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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Devin Williams seems like the perfect buy-low but his numbers under the hood were so good that you wonder if there will even be any sort of discount. He could just get a big deal. Lots of interesting RP options this year. As usual. And lots of them will be landmines. Little and Fluharty have options; I would enjoy a Drew Pomeranz one year pact. That for the back end + someone from the top of the talent list (Suarez, Williams, Helsley) or at least the higher-octane one year deal bin (Fairbanks, Pagan, etc.) That would set up the depth chart for Little and Fisher to get optioned, so there is good depth. Of course dudes will get hurt in spring
  2. Who knows. They have been in on literally everybody for years, so nothing has changed until we see it change. Not that anything needs to change... they could put together a strong team without increasing the budget.
  3. Feel bad for Xander Bogaerts sometimes I hate when a bad contract makes people hate a good player He has given SDP 9.8 fWAR in three seasons. It could be worse!
  4. Jays lose Hunter Mense, assistant hitting coach since 2022. Going to SFG. Might be a sneaky bad loss. You never know with coaches.
  5. Well, probably but you never know when it comes to money. If the owner is putting the squeeze on them there aren't many other options. Machado and Boogers and Cronenworth and Musgrove and Darvish are all not tradeable. Merrill is cheap until 2030. The Padres have just been treading water and performing as less than the sum of their parts for a while. Since they got decent, they have never won the division, made the world series, or won 94+ games. 6 years and counting. Very similar to the Blue Jays pre-2025 actually.
  6. He was a 1 win RP and projected for 0.7 going forward $9M to $11M is basically his market value on a one year deal Rays can do better with that money
  7. want On Bieber: The Bieber mystery (cont.) Across the industry, executives remain baffled by right-hander Shane Bieber’s decision to exercise his $16 million player option with the Blue Jays, calling it one of the most bizarre in recent memory. Bieber, 30, had a $4 million buyout, so he effectively took a one-year, $12 million deal. And while he was effusive about his time with the Jays, he almost certainly would have fared better on the open market. Left-hander Matt Boyd signed a two-year, $29 million free-agent deal with the Chicago Cubs last December after making only 11 starts for the Cleveland Guardians, including postseason, coming off Tommy John surgery. Bieber, 18 months removed from the same surgery, also made 11 starts, and in those games had a combined 3.57 ERA. The Athletic’s Tim Britton projected him at three years and $63 million. Free agents rarely sacrifice money, even from their preferred clubs. The Jays, too, might have paid Bieber more than $12 million on the open market, assuming they were one of his bidders. His decision would have been understandable if an extension was forthcoming. But no such deal is imminent, according to sources briefed on the matter. Bieber, who joined the Blue Jays in a deadline trade, evidently trusts the Jays’ medical and training staffs to help him continue his recovery. But some executives wonder if he is concerned about his health. By exercising his player option, he avoided the physical examination required of free agents before their contracts become official. Bieber started Game 3 in both the Division Series and American League Championship Series before the Jays moved him to Game 4 for the World Series, wanting to give him an extra day of rest and avoid starting him twice in the series. But he showed no signs of strain in Game 4, allowing just one run in 5 1/3 innings. And while he gave up Will Smith’s go-ahead, 11th-inning homer on a 2-0 hanging slider in Game 7, he was pitching on three days rest and making his first relief appearance since March 2019. Maybe Bieber just wanted stability; his wife, Kara, gave birth to their first child, a son named Kav, on March 14. But again, he could have worked out a better deal with the Jays, and perhaps he will at some point in the future. For now, the mystery lingers.
  8. Tatis is a 5-6 win player, will be only 27 in two months, and has 9 years and $292M left on his deal Extending Vlad (same age as Tatis) took a significantly higher commitment Kyle Tucker is two years older, a bit worse right now (~4.5 WAR talent), less tooled up, and will require a contract equal to or greater than what Tatis is owed presently I would easily give up some choice prospects for Tatis.
  9. The Jays did a really good job in 2025 of cycling through their AAAA guys and finding the MLB talent. Wagner and Roden both made the roster but ended up not helping and they were leapfrogged by everyone else. Schreck, Pinango, Leo Jimenez, and Kasevich are all in good positions to get a chance if there are injuries or flops ahead of them
  10. John Schneider did not win Manager of the year. Jays get completely hosed and ripped off in awards season. Robbed of this and multiple Gold Gloves. I can't understand
  11. Yeah, I think the ideal scenario is to retain Bo on a contract that doesn't seem too bad. Some kind of 7 year thing. And then add more. Tucker is better but it's going to be a 10 year deal with a higher AAV, perhaps a much higher AAV in the post-Soto, post-Vlad, post-Ohtani contract landscape. There is a scenario here where Tucker is a $350M+ contract and Bo doesn't even get $200M. I mean, multiple genius pundits don't even consider Bo to be a top 6 free agent. So Bo might be both a market inefficiency and a chance at a little sweetheart deal.
  12. For... crime?
  13. Straw remains untradable Replacement level projection
  14. Reddit lied!
  15. Apparently Bellinger's wife just posted a CN Tower pic on insta
  16. My only real criticism of JS from the playoffs is that he fell into some small sample size fallacies with relievers Absolutely fell in love with Chris Bassitt who then gave up a consequential run in WS G7 Fell in love with Hoffman as the de facto closer because of some postseason innings, even after his massively sucky regular season, and guess who blew WS G7? Abandoned Little after one bad outing There was a better way to manage WS G7 and it was probably trusting Trey Yesavage for the last 9 outs. Maybe Fluharty if you had to get Ohtani in the 9th.
  17. A bit weird to me that the Cubes would decline 3/$57M for Imanaga but then qualify him for $22M Trying to thread the needle Shouldn't he just take that QO?
  18. Kyle Tucker is a corner outfielder who needed a personal therapist and stuffed animal subscription in order to survive ONE season with the Cubs, and you are going to give him $420M but you won't give Bo Bichette $150M when he's basically the same level of talent by WAR, an entire year younger, and a freaking middle infielder with a laboratory grade baseball psyche? This is why you don't work in baseball anymore, Kiley!!!! You have a girly first name, KILEY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  19. These guys are actually on crack They'll beat their meat to "hit tools" until that's the carrying tool of an actual MLB Star then they don't care anymore Treating Bo like he's Javy f***ing Baez up there hacking with a 33% K rate before free agency...
  20. Only way Bo leaves is if some other team blows Toronto's offer out of the water. Like, $50M more. It might happen but I doubt it. Toronto will make him a reasonable offer to be their 2B for the next 7 years and he will take it.
  21. Just sign a Chris Bassitt (or equivalent) then if the team is clicking again trade for the Cease type at the deadline? This is the luxury Toronto has after Bieber opted in and Yesavage had his breakout. 1-3 are accounted for. Don't need to be desperate to sign an SP2.
  22. Sometimes awkward problems just take care of themselves!
  23. Easiest extension decision ever Thank god they didn't fire him after 2024
  24. A lot of pundits say that Bo will not age well because of his defense, athleticism, and approach. This is the easy and obvious argument. The low hanging fruit. What they FAIL to appreciate is the possibility that he becomes a slow fat 35 home run hitter when he gets older. I mean the dude hit a 442 foot tank to dead centre in the World Series - with some gradual approach changes and simply turning on the ball a bit more this is a dude who could hit a lot of homers and then you don't care as much about whether the singles keep falling in. And also the possibility that he's a very good 2B or 3B. What if 33 year old Bobichette is a 30 HR hitting +5 OAA third baseman? Adrian Beltre swung a lot!!! Being able to hit the ball + being able to play up the middle defense ---- these are pure baseball skills. I think sometimes in the nerd/saber analysis of players and what they are worth or how they will age or what they may be worth, people lose sigh of the forest for the trees. They'll want to value or give money to guys who walk and pull balls in the air etc. and it's just not always that easy. Like, look at how Trea Turner has done so far. Guy was a swing happy speedster with minus SS defense at 27 years old.
  25. Bo Bichette extended!
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