Projected standings for AL

[CraigG]

Projections for AL divisions look pretty much a lock. I know it's baseball and anything can happen, but this year doesn't look like there's going to be a lot of error in those projections. Only the WC-2 has a few teams in the mix IMO. Here's my projected standings off the top:

 

AL East: 1st 99% Yankees or Red Sox

 

AL Central: 1st 99.9% Indians

 

AL West: 1st 100% Astros

 

WC-1: 98% Yankees or Red Sox

 

WC-2 - This is the only one that could be interesting:

 

Blue Jays - 50%

 

Angels - 40%

 

Twins - 10%

 

 

I think White Sox, A's, Rangers, Royals, Tigers, O's, Rays, and Mariners have no chance of making the play-offs.

 

What do you think?

[Jonn]

If our pitching stays healthy I like us for the second wild card between those 3 teams.

[sdyment]

If our pitching stays healthy I like us for the second wild card between those 3 teams.

 

Vladdy also votes for that option

[AledmysDiaz]

You know projections are really good when there is a 100 percent involved

[glory]

I like the Twins as the 2nd WC since they will get a mouthful of White Sox, Royals, and Tigers all year. Hope I'm wrong though. Hate the Twinkies and their boring old school s***. At least the Angels have Trout so if any team beats the Jays out for the 2nd WC I'd prefer them.

[CraigG]

I like the Twins as the 2nd WC since they will get a mouthful of White Sox, Royals, and Tigers all year. Hope I'm wrong though. Hate the Twinkies and their boring old school s***. At least the Angels have Trout so if any team beats the Jays out for the 2nd WC I'd prefer them.

 

Considered this as well. It is going to be a little tougher having to face Yankees and Red Sox more, and other s*** teams less.

 

But Twins are still s*** even with the injection of talent. Rotation is still below average, BP below average, offense is average.

[Boxcar]

Projections for AL divisions look pretty much a lock. I know it's baseball and anything can happen, but this year doesn't look like there's going to be a lot of error in those projections. Only the WC-2 has a few teams in the mix IMO. Here's my projected standings off the top:

 

AL East: 1st 99% Yankees or Red Sox

 

AL Central: 1st 99.9% Indians

 

AL West: 1st 100% Astros

 

WC-1: 98% Yankees or Red Sox

 

WC-2 - This is the only one that could be interesting:

 

Blue Jays - 50%

 

Angels - 40%

 

Twins - 10%

 

 

I think White Sox, A's, Rangers, Royals, Tigers, O's, Rays, and Mariners have no chance of making the play-offs.

 

What do you think?

 

I thought these would be actual projections

[Deadpool]

Projections for AL divisions look pretty much a lock. I know it's baseball and anything can happen, but this year doesn't look like there's going to be a lot of error in those projections. Only the WC-2 has a few teams in the mix IMO. Here's my projected standings off the top:

 

AL East: 1st 99% Yankees or Red Sox

 

AL Central: 1st 99.9% Indians

 

AL West: 1st 100% Astros

 

WC-1: 98% Yankees or Red Sox

 

WC-2 - This is the only one that could be interesting:

 

Blue Jays - 50%

 

Angels - 40%

 

Twins - 10%

 

 

I think White Sox, A's, Rangers, Royals, Tigers, O's, Rays, and Mariners have no chance of making the play-offs.

 

What do you think?

 

So, 99% Yankees or Red Sox?

 

Alright, using that methodology, I'm going to say the AL east will 100% be won by a team from the AL east, the AL Central will be 100% won by a team from the AL Central, the AL West... well, you get where I'm going with this joke...

[Bobthe4th]

Projections for AL divisions look pretty much a lock. I know it's baseball and anything can happen, but this year doesn't look like there's going to be a lot of error in those projections. Only the WC-2 has a few teams in the mix IMO. Here's my projected standings off the top:

 

AL East: 1st 99% Yankees or Red Sox

 

AL Central: 1st 99.9% Indians

 

AL West: 1st 100% Astros

 

WC-1: 98% Yankees or Red Sox

 

WC-2 - This is the only one that could be interesting:

 

Blue Jays - 50%

 

Angels - 40%

 

Twins - 10%

 

 

I think White Sox, A's, Rangers, Royals, Tigers, O's, Rays, and Mariners have no chance of making the play-offs.

 

What do you think?

 

Multiple injuries (especially to starting pitchers) could ruin the season for any team.

 

FWIW I think the Angels get the second wildcard.

[G-Snarls]

Only one week in and what do you know...

 

1. BOS

2. NYY

3. TOR

4. BAL

5. TBR

[Spanky99]

Projections for AL divisions look pretty much a lock. I know it's baseball and anything can happen, but this year doesn't look like there's going to be a lot of error in those projections. Only the WC-2 has a few teams in the mix IMO. Here's my projected standings off the top:

 

AL East: 1st 99% Yankees or Red Sox

 

AL Central: 1st 99.9% Indians

 

AL West: 1st 100% Astros

 

WC-1: 98% Yankees or Red Sox

 

WC-2 - This is the only one that could be interesting:

 

Blue Jays - 50%

 

Angels - 40%

 

Twins - 10%

 

 

I think White Sox, A's, Rangers, Royals, Tigers, O's, Rays, and Mariners have no chance of making the play-offs.

 

What do you think?

 

Holy f***!?

[Shart]

Jays will easily make the playoffs.

[Deadpool]

Only one week in and what do you know...

 

1. BOS

2. NYY

3. TOR

4. BAL

5. TBR

 

I mean, if you want to extrapolate from one week in, the Yankees are going to have a shocking number of games snowed out this year...

[CraigG]

Holy f***!?

 

What?

[CraigG]

So, 99% Yankees or Red Sox?

 

Alright, using that methodology, I'm going to say the AL east will 100% be won by a team from the AL east, the AL Central will be 100% won by a team from the AL Central, the AL West... well, you get where I'm going with this joke...

 

The comparison is not even remotely the same since I'm saying it will be won by one of 2 teams, not any of the 5.

 

I think it's a toss-up between the two, I can't really pick one over the other. Probably the Yankees... 59/40. 0.9% goes to the Blue Jays. 0.1% goes to the Rays and O's.

[CraigG]

I thought these would be actual projections

 

Predictions, based on projections!

[CraigG]

Jays will easily make the playoffs.

 

Elaborate.

[Brownie19]

Elaborate.

 

don't feed the troll please.

[Deadpool]

The comparison is not even remotely the same since I'm saying it will be won by one of 2 teams, not any of the 5.

 

I think it's a toss-up between the two, I can't really pick one over the other. Probably the Yankees... 59/40. 0.9% goes to the Blue Jays. 0.1% goes to the Rays and O's.

 

If you had just posted a link to this, it would have been a more useful thread. That's my point.

[Shart]

Elaborate.

 

We've got really good pitching and the hitting is more balanced this season. If Gibby allows the boys to steal a few more bases this year, I think that'll really help too.

[John_Havok]

We've got really good pitching and the hitting is more balanced this season. If Gibby allows the boys to steal a few more bases this year, I think that'll really help too.

 

The team isn't exactly stocked up with speed demons. The current Jays are more apt to hit an run in certain situations. Pillar is probably the only half-assed threat to steal on the team and he probably won't even push 20.

 

Besides, stealing bases with the power of this team isn't really that important. 1st base is already scoring position (unless your last name is Morales) with the majority of our hitters at the plate.

[Spanky99]

If you had just posted a link to this, it would have been a more useful thread. That's my point.

 

Bingo!

[nmrch]

Fangraphs Depth Charts projections have us with a 33% chance at the wildcard, that sounds about right. Projections usually have a margin of error of +- 5 but teams that over perform them always seem to have an elite bullpen which allows them to outperform their run differential. Its possible that the Jays might actually undershoot that projection, we have exactly one good reliever and a bunch of mediocre ones, i haven't checked the projections but i'm pretty sure its a bottom 5 bullpen.