball. He really has a complete bag of pitches: - The wicked slider, which he can throw out of the zone for whiffs or drop into the zone for called strikes - The two seamer with a lot of movement - The four seamer he can throw up in the zone for whiffs. He may even be able to manipulate this a bit and cut it? - A useable changeup I think his imposing presence and affinity for throwing up and in also gets some hitters on their heels.
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Probably to give Manoah a CG chance.
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Kinky Dr. Bauer
