I didn't say that, you said that Lind was better than Butler in almost every way last year, which is what I was responding to. I would easily take Butler over Lind, but I wouldn't give up a haul to do so.
I'm not sure I'd qualify him as a bust yet. Regardless, he has hit better outside of Safeco the last few years. Anyhow, the real prize would be Franklin.
I thought last year he was going to be a breakout guy, especially after his torrid WBC. I still think there's a high end player there that hasn't managed to break out yet. He needs to get the hell out of Safeco.
It'll be even worse if they also sign an outfielder like Choo.
I would love to get any of Ackley, Franklin, Miller, Triunfel, M Saunders (and some of their young pitching). Rasmus could be a perfect guy to send them if we don't feel we can extend him.
Teams run in to both good and bad luck. Last year almost anything that could go wrong for us, did. That doesn't mean the talent on the team would project to last place this year with average luck. Opposite with the O's 2 years ago. They had incredibly good luck, but they weren't a 2nd place talent. This year they finished 4th.
You can't just point to the standings and assume that even with no changes to a roster, they'd look anything close to the same the next year.
Yeah, this scares the crap out of me (although until that haul starts impacting at the major league level it'll be nice having Price outside the division).
Don't forget Drabek either! I'm actually really excited to see if he can continue his approach from last year. If so, I might put him as the first callup.
Not to mention that it's not all about surplus value, nor are things like increased revenue from attendance and tv factored in (difference between making the playoffs and missing for example). I'm not saying surplus value isn't important, but actual performance during a window of contention is as well.
IF Cano really is the age he says he is, and IF the Mariners front load the contract heavily enough (and they certainly appear to have the financial ability to front load it), it might not be terrible for them.