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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Wait, connorp has cracked baseball. Hold up. Everybody is likely to fail, in every at bat. Hitters should just ALWAYS BUNT. Never don't bunt. Just bunt.
  2. Laika
    Bitch that is PART of the nearly infinite number of events considered within the basic zero out, two on RE
  3. Laika
    - Doesn't even know how run expectancy works - Doesn't realize that after Kirk and Vlad, Biggio is actually the best on the team at "not getting out" by results in 2022
  4. Laika
    That's the prior game looks like umpire scorecards run like 36 hours behind
  5. Laika
    how can you be this f***ing stupid? how?
  6. Laika
    Just ask the run expectancy matrix. Zero outs and men on 1st and 2nd: 1.373 One out and men on 2nd and 3rd: 1.352 So it's basically a neutral decision. But it was Biggio vs. a s***** RHP which is probably a favourable matchup. I think that fact makes the bunt decision bad. If they were giving up a PA that was Biggio vs. a LHP or a good reliver then sure, it's neutral.
  7. Laika
    Yeah he has poor command. Quite poor.
  8. Laika
    Thank god they DID spend money on Yimi Garcia. lol
  9. Laika
    Because he's getting lucky. His ERA looks good enough and he leads the AL in saves.
  10. Laika
    Some of the called strikes that Cease was getting earlier in the game were insane. Insane. I wonder how even the f*** ups ended up being.
  11. Laika
    Yankees, Rays, Astros, Dodgers, Giants Cardinals, Brewers, Braves, Blue Jays, Red Sox That's not in order. But probably my top 10, in some order. Padres close, or in there over one of the teams in the second level. I also respect what is happening in Minnesota, Cleveland, Seattle, with the Mets, and kind of sort of Oakland (some years) and the Chicago teams. And maybe Detroit. But maybe the Tigers and White Sox suck. I dunno. Borderline s*** orgs. Cubs are weird right now too. Everyone else sucks.
  12. Laika
    Yeah I don't care that much about history. If we are doing org rankings it's basically a projection for me. Which organizations will be good going forward? History informs that of course because that's your best evidence for competency but the Red Sox just seem okay to me all things considered. Their biggest weapon is their payroll. They don't draft or develop amazingly.
  13. Laika
    LOL look at the statcast park factors for Camden last year vs this year for RHB
  14. Laika
    Yeah they changed the fences. It's murder for RHB now.
  15. Laika
    Yeah I dunno about top 3 lmao I will give you top 10 org
  16. Laika
    Sale coming back. Rehabbing now...
  17. Laika
    Is his ERA better than his xFIP? Lopez - yes Tate - yes Bautista - yes Akin - yes Baker - no Krehbiel - yes Perez - yes 6/7 when looking at RPs who have pitches 20+ innings for them Just look at K rates. Some of these guys are not that amazing. Get used to Baltimore pitchers being "good", by mirage.
  18. Laika
    One thing that you have to factor here when giving Baltimore any credit is the 2022 park factors. Their ballpark changes in conjunction with the ball changes have had a MASSIVE effect. Their park factor for runs is now 0.85 on the season and for homers it's now 0.675. I am not kidding. In 2021 those numbers were 1.16 and 1.574 It's like taking a pitcher from the one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball and moving them directly into one of the most pitcher friendly.... so far.
  19. Laika
    errrrrrrrrrr he was a dumpster fire for 1.5 seasons in Arizona before Toronto acquired him and also "just okay" but trending down the two seasons before that
  20. Laika
    today I learned that Royce Lewis died again sad
  21. Laika
    We are in like, year 12 of people thinking Seattle is smart. I don't know why they get so much credit from people; in a lot of ways they have been a developmental disaster a long time running. Remember the #6 org meme? https://blogs.fangraphs.com/organizational-rankings-6-seattle/ I will of course admit that things look promising for them on the pitching side. Kirby and Gilbert should be good. I don't know. I'm just not worried about Toronto right now. I'm looking at the arms coming up who are currently in A and A+ and it all seems super comfy. The MLB org just needs to bridge to that wave, I think.
  22. Laika
    It doesn't have to take that long if you can poach or identify talent like the Rays do. I don't know if Seattle has just been lucky or if it's a repeatable organizational skill but they have had some very good little waiver claims / trades in the pen last few years. Could just be luck though, we are really only talking about 3 or 4 acquisitions. I still think the most sustainable approach is to try to develop a system that just shits out new high octane arms every year like Houston or LA. One thing that the Jays might be guilty of is sticking with guys as starters too long. Like what if they took a completely different approach with guys like Hatch and Kay and Pearson and at some point one or two years ago just told them they are pure relievers - go to the pen and air it out.
  23. Laika
    The pipeline for RP prospects needs a long time to develop You basically need to hoard arms for over half a decade and then you finally get a trickle of the failed SPs who can be good RPs filtering up I don't think it's really this regime's fault, yet. If you look at the good, young, whiffy relievers in other bullpens many of them will be 2014 to 2017 signings or draft picks. They have gone budget on pen acquisitions and because of that decided to NOT target whiffs, but that has kind of worked out. Like Cimber is good. Phelps is doing alright. They could be better at trading for or claiming relievers with potential and making them into something. Jason Adam and Bryan Baker were even here, for example...
  24. Laika
    I want to vomit
  25. Laika
    He needs to wear tighter pants Then he will be thinking about whether or not everyone can see his dick, and not about how beeeg and strooong Aaron Judge is
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