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Everything posted by Laika
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Ohtani becomes a human at the plate when he is on the bump, apparently. Might be worth pitching to him sometimes. I hate giving a guy with a 25% K rate free bases. MLB pitchers should be able to pitch to him without throwing strikes. Just don't take a guy like Seranthony Dominguez and try to get him to be cute.
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From how he was walking, the dude has a serious oblique strain. I am guessing they will just take the full day to do tests and stuff. Maybe they keep him on the roster just out of some remote hope that he can pinch hit in a game 6 or 7? It's not like replacing him with Loperfido does the Jays much good.
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Okay, second silver lining. This team has a different kind of energy when they are behind. They fell behind Seattle 2-0 and turned into a different team. They just lost a crippling game. Most lesser teams would fold. This is the ultimate test of the 2025 Toronto Blue Jays. Maybe this is the ultimate motivation.
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Inexplicable and unforgiveable and annoyingly incongruent to pitch to Ohtani with Seranthony while up 5-4 and then just walk him every other time. Like, what was the plan? lol. I guess they thought Dominguez had the stuff to get him out but they did not have that faith in every subsequent pitcher? I don't mind most of the other position player substitutions - you never manage a game expecting it to never end - but the Straw for Barger one was too cute and too much. Toronto only had a 57% win probability after Barger reached on that error, so it was insane to remove one of your best hitters in a tie game. And he's not a bad runner! Different situation if it was someone very slow on the bases. Also, Straw is not a game changing base stealer. I think you can also criticize Kirk getting subbed out because it felt like the game might get silly right then and that substitution really made the lineup putrid, but in that moment I did understand the thought and it paid off mildly since Heineman running the bases kept the inning alive. Also, you have a fat guy going into the 13th inning as a catcher so attrition and fatigue are relevant considerations. Heineman did work a walk (well, rightfully he did) in his final PA before the whiff and he did hit a ball well to CF (94 mph) in his first PA so it's not like he had brutal PAs. Nathan Lukes swung at ball 4 three times against Kershaw, and it would have been a run. But how can you blame him when the ump was calling the game as he was? There probably is no silver lining since Springer is dead and both bullpens are wrecked now, but I guess if you want to grasp at straws, Ohtani just played two games in one night and now has to pitch today. Maybe he will suck? That's all I have. I want to die
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I wonder what the plan is tonight. This is not a good matchup for Scherzer. Anything could happen and he's a dog but on paper this version of Max Scherzer should get beat up by the Dodgers. Maybe John Schneider has some tricks up his sleeve? Bringing in Lauer for Ohtani's second PA? Scherzer+Lauer+Bassitt to try and get through six innings? Have to get to Glasnow in any event. Probably need 6+ to win this.
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What's the market like for tonight?
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World Series pre-GDT Discussion - JAYS vs. Dodgers
Laika replied to BTS's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/estimating-hitter-platoon-skill/ You need a massive sample against LHP before you can even start to say that a RHB probably has a reverse platoon split Schneider has 320 PA against LHP in his career and has been 7% better against RHP When you regress that against the proper sample needed (2200 PA) and league average RHB platoon difference (6.11%): (-0.07*320+.0611*2200)/(320+2200) = 0.044 You should still assume he is 4.4% better against LHP -
Would be v dumb to start France I do want to see Davis Schneider out there They should just run the Fried defensive lineup, with Bo swapped for IKF George Springer DH 4 2 2 1 1 0 5 .250 .400 .750 1.150 11 6 -0.026 0.31 0.012 -0.038 -0.23% 4.91 1.6 0 0 HR,2B Davis Schneider LF 3 1 1 0 1 2 4 .333 .500 .333 .833 19 10 0.031 0.34 0.041 -0.011 0.28% 5.48 -0.3 1 0 Nathan Lukes RF 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .333 .333 .500 .833 6 4 -0.001 0.05 0.000 -0.001 -0.01% 0.80 -0.4 0 0 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B 5 2 3 4 0 0 5 .667 .600 1.333 1.933 15 10 0.110 0.49 0.110 0.000 0.99% 7.84 3.3 6 1 HR Alejandro Kirk C 5 1 1 1 0 0 5 .333 .333 1.000 1.333 18 12 -0.065 0.64 0.021 -0.085 -0.58% 10.21 -0.9 15 0 GDP Daulton Varsho CF 5 4 4 4 0 0 5 .750 .778 1.875 2.653 13 10 0.156 0.32 0.156 0.000 1.40% 5.06 4.6 0 0 2·HR,2·2B Ernie Clement 3B 4 1 3 3 0 0 4 .429 .375 .857 1.232 9 8 0.141 0.38 0.141 0.000 1.27% 6.04 2.0 1 2 HR Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B 4 0 0 0 0 1 4 .000 .000 .000 .000 15 10 -0.024 0.23 0.000 -0.024 -0.21% 3.60 -0.9 0 0 Andrés Giménez SS 4 1 1 0 0 1 4 .375 .375 .500 .875 12 10 -0.006 0.16 0.007 -0.012 -0.06% 2.56 -0.3 1 1 Myles Straw RF-LF 3 1 0 0 1 1 4 .250 .400 .250 .650 18 10 0.001 0.14 0.010 -0.008 0.01% 2.32 0.2 2 0
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World Series pre-GDT Discussion - JAYS vs. Dodgers
Laika replied to BTS's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Seattle had no LHP starters and there was really just no opportunities for him to pinch hit against Speier He will get a lot more PA against the Dodgers. -
World Series pre-GDT Discussion - JAYS vs. Dodgers
Laika replied to BTS's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Wow!!! -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
Laika replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Crawford and Suarez had "fall down range" in that series lmao. It cost them multiple runs. Cal is a good defender but he had a brutal series. Their outfield was good. Naylor was good. I don't remember Rivas seeing much action.

