connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 If a guy is 95 wRC+ in the regular season, it would stand to reason he wouldn’t be as good post-season. Obviously there’s complete outliers with great hitter being terrible and terrible hitters being awesome. But generally speaking the reasoning is pretty sound
jaysblue Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Blue Jays could still add to the 2023 roster so we'll see what happens. The lineup could be better in 2023 if Vlad returns to being a 5-6 WAR player. We need the Vlad of 2021 to return in 2023. Varsho with the bat will contribute solid power as well, similar to Teo or even better IMO. Defensively, this team is greatly improved. Adding KK, Varsho to the outfield is a huge upgrade. Rotation: I think is the same. Bassitt replaces Ryu. Lets see if the Jays add more depth, which I think will be the important factor. Bullpen: Adding Swanson was nice, but overall I don't see much of a huge difference. Maybe one of Pearson or Merryweather break out and that could definitely change things. Like Laika said earlier, this roster is more diverse and in better overall shape given the defensive upgrades.
Laika Community Moderator Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 I mean you literally explain why hitting is harder in your examples lol You’re facing guys like Verlander and Cole at a substantially higher rate. All the playoff teams usually have most of the best pitchers etc.. Hitting is harder does not = Hitting is more important It just means everybody’s offensive production goes down a bit My brother in Christ and Allah and all that is holy you are dumb
John_Havok Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Position 2022 2023 (Delta) C Kirk/Jansen = Kirk/Jansen (0) 1B Vlad = Vlad (0) 3B Chapman = Chapman (0) SS Bo = Bo (0) 2B Biggio/Espinal/Katoh < Biggio/Espinal/Merrifield/Barger (+1) [deeper] LF Gurriel << Varsho (+2) CF Springer >> Kiermaier (-2.5) RF Teoscar < Springer (+1.5) 4th OF Tapia < Merrifield (+0.5) SP 2022 = SP 2023 RP 2022 = RP 2023 I think the rotation and pen are slightly better+deeper going into 2023 but that's splitting hairs. Like, Ryu pre-2022 would project like Bassitt pre-2023 but Bassitt is not that kind of injury risk so that's an upgrade but seems cheap to account for it. So I think they might be 2 or 2.5 wins better, on balance. But I think the improvements can be described in different terms. I think they have built a more diverse team that should be more resilient to bad luck or negative events. Should be more consistent? TL/DR = higher floor, less variance
John_Havok Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Bassitt was nice, otherwise id say worse for sure. Striping would be a coon flip next year I think idk. Bassistt you know what you get as long as there’s no age decline. Which is a really solid guy pitching Game 3. Which is obviously pretty big Where ya gonna find a coon to flip?
John_Havok Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 I mean you literally explain why hitting is harder in your examples lol You’re facing guys like Verlander and Cole at a substantially higher rate. All the playoff teams usually have most of the best pitchers etc.. I think what you’re trying to get at (terribly…) is that power can play up in the post season because it’s harder to string together enough consecutive walks and non extra base hits off of elite starters and back end relievers, so if they do make mistakes it’s better to have power guys that can damage them with a long ball.
Laika Community Moderator Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 I think what you’re trying to get at (terribly…) is that power can play up in the post season because it’s harder to string together enough consecutive walks and non extra base hits off of elite starters and back end relievers, so if they do make mistakes it’s better to have power guys that can damage them with a long ball. But I was told that small ball wins playoff games? lol The only argument for elite hitters becoming disproportionately valuable once the playoffs begin would be something like: 1. There is more elite pitching 2. Elite pitching means elite stuff 3. Elite hitters are the only ones who can hit elite stuff This seems true but there are lots of holes in it. Like, generally s***** hitters who make contact like Tapia can actually have a better chance at putting elite stuff in play than many good hitters. Also elite hitters are very diverse - some feast on bad pitching, some murder fastballs, some are plate discipline and spin recognition superheroes, etc. If you want to roster an elite hitter specifically to win in the playoffs you probably want the guy who can turn around triple digits and hit the 98 mph fastball at the top of the zone. But we are pretty far removed from what connorp has been saying for weeks which is a more generalized “offense is what matters in a short series”
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Hitting is harder does not = Hitting is more important It just means everybody’s offensive production goes down a bit My brother in Christ and Allah and all that is holy you are dumb Yes so subpar hitters become worthless. Great hitter become good. Take the L. I know you have the woke mob behind you, but just take it All the sudden you can’t play guys like Varsho when a good LHP is on the mound
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Author Posted December 28, 2022 to win in the playoffs you probably want the guy who can turn around triple digits and hit the 98 mph fastball at the top of the zone. Like Varsho?
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Author Posted December 28, 2022 Yes so subpar hitters become worthless. Great hitter become good. Take the L. I know you have the woke mob behind you, but just take it All the sudden you can’t play guys like Varsho when a good LHP is on the mound Aaron Judge 5 for 36, 15 Ks Dude provide the evidence to back up the stuff you are spewing, if you can't, take the giant L
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Yes so subpar hitters become worthless. Great hitter become good. Take the L. I know you have the woke mob behind you, but just take it All the sudden you can’t play guys like Varsho when a good LHP is on the mound I’ll split the difference with you and say it’s important to have better hitters as you’ll be facing much tougher pitching than what you see over the regular season
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Aaron Judge 5 for 36, 15 Ks Dude provide the evidence to back up the stuff you are spewing, if you can't, take the giant L I covered the outliers. You can’t predict that stuff. So may as well have Zimmer as your OF if it’s all a crap shoot. Douchebag
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Author Posted December 28, 2022 I’ll split the difference with you and say it’s important to have better hitters as you’ll be facing much tougher pitching than what you see over the regular season How did Soto do in 2022 playoffs?
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Author Posted December 28, 2022 I covered the outliers. You can’t predict that stuff. So may as well have Zimmer as your OF if it’s all a crap shoot. Douchebag It's all SSS in the playoffs Provide your evidence or it's just smoke out of your ass
Laika Community Moderator Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Yes so subpar hitters become worthless. Great hitter become good. Take the L. I know you have the woke mob behind you, but just take it All the sudden you can’t play guys like Varsho when a good LHP is on the mound You are truly the perfect marriage of stupidity and confidence.
TheHurl Site Manager Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 You are truly the perfect marriage of stupidity and confidence. The JPA of the messageboard
Stangstag Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Like Varsho? Like Rajai Davis and Harrison Bader
Stangstag Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 You are truly the perfect marriage of stupidity and confidence. At least he didn’t have to pay for THAT marriage
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 It's all SSS in the playoffs Provide your evidence or it's just smoke out of your ass What evidence lol. Bro if you’re playing roulette and you have 50 black slots and 14 red, if it comes up red more than black, do you think your odds are the same when you play?
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 You are truly the perfect marriage of stupidity and confidence. Runs are harder to score in the playoffs, so it’s better to have good hitters. If Tampa had good hitters instead of a fluke every 5 years, they’d be a dynasty. I’m sorry you understand only what FG teaches you
Laika Community Moderator Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Runs are harder to score in the playoffs, so it’s better to have good hitters. If Tampa had good hitters instead of a fluke every 5 years, they’d be a dynasty. I’m sorry you understand only what FG teaches you It’s always better to have good hitters you f***ing meathead I swear you have the IQ of a golden retriever
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 It’s always better to have good hitters you f***ing meathead I swear you have the IQ of a golden retriever You’re really just arguing semantics in circles in order to not concede anything to me. It’s fine. I don’t need the acceptance. Cyborg/North >>> you guys
Terminator Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Connorp can I PLEASE get that mail order bride website? I’ve been asking but you keep ignoring me. Do I need to send you 20 bucks or something? Btw do they have Thai or Filipino women on there? Or are they all middle eastern? Thanks
L54 Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 There’s no reason the Jays can’t add a rental impact bat at the deadline. The offence is fine to begin the year.
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Connorp can I PLEASE get that mail order bride website? I’ve been asking but you keep ignoring me. Do I need to send you 20 bucks or something? Btw do they have Thai or Filipino women on there? Or are they all middle eastern? Thanks They’re all on there bro. I mainly use a Muslim one but there’s an International one. Lots of legit profiles but lots of scams. Have to know what you’re doing. Always stick to “either I see you on video, or we’re wasting time” Anyone that wants the site and tips, PM me and I’ll let you know lol. Merry Xmas
Rusty_Savage Verified Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 They’re all on there bro. I mainly use a Muslim one but there’s an International one. Lots of legit profiles but lots of scams. Have to know what you’re doing. Always stick to “either I see you on video, or we’re wasting time” Anyone that wants the site and tips, PM me and I’ll let you know lol. Merry XmasYou've used a mail order bride site more than once? Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
wamco Verified Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 That’s where you start to see the savings. Or if you buy in bulk.
Ehjays Verified Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 They’re all on there bro. I mainly use a Muslim one but there’s an International one. Lots of legit profiles but lots of scams. Have to know what you’re doing. Always stick to “either I see you on video, or we’re wasting time” Anyone that wants the site and tips, PM me and I’ll let you know lol. Merry Xmas Sounds to me like you may have got caught in a scam or two, like lost all your money outright, or your order for an 18year old virgin ended up being a 42 year old toothless mother of 4 with a nicely trimmed beard. I hope it turns out for those that need that have to resort to this service.
connorp Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Posted December 28, 2022 Sounds to me like you may have got caught in a scam or two, like lost all your money outright, or your order for an 18year old virgin ended up being a 42 year old toothless mother of 4 with a nicely trimmed beard. I hope it turns out for those that need that have to resort to this service. Nah man. I was sharing advise because it’s really sad people can get duped. It’s not not just international. Haven’t you read the domestic scams sometimes? Match.com and that sort of thing. Like I’ve read about women giving men 100’s of thousands of dollars, and Vice versa. I’ve never been scammed, no. It does happen where you’ll text with with someone for a week and then they’ll be like “I need money for something” and you just block it. Truthfully, unlike most here, I became a nerd only in adulthood. I always dated the hottest girl in school kind of thing. While other people have essentially settled since they’ve been in junior high, I always got to pick from the best. Now I’m a 40+ guy that has no business getting a smoking hot 20-something and even if I did, I couldn’t keep up with the lifestyle, bars etc. so the whole thing is a calculated decision. Make fun of me all you want, but compare some pics with what you guys have at home and you’d understand
Jimcanuck Old-Timey Member Posted December 28, 2022 Author Posted December 28, 2022 Nah man. I was sharing advise because it’s really sad people can get duped. It’s not not just international. Haven’t you read the domestic scams sometimes? Match.com and that sort of thing. Like I’ve read about women giving men 100’s of thousands of dollars, and Vice versa. I’ve never been scammed, no. It does happen where you’ll text with with someone for a week and then they’ll be like “I need money for something” and you just block it. Truthfully, unlike most here, I became a nerd only in adulthood. I always dated the hottest girl in school kind of thing. While other people have essentially settled since they’ve been in junior high, I always got to pick from the best. Now I’m a 40+ guy that has no business getting a smoking hot 20-something and even if I did, I couldn’t keep up with the lifestyle, bars etc. so the whole thing is a calculated decision. Make fun of me all you want, but compare some pics with what you guys have at home and you’d understand Holy f***, this is so shallow. And ******** to boot. Desperation is a bad look.
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