I like Moss too. Sit him against tough lefties (maybe an Upton platoon) and he'll produce close to 2 wins, and likely comes on a 1 year deal.
I also really like the idea of Valbuena. He's quietly put up a 115 wRC+ over 1400 PA the last three years. He's been an average defender at 3B, which means he'd probably be a good defender at 1st, can handle 2B if you need him to, and I'd probably give him time on the OF in spring to see how he looks. That's a flexible piece, and the expectations seems to be a contract in the 2/20 range for a guy you'd expect about 4 WAR from over the two years.
Rasmus, Moss, Pagan, Saunders, Bautista, Valbuena, Napoli, are all interesting to some degree, with Napoli and Valbuena pushing Pearce to the OF on a near full-time basis.
I wasn't concerned specifically with the implication on Tulo. I've just been under the impression that the statcast info he has access to is missing information on a certain type of contact, which makes an 'adjusted wRC+' pretty irresponsible, especially with no disclaimer.
But maybe I'm wrong and he's not missing data.
Projected WAR is probably like 2-2.5. I was adding another win or 2 to account for the elite performance in high leverage spots.
It would be interesting to see how various teams go about assigning value to guys like that. I basically just do a vague mental adjustment upwards from a WAR projection.
I think it's fine. The actual impact of Chapman in 2017 is probably 3-4 wins, + an uptick in value in the playoffs. You would expect him to be worth like 48-64M in the first two years of the deal alone if his skills remain static in the short term.
So BBBB asks a question, gets an honest answer, and then picks a fight. For all the complaining he does about people mistreating him, the guy might be the biggest ******* on the forum.
It's hard to see Oberholtzer making the team. Him and Bolsinger are too similar (guys whose value is in their ability to quickly transition to the rotation, but don't have the stuff to profile as very good relievers), but Bolsinger seems to just be a better pitcher. Oberholtzer probably gets through waivers too.
So right now we have:
Osuna
Grilli
Biagini
Loup (only lefty, so close to lock, but does have options)
out of options
Bolsinger
Oberholtzer
Schultz
remaining options
Campos
Leone
Barnes
Dermody
Girodo
Of the out of options guys, Bo Schultz is probably finished here. Bolsinger is probably close to a lock to make the team, as he's a very useful swingman and probably wouldn't make it through waivers. So there will probably be some competition between Sparkman and Oberholtzer for one spot, with Sparkman having more upside, and thus the inside track. So something like:
Osuna
Grilli
Biagini
free agent signing
Loup
Bolsinger
Sparkman/Oberholtzer/one of the guys with options only if they other two suck in spring
Yankees finished 84-78. They probably finish like 75-87 without Betances-Chapman-Miller. You weren't necessarily doing this, but I hate when people use them missing the playoffs as an argument against the effectiveness of a stacked bullpen.