BTS
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Everything posted by BTS
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Yeah, if the directive actually is 200M, Soto is as good as gone. It just doesn't work. But from an ownership perspective, I have no idea how how you spend 630M on Machado and Bogaerts until they're 40 while a year later not having 400M or whatever for a 25-year old Juan Soto. Just a brutal lack of foresight and planning.
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I think in this case, ownership is more to blame than Preller. You can't greenlight the spending they did, then roll payroll back from 250M to 200M. The only way the spending spree made any sense at all was if they were going to keep throwing money at it. Looking at their 2024 roster now, rolling the same team back - picking up Wacha's option, assuming Lugo opts out, and Soto stays at around 30M in his last arb year. They're over 200M. But that's with Snell, Hader, Lugo, and Sanchez all leaving and nothing replacing them. And a lot of their big deals (Machado, Darvish, Tatis, Cronenworth,) are backloaded, so things are going to get worse.
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Like, how do you sign that Bogaerts deal, then cut payroll by 20% a year later and likely lose Soto?
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It’s the financial commitments, not the prospect capital. The Bogaerts, Darvish, Cronenworth, probably Machado deals were unnecessary and the team won’t compete with a 200M payroll with that cash on the books.
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You could have just said I was right instead of typing this word salad.
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Feels like just yesterday connorp was telling me the Padres reckless spending was fine because they’ll just keep upping payroll. They’re so f***ed.
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I think he's basically a slam-dunk for the HoF at this point. He also has a real shot at 3000 hits
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Bradish is out-WARing Berrios BTW
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- Gausman is going to project for 1-3 wins more than Rodriguez, with much less downside risk - Berrios and Bradish will project the same - Bassitt probably projects at least a win better than Means, with much less downside risk - Kikuchi and Kremer will project the same Toronto clearly has the better rotation on paper for 2024. But Baltimore also has the means to add an impact arm, while Toronto probably isn't going to do that.
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That was for 2022 and 2023
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I think current arb operates at something like 20/40/60 % of a player's estimated market value in arb years 1, 2 and 3. Means would be expected to make significantly more healthy going into arb3 than the ~3M he was expected to make via arb1 for a season he wasn't expected to pitch. It's why a lot of injured arb-eligible pitchers just sign multi-year deals with their teams. The alternative is often being non-tendered.
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He didn't go through the arb system. He signed a two-year deal with the team after getting hurt, before the 2022 season. Even injured, arb would have had him at around 3M for 2022.
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Means might be pitching for a contract right now. 2024 is his last arb year, and he'll likely be due 7-10M. Could see Baltimore non-tendering him if the velo/stuff doesn't tick up through October. Their willingness to get outside help for their rotation in the offseason will be a good indicator of how serious they are about winning.
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DDL is king. If I have a player in the DDL, and my opponent has him in any other league, I'm always rooting for him to mash.
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Looks like adds are locked until the 2024 season renews. I don't remember this happening before. I'm probably the only owner obsessive enough to care.
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In 4 years when Baltimore's entire core are Angelos casualties, TB will still be winning 95+ games annually. They are inevitable.
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wat
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Wow, I thought we were friends
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Contrats on the title Laika
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Kyle Gibson/Dean Kremer gas canning in the playoffs would be glorious
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They deserve it for running out that absurd bullpen/pitching staff to support all of those young talented bats.
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Jordan Montgomery is going to get a hefty FA deal
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Yeah. Stanton could stay healthy next year and blast 35 homeruns or something. Conforto hasn't been a viable contributor since 2020 - don't see the same upside there.
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Yes
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Yes
