nmrch

People hoping for a light suspension based on the Reyes and Chapman precedents might be underestimated how much more PR pressure the Jays will be under due to the nature of the market. And the point about how Escobar's transgression was treated is very relavent here, i honestly would be shocked if Osuna emerges from this with "just" a 15-30 game suspension.

I don't know how reliable the precedents are, with all that is going on in the world i wouldn't be surprised if MLB and moreso the Jays want to bring the hammer down on him.

Someone complained about Fangraphs "going down the shitter" but if they can keep producing content like this then lets they keep declining https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-marlins-are-claiming-to-be-british/

lol Rodney doing Rodney things, i f***ing love that guy.

You guys are living in a bygone era, the name of the game today is missing bats, everything else comes second. If anything, a high leverage reliever needs to prioritize that even more.

I don't think its hate, its just that neither the Jays nor Sanchez know what kind of pitcher they want him to be and he isn't making progress toward anything which makes it frustrating as a fan.

...

I don't know why you're being flippant about it, the idea that a pitcher has to prioritize missing bats and limit the number of straight fastballs thrown in the zone is not even a new age pitching philosophy.

It looks like Osuna is throwing too many fastballs in the zone, hitters haven't squared him up yet but its probably gonna come back to bite him.

I enjoyed this article https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-marlins-will-sue-almost-anyone/ It looks like the rot in the Marlins organization didn't leave with Loria. Its almost comical how other owners and the commissioner don't seem to care, MLB like all sport leagues is almost exclusively a PR and goodwill driven business. These teams are only valuable(outside of their real estate holdings) because fans give them value and yet the league allows shenanigans like this. This kind of thing would probably be much less likely to happen in a well run league like the NBA where the commissioner and the owners are relatively good at policing each other in order to protect the product they have.

There's still uncertainty over what his bat is worth, even a 125 wRC+(which is hardly conservative) DH only hitter who gets 400 PA(again, fairly generous) is probably only worth like 1-1.5 WAR.

I know you're joking but i think only the Angels capping his innings at 170-180 will keep him out of Cy Young considerations. Its easy to say its just two starts but swinging strike rate stabilizes very early and that combined with his raw talent, its hard to be be anything but super excited with him.

Fangraphs Depth Charts projections have us with a 33% chance at the wildcard, that sounds about right. Projections usually have a margin of error of +- 5 but teams that over perform them always seem to have an elite bullpen which allows them to outperform their run differential. Its possible that the Jays might actually undershoot that projection, we have exactly one good reliever and a bunch of mediocre ones, i haven't checked the projections but i'm pretty sure its a bottom 5 bullpen.

Yeah, what's the point of having all that fat if you can't take one for the team

10 swinging strikes though, i'll take it