Laika
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Everything posted by Laika
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Why do you think this? Straw's contract is a drop in the bucket now. The Jays have a $300M payroll.
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lol what
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Nobody is going to want to pay Straw so you aren't saving money by cutting him. You could cut him for baseball reasons (he is your worst projected player) or asset retention reasons (he won't get claimed, so you can DFA him and outright him to AAA). I don't think they will really do that, since he is the only backup CF on the 40 man. Clase/Loperfido don't seem to have the skills or instincts. But they could outright him off the 40 temporarily as a sneaky asset retention thing and give him the business explanation of "this changes nothing it's just a procedural move, you probably still break camp with us"
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Every solid group of super friends needs one or two *******s
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Marlins are dumb
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I don't think it's 3/$150. It might be $50M in 2026, then a player option for 2027 and 2028
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Well it's just the Bregman thing on a bigger scale Bregman took $40M for a year from BOS and then got $155M present value this offseason, making his effective deal(s) 6/$195M combined. If Tucker is looking at 9/$35m AAV (315M) from Toronto and comparing that to 3/$47m AAV with opt outs from the Mets, it's right for him to think about it. He could take $50M from the Mets for 2026 and then just try to beat 8/$265M next offseason to be in the green. And he probably would unless he sucks or gets hurt.
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If Tucker is $45m AAV on a short deal with opt outs, he's probably $35m or so AAV in a longer term deal
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Arenado for $5m and $6m is hilarious Just a funny sequence of events to see two teams pay so much money to get rid of Nolan Arenado, a borderline HOFer (or easy HOFer if you think the GGs carry the case, which they probably do).
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I would say no, it's not normal to lie. There is a game to be played but most people who want a long career as a player agent would not be out there lying.
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Kirk gonna have a 40+ WAR career all for Toronto isn't he
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👀
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He's sorta nuts to not take that offer at this point. Seems like every team believes they are only bidding against themselves at this point, for their choice remaining free agent. Boston got burned by that idea but it still may be true for Bellinger-NYY.
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https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-zips-projections-toronto-blue-jays/ Jays 2026 ZiPS Vlad's #2 comp is Pujols Kirk's #1 comp is Yadi Okamoto's #1 comp is Kyle Seager Szymborski thinks the bats are fine and the Jays would benefit from a SP more than Tucker or Bo. Most interesting projection is probably just the bullpen and those comments:
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Grant could not handle the emotions of the playoffs I'm not sure he even made it to the World Series, he might have deleted his account after one of the Bryce Miller games
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ZiPS
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George $24m Goose $23m Biebs $16m Varsho $10.75m Lauer $5m Straw $7.4m Yimi $7.5m Ideally Santander bounces back and looks like a decent DH candidate from 2027 on and Cease/Yesavage are entrenched as the SP1 and SP2 so there is no pressure to replace Gausman and Bieber with frontline SP Impossible to cheaply replace Varsho though And I will be sad boy if Springer has a full Nelson Cruz arm until 40 and some of it happens in a different uniform
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The one thing that makes me think Toronto might be done is that the Okamoto signing took them neatly just past the final tax threshold. I think it's a 60% tax on every dollar spent past $304 million, and the Jays are just beyond that now. Signing Tucker for $35M and then paying a 60% tax for all of that is pretty thirsty
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Will be funny to see Boston dump Devers at $29m aav and then turn around and pay someone like Bo more money annually
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His numbers under the hood are not very promising His power and plate discipline stuff is not good enough for a corner profile and he doesn't seem to have actual CF defensive chops Needs to make significant progress in one direction to carve out playing time. Needs to either become a pure CFer (not likely) or improve his K rate and K/BB by a lot (also hard) or at least become a real power threat (probably the path of least resistance? stop trying to be a complete player and start trying to at least be a dangerous hitter? Popkins? I dunno)
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Well he's younger than Semien was by like 3 years, and even 1.5 years younger than Adames, so you can keep the AAV the same and add some term $300m is bonkers but there is nothing outlandish about 8/$200m -
Like, are there any helpful precedents for Varsho in free agency? Seems to me that for players like him, most of the time when they reach free agency their flaws have been exposed and they largely go year to year. I remember JBJ leveraging scarcity and a good abbreviated 2020 into a 2 year deal with Milwaukee, lol The other side of "CFers reaching FA" are the guys like Springer and Marte who were signing deals to no longer be CFers. I would extend Varsho for a few years but I'm not desperate to pay him for his glovework at age 30 onwards
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Cedric Mullins and Harrison Bader, lots of examples of CFers with fringier bats not really getting paid or declining and showing the risks Varsho is a massive platoon risk and fringe bat, if Boras and him are going to ask for the moon they can have fun in free agency
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Not really, a team can just non-tender someone who has an inflated arbitration projection then they'll sign a FA deal for whatever they are actually worth
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If Skubal has another 6+ WAR year and stays healthy he should definitely set some kind of SP contract record. Cole got 9/$324m for his age 29 season onward. Skubal will actually be one year older. Is he going to get 9/$360m? $40m AAV?
