Laika

I think he would. Certainly top part of round 1. Here are the 2021 draftees in the top 100 Mayer - 12 Lawlar - 13 Leiter - 24 Davis - 34 Painter - 58 House - 65 Williams - 71 (Gavin) Jobe - 84 Watson - 88 Tiedemann - 89 Williams - 91 (Carson) McLain - 93 Frelick - 95

Hmmmm he has been clobbered by lefties in his career. Interesting.

Yeah top ~50 or so prospects are a level above. When I looked at career WAR vs prospect rankings, my take away from the curves was that prospects in the 51 to 150 range, roughly speaking, are basically equivalent. This is illustrated by Fangraphs' rankings on The Board. If you look at their 2021 board, prospect #49 was a 50 FV and that 50 FV runs all the way to prospect 137. So the question with Orelvis is basically.... do you think he's a 55 or 60 FV and therefore a top 50 dude, or is he a 50 FV player? If the latter then he could rank 55th or 140th and it wouldn't make much difference to me. I can understand why a scouting clique might watch him this year and just decide that the tools are not going to play above a 50 FV at the MLB level.

So today is probably a yellow for Vlad, which means he's the DH. And then maybe a red for Gurriel, scheduled off day.

Most of it is They mentioned on the broadcast that the front office gives Charlie a colour coded card for reliever availability. Red = no, green = yes, yellow = try to avoid. I bet something similar happens with bats.

Probably none? Jansen was hurt for most of that period, Kirk was swinging a pool noodle. Heineman was miraculously mediocre for his few games. And didn't Collins kind of win Toronto a game or two with beeeeg klutch hits?

lol Bo had just two 2 walk games in his entire career he has six 2 HR games

1) Stripling - huge long man game 2) Jansen - the big swing 3) Bo - three walks! career high! hm: Espinal for his furthest hit ever

Here are the May Updates (most of the reports are not updated in the text, only these few) May Update: As noted in Tiedemann’s offseason report the lefthander’s velocity jumped after signing “sitting 94-98 mph in short bursts” up from his 88-91 mph in Juco. Early in 2022 those short bursts have grown into long stretches. As he’s sitting 94-97 mph as a starter going 70-80 pitches per start, with heavy armside run generated from his lower slot. The combination proves a challenge for hitters as they swing and miss against it at a high rate. He pairs his fastball with a sweepy slider in the low-80s with over a foot of gloveside break. His changeup may be his best pitch, as it has heavy armside run, as well as vertical and velocity separation off of his fastball. The changeup is Tiedemann’s second most used pitch and has led to early success in the Florida State League. May Update: Pitching exclusively out of the bullpen his draft spring for Missouri State, Juenger showed stuff but few expected when the Blue Jays selected him in the sixth round he’d be starting in Double-A less than a year later. Opposing scouts view Juenger as one of the top players in the system at present and like his velocity and feel for a pair of secondaries. Juenger is sitting 94-96 mph, touching 97 mph on his fastball from a flat vertical approach angle, allowing him to miss bats on his four-seamer. He mixes two mid-80s secondaries in a changeup with heavy arm-side run that grades as his best bat-missing pitch and a slider in the mid 80s with sweep and slight ride. It’s a high-octane pitch mix that has scouts taking notice, as he’s produced solid results despite an aggressive assignment. The Toronto organization showed confidence in Juenger’s abilities by assigning him to Double-A out of camp. He’s been limited to 2-3 innings per outing now as he transitions from a primary reliever to a starter. May Update: Hernandez is a 5-foot-9 reliever who rose three levels in 2021 to reach Double-A as a 21-year-old, striking out 108 batters in 62.1 innings. He pitches around 90-92 mph and touches 95, with a plus changeup that’s his bread-and-butter pitch. May Update: Pitching from an extremely low slot, Palmer has an unusual operation that produces a tremendous amount of horizontal movement on all of his pitches. He struggles to command his slider and changeup consistently, but when he gets each in the zone he’s extremely difficult for hitters to barrel. All of his pitches produce over a foot of horizontal movement, which depending upon the pitch could be to the arm or glove side. If Palmer can tighten up his strike throwing he could develop into a back-end starter, but more than likely he can fit into a multi-inning relief role providing an unusual look out of the pen. May Update: Signed out of Venezuela in 2019, the 19-year-old Martinez has impressed scouts with his bat speed and feel to hit. There’s projectable power in his frame and good barrel control. He shows above-average bat-to-ball skills, but his approach can get aggressive at times as he’s prone to expand the zone. He has enough bat-to-ball skills and power to get by with a certain level of chase, as he’s able to make contact with pitches on the fringes of the zone. He’s a corner outfield-only player with average defensive skills, and is most comfortable in left field. It’s a profile where he’ll have to hit but he has the baseline bat-to-ball skills and bat speed to make it work.

MIDSEASON TOP 30 PROSPECTS Click prospect for player report 1 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno C 2 Orelvis Martinez Orelvis Martinez SS/3B 3 Ricky Tiedemann Ricky Tiedemann LHP 4 Jordan Groshans Jordan Groshans SS/3B 5 Nate Pearson Nate Pearson RHP 6 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 2B/OF/SS 7 Leo Jimenez Leo Jimenez SS 8 Luis Meza Luis Meza C 9 Sem Robberse Sem Robberse RHP 10 Hayden Juenger Hayden Juenger RHP 11 Manuel Beltre Manuel Beltre SS 12 Estiven Machado Estiven Machado SS 13 Adrian Pinto Adrian Pinto SS/2B 14 Irv Carter Irv Carter RHP 15 Tanner Morris Tanner Morris 2B/3B/SS 16 Samad Taylor Samad Taylor SS/OF 17 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 1B/OF 18 C.J. Van Eyk C.J. Van Eyk RHP 19 Chad Dallas Chad Dallas RHP 20 Dahian Santos Dahian Santos RHP 21 Kendry Rojas Kendry Rojas LHP 22 Yhoangel Aponte Yhoangel Aponte OF 23 Adrian Hernandez Adrian Hernandez RHP 24 Adam Kloffenstein Adam Kloffenstein RHP 25 Hagen Danner Hagen Danner RHP 26 Trent Palmer Trent Palmer RHP 27 Rikelvin De Castro Rikelvin De Castro SS 28 Luis Garcia Luis Garcia SS 29 Jean Carlos Joseph Jean Carlos Joseph OF 30 Gabriel Martinez Gabriel Martinez OF

it's just the ability to put the bat on the ball you know this, man you can have an elite hit tool and not be an elite hitter if you have no patience and no power people put 60s and 70s on Raimel Tapia's hit tool The theory is that tools are INNATE and cannot be changed. The other stuff is all skills, and can be learned to some extent. So when you are looking at 15 year olds, you care more about physical tools. You can teach them skills. Now of course some of this is ********. We know that certain things like pitch recognition are probably to some extent just as innate as a physical tool.

End of year prediction Grichuk -0.5 Tapia +0.5

No and no.

results don't = tools tools are just the physical ability Vlad sells out a little bit for power it's virtually impossible to have 80 hit tool looking RESULTS (contact and s***) and massive game power. And it's probably not the best approach. He might have an 80 hit tool with 70 raw power but he chooses to be a 70 game hit tool with 70 game power, rather than an 80 game hit tool with 50 game power. Or whatever - you can do a different hypothetical. It's just an illustration.

Mike Trout still is

League adjusted to him + he's pressing. Or was pressing. He's been better lately. I think they are pounding him down in the zone. He needs to focus on hitting singles and doubles until the pitchers try to throw him up in the zone again. Eno Sarris said this and it makes sense to me

Perfect example of Merryweather's issues tonight. Blows the first two hitters away. Gets ahead of the next two s***** hitters and then inexplicably grooves fastballs, centre of the zone. It's like when he misses he does so in the middle of the zone.lol

I do not disagree with you necessarily But his FB is getting hammered more this season than ever I actually don't know how good the secondaries are with him anymore. Higher usage and those figured will dip. Some of the stuff like whiff rates don't look amazing or elite in past seasons.

I think a s***** team claims him. Lefty with gooooood stufffffff and a few years of control

I definitely have more confidence that Merryweather can figure his s*** out at this level than Borucki. Borucki has no idea where anything is going - can barely hit the strike zone anymore. Merryweather can actually throw strikes. His problems are less extreme. Just missing in or around the zone. Also probably being very unlucky.

"no Tapia/Zimmer" niceeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

I don't know rugby but policies that like can work if most every call is subjective, because a culture of disputing calls leads to a bad product. Like the whining in basketball about officiating, and flopping, on every play is just awful to watch. But with pitching and balls/strikes it's objective. It was either in or out. On a macro level maybe the pitchers getting upset from time to time could help things change for the better... be that robo umps or just umps assessing their own processes better or policing each other better. Like, if the ump is egregiously wrong they should be put on the spot.

Someone will sign him to be a SP I have no interest. He's a downgrade in every conceivable role. Cooked.

I just watched some of the 2022 youtube videos of Groshans' at bats Really patient approach. Spits on a lot of pitches, spits on junk consistently, seems to rarely make bad swings. A lot of his contact is pretty boring though. Grounders down the line, little duck farts to right field. Looks more like DJ LeMahieu or Brandon Nimmo than any type of power hitter

Yeah there is a theory that if this new baseball is THE new baseball for years and years it should favour contact hitters more. Well, at least a lot more than the game has favoured contact / line drive type hitters over the last few years.