Laika

Fangraphs has the A's odds at just 10.9%. M's at just 5.5%. Sort of interesting that Boston's odds aren't just right there in the 50s or 60s with Toronto and Boston. Yeah they are 1 and 1.5 games up but Toronto is a better team. I guess you could say that Boston IS probably better than the Yankees. Toronto has FOURTEEN games left against the Orioles (45 wins) and Twins (62 wins). I guess the Twins could be an annoying team, they still have some talent; 6 or 7 good to decent hitters and a few spoilery arms like Joe Ryan and Bailey Ober.

In his career, but not in 2018. Just take the L here, JimcLownuk

I like the people on twitter shutting him up. Mike, actuary and masters degree in statistics here. This is exactly how playoff odds would change with less than a month left in season and a week of winning every game while other important teams lost a lot too. this is probably the dumbest thing i’ve ever read in regards to playoff odds etc. just a profound misunderstanding of odds shouted with a beating chest. no wonder this guy gets clowned so often It’s almost like every game is super important and the jays have gone an an insanely unlikely streak while the teams they are chasing have sucked? But should the odds algorithm or whatever it is not have understood that #Bluejays were just as good or better as the teams they were behind, just playing poorly, and those other teams weren’t going to be able to sustain the pace they’d set? That’s what I want from my math! (Mike) They did! Even when we were behind Oakland and Seattle record wise, we had a better chance of making the playoffs than them. Just getting back into position to make the playoffs was going to take a once in every 5 years streak and we still have plenty of work to do! (Mike does not respond, probably went to Little Caesars for their new Bacon Cruncher pizza)

Yeah hard to say. It's v possible that if Ohtani came up from an American high school the system makes him give up pitching or hitting at some point.

I dont think that's true though. He might end up comparable at hitting if you only look at WAR, but it may be that Ruth was half of the pitcher Ohtani was, in context. And if you look past WAR Ohtani's season on offense blows Ruth's out of the dirty water

Do you mean we probably will see?

There are also non WAR reasons Ohtani is better. Ruth's 2018 was largely non descript... boring bulk SP innings in a relieverless era and an offensive season that looked nothing like prime Ruth.

And the stats will show that this has never been done. Nobody has ever been this good at hitting and pitching at the same time. The WAR proves it. Babe was the closest for a couple of seasons but not as impressive. Sorry babe.

So Ohtani is going to blow him out of the water when it's all said and done. Okay.

Never did this. He did overlap hitting with pitching but not like Ohtani is now. Babe just kind of transitioned to hitting. 1919 was the closest but he didn't out up full time pitching stats, he wasn't even half of a SP by 1919 standards

Well...... Dunno about that one

I guess Saucedo was just stretching or something lol. Looked like he was coming in

Wait are they going to bring Sauce into this game? Not great

Your body is good at storing mass. You've just been feeding it Doritos instead of protein and muscle stimulation. (You probably don't have any advantages when it comes to cardio, lol)

Terrible PA by Vlad, tough luck on Kirk's attempt (just not deep enough and hit to the wrong guy) and then a bad strike 3 call.

Swag bomb

Who said Kirk can't lose weight?

insert comment about Montoyo and AJ Cole last year

I know you are just pounding your iPad with random words so people respond, and trolling Grant, but I'm going to respond in a straightforward way anyway. There are five teams within 3.5 games of each other and they have 20 to 24 games left. It's already a multi-team race! lol. Even if Seattle sucks compared to the other four (they do) they could get in based on chance alone. And Boston could just outscore their opponents, win a bunch of 9-8 games, and get in.

It's looking like all of Boston, New York, Toronto, Seattle, and Oakland will be in a dogfight for the wild card spots. This might make it unlikely that any team gets the benefit of lining up their Ace for the WC game. Something like Manoah vs. Pivetta or Taillon might be more likely than Ace vs. Ace.

Wow Chapman is f***ing awful now. He has lost so much velo

Buck despises Gary Sanchez and I love it

Good decision by chuckles!!!

That's how he deals with pressure obviously - by being outgoing. It's not that uncommon. Not everybody needs to turn into a statue of Roy Halladay when they are pitching.