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Laika

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Everything posted by Laika

  1. Laika
    Yeah but you can still add it all up and do maths
  2. Laika
    The explanation is that the Jays just f***ing suck Can't hit the good pitchers because not enough talent Can't hit the s***** pitchers because they are mostly mental midgets and the coaches suck It's not some niche argument like they can't hit soft stuff because they are too good at yanking 96mph fastballs and they get off tempo. No. They can't hit anything. Can't hit in the clutch, can't hit with RISP, can't game plan well against anybody, can't pull the ball enough, can't lift the ball enough, can't hit at home, can't hit on the road, can't hit on holidays, can't hit can't hit can't f***ing hit. They kind of only do one thing at an above average rate and that is take walks. I guess they also hit doubles at a slightly above average rate but that's not super helpful when the HR rate is below average. They also GIDP the 6th most so that negates a lot of the benefits of walking. Kind of only ever put up crooked numbers when the opposing pitcher can't throw strikes.
  3. Laika
  4. Laika
    The age at free agency is the biggest factor. You take his exact WAR trend and make him a free agent at 29 or 30 and teams are not nearly as interested, it would shave years and dollars off that contract and not just a linear reduction like him getting two less years on the end it. But you make him a free agent after his age 26 season and GMs start to get excited about the proposition of buying like 4 years of peak Vlad in free agency and then fixing him and it being some franchise altering move.
  5. Laika
    If Vlad can have a 4 WAR year in 2025 then the Devers comps are strong Both have the seam peak (6.4 and 6.3 WAR) Both have the same valley (Devers bad in his first 750 MLB PA, 1.5 WAR, and after his great year, 0.8 WAR in 250 PA) Vlad loses a bit in defensive value and BsR but I don't know how much that matters for a contract. It's not like teams look at Devers and think he's a long term 3B. Of course if needs a 4+ WAR year at age 26 to make that a strong comp. Or at least very strong final offensive lines in 2024 and 2025. If he has a stinker then he just looks objectively worse than Devers on a WAR graph since Devers has been steadily good since age 24.
  6. Laika
    that's doesn't really help team's will look at Vlad and drool. "we can fix her" they don't really think that about Bellinger anymore. you can't turn hamburger meat back into steak.
  7. Laika
    Good and lucky early, bad and lucky lately
  8. Laika
    I might agree with connorp Vlad camp is probably eyeing the Devers extension What he would actually get in free agency just depends so much on the next 1.6 years though
  9. Laika
    Clutch time Middle middle fastball -17 degree launch angle Lmaoooooo
  10. Laika
    110 mph straight into the ground Lmaooooo
  11. Laika
    Lose one and sweep the next would be fine
  12. Laika
    It was some nebulous shoulder thing last year but yeah it's certainly possible the injury began a year ago and it was just hard to detect or not yet affecting the elbow specifically kinetic chain gets all f***ed up and then in a matter of months, or sometimes years, the elbow eventually pops in fact, given the sudden decline in stuff (he went from something like an SP3 in MLB to a bad AAA pitcher) I would bet that this is what happened. he was hurt heading into 2023, it was just a sneaky injury.
  13. Laika
    This is the gauntlet. Make or break. Must win basically every series. Maybe they could afford a couple of series losses but with so many other teams in the WC race you know one of them is going to pull away. Definitely need to curb stomp Boston and Houston
  14. Laika
    Yes but we would have expected Judge+Soto to be something like 6 combined WAR better than Vlad+Bo, pre-season. So the present performance (10 WAR vs 1.6) would be compared to an expected performance of like 6 WAR vs 3, or something like that, at this point in the year. The Yankees are milking more value out of their SP than expected, across the board. They are way over their skis though. Their ERA minus FIP is wildly lucky at the moment.
  15. Laika
    It's literally how he has to pitch Rising fastball
  16. Laika
    Classic Bo Hacking at garbage pitches, first chance, double play
  17. Laika
    Yeah he has no incentive to sign for some team friendly thing He could go year to year in FA and suck and make $20M for the next five or six years
  18. Laika
    They can play it both ways Shop him to see if there is a monster deal, if not just hold and sign whoever jaysblue wants to target this off-season cuz he's a genius
  19. Laika
    Cubs Have Reportedly “Privately Discussed” Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Trade June 9th, 2024 at 9:46am CST • By Nick Deeds If the Blue Jays make star slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. available this summer, it appears that the Cubs would be among the suitors for his services. USA Today’s Bob Nightengale reported this morning that Chicago’s brass have “privately discussed” the possibility of pursuing Guerrero ahead of the trade deadline next month.
  20. Laika
    Biggio had some fringe tools to begin with and they've eroded. He can't hit anymore. He's 29, past his physical prime. His positive WAR right now is partially a mirage from short sample defensive stats (he has negative defensive value in his career). Collecting some walks and bloop singles against below average pitchers probably doesn't in fact help the team win as much as a raw WAR total would imply. Just hopeless against good pitching.
  21. Laika
    Not going forward
  22. Laika
    Okay but pre season why was JT bad and JDM so good? That's 100% hindsight All of JP, JT, JDM, even maybe Teoscar were same bucket
  23. Laika
    Buy low and pray I mean, why not? Unless he can be traded for a haul, what else is there to look forward to? Realistically Tiedemann is no better then Kyle Harrison and Orelvis is just a 2 war hacker
  24. Laika
    Yeah they were f***ed and the course was set To fix this team in 2024 they would've had to make many different decisions before the offseason. Maybe years before. Still atkins' fault
  25. Laika
    The through points over the last four seasons are: -Vlad and Bo (the core) -Atkins -Guillermo So it's either... hitting coach bad, game prep analytics system bad, players are low IQ, or some combo
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