BTS
-
Posts
43,014 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
17
Content Type
Profiles
Toronto Blue Jays Videos
2026 Toronto Blue Jays Top Prospects Ranking
Toronto Blue Jays Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Pick Tracker
News
2026 Toronto Blue Jays Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by BTS
-
I wouldn't count on him being a 160 wRC+ guy. But he's still pretty good. He underperformed his xwOBA by like 30 points last year. Even if he's a 125 wRC+ CF playing every day in a stacked lineup, that's a pretty high-end player.
-
Manoah is pretty, pretty good. -
Yup. Almost every 1B in the league would have looked at Baez like he was an idiot and calmly walked the ball over to the bag for the easy inning-ending out. Baez somehow knew he could make Will Craig into a meme and clowned on him.
-
-
Javy Baez just did something great and is now Will Craig's father.
-
To be clear, everyone thinks there’s been meaningful improvement in his game. All I’m saying is that he’s probably not a top-15 hitter in baseball for the next 4 years, even though he’s been that for the last 500 PA. It’s probably smarter to assume he’s Michael Brantley or Michael Conforto with the bat than it is to assume he’s Freddie Freeman. That’s all.
-
Fans’ inclination to toss aside projections when they don’t like what the projections say are exactly what makes the projections useful. I fall victim too. I talked myself into Gio Urshela being better than his tepid 2021 projections because the Yankees completely changed him and he’s been a different player since 2019. So far this year the expert projections are better than BTS projections: he’s better than he was in 2018, but the smart move was regressing his 2019 and 2020 significantly back towards league average. If you have a guy significantly better than the most optimistic projections, it is almost always you who is wrong.
-
So tossing all the filler aside, its basically Orelvis Martinez, Mountcastle and Groshans for Wheeler and Raisel Iglesias. I think that's pretty fair for both sides given your respective goals.
-
Projection systems see all of that and still see him as a 110-130 wRC+ guy and about a 3-win player. That's still good! But its not a player that needs to be locked up 2.5 years early. Especially when he's already 28 and doesn't add value on the basepaths or in the field. It seems needlessly reckless to leave his last 500 PA or whatever completely unregressed and assume he's now a 140 wRC+ guy for the next 5 years or whatever.
-
I don't think he'll ever have a 5-win season, let alone be a true talent 5-win player. He might be a nice 3-4 player for a few years, and that's worth something. But this team isn't going to be kicking itself for not jumping to lock up Teo's early 30s. Michael Brantley is the caliber of OF people hope Teo can consistently be, and he signed for 2/32 before his age-32 season, then for the same amount before 34.
-
Aside from potential mega-contracts to Bo and Vlad, I don't see anyone really screaming for an extension. Ray and Matz if you can get them for 2-3 years at reasonable money. Teo has been a nice player the last couple years, but he's a corner OF and still controllable through 2023. I wouldn't be in a hurry to lock up his age-31 season and beyond. Semien is an interesting case. Elite in 2019, and elite in 2021. He bet on himself this year with a pillow contract, and is probably looking at a Lemahieu deal if he finishes with 5+ WAR. The debate on whether you'd give it to him would make for an interesting thread on its own
-
Snitker watching yet another lead evaporate, letting known shitbag Drew Smyly implode in the 6th at Fenway with an off day tomorrow and a rested pen.
-
Willians Astudillo has gone 126 PA and counting without a walk.
-
I've barely watched hockey playoffs in like 10 years. It starts when baseball is starting up again, and baseball is better in every way.
-
Jesus
-
wRC+ values are routinely catching me off guard this year. Gallo 209/365/361 and a 113 wRC+ Dickerson 279/344/388 and 109 Y. Diaz 256/377/300 and 107 With league OBP down to 0.313, a ~0.350 OBP is so much better than average that you basically don't need any power to be an above-average hitter.
-
Imagine being a Mets fan. You're all excited in the offseason because Steve Cohen bought he team. It's a new era! Fast forward a few months: - Your new GM is fired for sexual harassment. - Francisco Lindor milks about 130M more from the team than he should have been able to, and looks like absolute dogshit through two months. - The team inexplicably gives 40M to James McCann, who has been sub-replacement level. - Carlos Carrasco, acquired in the Lindor trade, still hasn't played a game. - Syndergaard leaves his rehab start early with elbow pain. - Conforto, Alonso, and McNeil have all played like s***.
-
Brian Snitker might actually be on the same level as Chuckles. Dude is awful.
-
rip
-
The Leafs should get by Winnipeg without much issue. It's pretty much a free pass to the semis for them this year.
-
I think it feels different this year because he’s not being used in a platoon and is still producing at the same level.
-
Did anyone else not realize that Mark Canha is kind of an elite hitter?
-
I like how his team didn't bother to hold him back and just kind of collectively shrugged as he left to assault someone with a baseball bat.
-
GDT (4/4) | Blue Jays vs. Rays | May 24 — 1:07 PM
BTS replied to G-Snarls's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
The pen just doesn't have any reliable arms outside of Romano and Chatwood. -
GDT (4/4) | Blue Jays vs. Rays | May 24 — 1:07 PM
BTS replied to G-Snarls's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
This game is two managers locked in a an epic battle to determine whose team can overcome their managerial incompetence.
