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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. One thing that doesn't make sense to me is that Rogers does not have the most innings in the pen. They've used Varland, Fisher, and even Miles more. Why isn't the guy with the rubber arm being used like an 80 IP reliever? I get that there have been some blowouts but he should be getting 2 inning assignments
  2. The pitches that they hit weren't even bad pitches Just hitters guessing right
  3. When was the last time Vlad hit one into the flight deck? Okamoto might hit 40 some day
  4. f*** yeah. Sort of surprised he's not bumping Max Scherzer. Lauer is probably better than Scherzer. Maybe some 3500 K politics here. Or maybe they need more time to line it up, perhaps Berrios and Scherzer's throw days line up?
  5. The IL / hurt situation is wild Alejandro Kirk George Springer Addison Barger Nathan Lukes Trey Yesavage Shane Bieber Cody Ponce José Berríos Yimi García Lazaro Estrada Tony Taters Bowden Francis Ricky Tiedemann Jake Bloss Jeff Hoffman (at least has a bruised ego) Eric Lauer (no balls) Max Scherzer (geriatric f***)
  6. Sucks to have the off day sort of wasted by needing to use so many RP yesterday
  7. Latin America Twitter is saying Pinango is up Assuming Lukes to the IL
  8. Valenzuela is probably better even if he strikes out 35% of the time
  9. Spooner Miles is going to have to soak 3+ innings
  10. The Blue Jays bullpen is bad by WPA -1.59 is the fourth worst figure in MLB But Jeff Hoffman alone is -1.65, hilariously. If Joffman didn't exist they'd probably be 12-12 (The Jays pen was good by WPA in 2025 and decent to very good in 2026 by most meaningful measurements)
  11. Sanchez tonight for me
  12. What kind of mental illness is it that makes people think that anyone who replies to them and disagrees with their opinion is "triggered"? Some sort of personality disorder, most likely Tommy Nance has like, +1 fWAR in 63 innings as a Blue Jay. Complaining about his mere existence in the bullpen is a good way to label yourself as someone who doesn't know a lot about modern baseball.
  13. It's not some kind of genius insight to say that if they had better players they would have a better record. If they had better hitters they would have more wins, too. I don't know what some of you even want the guy to do differently, in terms of process. He: Acquired Varland, who is elite Signed Rogers, who is elite Developed or found Fluharty and Fisher Found Little who was elite for half a season Spent capital on rentals like Seranthony when needed Cut ties with guys like Green or demoted Y Rod when it made sense Has successfully cycled through helpful backend guys like Mantiply It's like your entire critique is that they signed Jeff Hoffman and he sucks and therefore Atkins is terrible at bullpens. I guess he should have swung again and signed Edwin Diaz or Devin Williams this past offseason?
  14. I was expecting Sean Keys to be leading AA in wRC+ but he is surprisingly not. Franklin Arias might be a problem. 20 years old, destroying AA with godly contact rates. Several Jays farmhands are in the top 12 for all of the affiliated minor leagues, by qualified wRC+ Peyton Williams must be rehabbing? Cunningham and him need to be in AA tomorrow. Geezers. What got into Tucker Toman? Did something click last year for him and nobody noticed after 2+ years of futility? He had a 125 wRC+ from June 1st on, in 2025. 139 wRC+ from June 1 2025 to present. He is still not ancient, but on the edge of relevance for age vs. level as far as actual prospects go. AA bound as well? # Name Team Level Age PA BB% K% BB/K AVG OBP SLG OPS ISO Spd BABIP wSB wRC wRAA wOBA wRC+ 1 Franklin Arias BOS AA 20 54 9.3% 7.4% 1.25 .444 .519 .933 1.452 .489 3.1 .389 -0.5 19 11.6 .598 251 2 Ben Ross MIN AA 25 72 16.7% 13.9% 1.20 .424 .528 .797 1.324 .373 5.7 .455 0.7 23 13.7 .571 236 3 Bennett Thompson CLE A+ 23 52 38.5% 21.2% 1.82 .344 .596 .750 1.346 .406 1.1 .444 -0.3 18 10.2 .586 235 4 Danny Serretti ARI AA 26 60 25.0% 13.3% 1.88 .386 .550 .818 1.368 .432 6.1 .406 -0.4 20 11.6 .576 226 5 Victor Figueroa BAL A+ 22 56 10.7% 19.6% 0.55 .380 .446 .820 1.266 .440 5.5 .394 -0.4 17 9.3 .535 218 6 Carter Cunningham TOR A+ 25 87 13.8% 25.3% 0.55 .338 .471 .721 1.192 .382 6.4 .415 -0.7 24 12.6 .520 213 7 Sean Keys TOR AA 23 69 13.0% 21.7% 0.60 .351 .464 .825 1.288 .474 5.1 .353 0.0 21 10.9 .533 213 8 Colby Shelton CHW A+ 23 71 12.7% 16.9% 0.75 .400 .493 .717 1.210 .317 8.1 .455 0.4 21 11.1 .524 212 9 Josh Adamczewski MIL A+ 21 51 21.6% 17.6% 1.22 .333 .490 .769 1.259 .436 4.5 .320 0.0 15 8.0 .541 206 10 Peyton Williams TOR A,A+ 25 56 19.6% 17.9% 1.10 .415 .518 .610 1.128 .195 4.3 .485 -0.2 15 7.6 .512 204 11 Tucker Toman TOR A+ 22 57 19.3% 22.8% 0.85 .372 .509 .605 1.113 .233 4.5 .483 -0.1 15 7.6 .504 204
  15. Can't listen to the audio but mailing cards to players for signatures does seem like something from the past. Nowadays these guys sign thousands of signatures for Topps etc., under commercial agreements. In the old days you could mail a player a card and they would probably appreciate having such a good fan. And they didn't just sign 1000 baseball cards on the weekend. Just a different era. Sad though.
  16. Were they though? His Stuff+ by game is 90, 79, 85, 87, 78 He only had four games all of last season with Stuff+ in the 80s, and zero below 87 So these last four games are his worst Stuff+ games over his entire Blue Jays tenure (and perhaps his whole career) Unless he has mono, I am not sure what the narrative is. I can buy the flu for a start but the tape is weird. What is going on?
  17. Yeah I haven't looked at the numbers but he probably has a relatively low Zone% Lots of relievers with nasty stuff have a low Zone% and when people are swinging they are good but when people lay off they suck Ryne Stanek, Genesis Cabrera, Jose Alvarado. You know the type. Hoffman is weird in this respect though because hitters ARE SWINGING. His command wobbles game to game seem to lead to players keyholing him and hunting, not just laying off and waiting for walks. So the K rate is maintained but the results are ugly.
  18. Anthony Volpe has an 85 career wRC+ and the cut throat Yankees have handed him the starting SS job for years. The reality is that if players continue to PROJECT WELL then organizations will continue to give them opportunities and trust them. When exactly certain organizations will jump off the train of a declining player is just influenced by how their internal projection models differ, or perhaps how in tune they are to the root causes that might drastically influence future projections that the models are not picking up yet (scouting stuff and personal information, injuries, personality and so forth). Jeff Hoffman's feelings are extremely irrelevant.
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