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The playoffs will be easy to make

mellowgold

By mellowgold
in Toronto Blue Jays Talk

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intrigid College Ball

intrigid

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Despite the Jays still being 6.5 back, and considering the large number of games remaining against divisional rivals, if the Jays simply win the remainder of the games, I think that would mathematically guarantee a playoff spot.
flafson First Round Pick

flafson

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
I just noticed that the Twins are 3 games ahead of the Indians, yet the Indians are at 85% to win the division and Twins only have 7%...
  • 3 years later...
Krylian MVP

Krylian

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
They're easy to make in 2020 at least.

 

What's the chance we make it out of the 1st round though?

 

Anything is possible in a short series I suppose. I wouldn't put much money on it though.

G-Snarls Cooperstown

G-Snarls

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted
Winning 2 out of 3 seems like a total crapshoot. Anyone has a chance to win here.

 

Ryu wins a game against a #1 SP

 

The offense lights up a #2 or 3 SP and bullpen one game

 

That's all it takes

glory Vancouver Canadians

glory

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Is Merryweather healthy? Having him and Pearson out of the pen would be great in a short series. If only Giles and Romano were healthy.
Stangstag Toronto Blue Jays

Stangstag

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Is Merryweather healthy? Having him and Pearson out of the pen would be great in a short series. If only Giles and Romano were healthy.

 

He’s got elbow tendinitis or something

BTS GOAT

BTS

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted
They're easy to make in 2020 at least.

 

What's the chance we make it out of the 1st round though?

 

Probably somewhere between 45 and 50%

Olerud363 FCL Blue Jays

Olerud363

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Probably somewhere between 45 and 50%

 

Look at any random 3 games between Toronto and Tampa

 

1st series 2-1 Tampa, last game was a coin flip, Jays were 1 strike away

 

2nd series 2-1 Tampa, first game blow out Jays, 2nd 2 coin flips in favor of Tamps

 

3rd series 2-2 -- bunch of coin flips

Olerud363 FCL Blue Jays

Olerud363

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Look at any random 3 games between Toronto and Tampa

 

1st series 2-1 Tampa, last game was a coin flip, Jays were 1 strike away

 

2nd series 2-1 Tampa, first game blow out Jays, 2nd 2 coin flips in favor of Tamps

 

3rd series 2-2 -- bunch of coin flips

 

Obviously the pitching matchups are different and everything, so it's going to super be optimized with killer strategy...

 

1st thing I will be interested to see is how each team handles game 1 starter... Wouldn't surprise me to see Tampa pull a guy throwing a shut out after 4 innings

 

Mean time Charlie will leave Ryu in and he'll give a run or two in the fifth or something.

 

I mean.. not that I can predict that's exactly what will happen.

 

But I predict Tampa will pull some crazy s***, against the spirit of the game, against all that is manly, against all that is good...

 

It will piss people off but it will be a justifiable choice statistically.

 

Tampa will lose or win on a crazy choice, I s*** you not the outcome of this series will decide the moral and philosophical direction of this board, and perhaps humanity itself for the foreseeable future.

Spanky99 GOAT

Spanky99

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted

I guess this is relevant... Anthony Castrovince has us ranked at #2 as darkhorses...

 

2. Blue Jays

 

First off, have you seen newly promoted catcher Alejandro Kirk? Doesn’t that look like the kind of dude -- in both body (5-foot-8, 265 pounds) and in ability to control the strike zone -- who we could all collectively fall in love with in October? The answer is yes … and of course the Blue Jays have plenty of other intriguing talent in the lineup, not to mention a bona-fide ace in Hyun Jin Ryu and an underrated bullpen.

 

The issue facing the young Blue Jays is, well, the elite pitching they’ll face. For instance, their .277 slugging percentage off pitches 95 mph or higher is second worst in MLB. They’re a Jekyll and Hyde offense -- 17 games scoring two runs or fewer, 16 scoring seven or more. They have the youngest position-player group in baseball, and one can never be sure whether their inexperience will be a blessing or a curse in this environment.

 

https://www.mlb.com/news/dark-horse-teams-for-2020-postseason

Spanky99 GOAT

Spanky99

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
Obviously the pitching matchups are different and everything, so it's going to super be optimized with killer strategy...

 

1st thing I will be interested to see is how each team handles game 1 starter... Wouldn't surprise me to see Tampa pull a guy throwing a shut out after 4 innings

 

Mean time Charlie will leave Ryu in and he'll give a run or two in the fifth or something.

 

I mean.. not that I can predict that's exactly what will happen.

 

But I predict Tampa will pull some crazy s***, against the spirit of the game, against all that is manly, against all that is good...

 

It will piss people off but it will be a justifiable choice statistically.

 

Tampa will lose or win on a crazy choice, I s*** you not the outcome of this series will decide the moral and philosophical direction of this board, and perhaps humanity itself for the foreseeable future.

 

lol... awesome.

Laika Cooperstown

Laika

Community Moderator
Posted
Posted
Obviously the pitching matchups are different and everything, so it's going to super be optimized with killer strategy...

 

1st thing I will be interested to see is how each team handles game 1 starter... Wouldn't surprise me to see Tampa pull a guy throwing a shut out after 4 innings

 

Mean time Charlie will leave Ryu in and he'll give a run or two in the fifth or something.

 

I mean.. not that I can predict that's exactly what will happen.

 

But I predict Tampa will pull some crazy s***, against the spirit of the game, against all that is manly, against all that is good...

 

It will piss people off but it will be a justifiable choice statistically.

 

Tampa will lose or win on a crazy choice, I s*** you not the outcome of this series will decide the moral and philosophical direction of this board, and perhaps humanity itself for the foreseeable future.

 

I don't think so. Tampa will use Snell, Glasnow, and Morton probably in that order. They won't pull Snell early if he is pitching well. They will only pull Glasnow early if there are warning signs. In game 3, if it gets there, I guess I could see an early hook for Morton being part of the plan.

 

If Tampa advances then you might see some shenanagins when they have to use other SP.

Olerud363 FCL Blue Jays

Olerud363

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I don't think so. Tampa will use Snell, Glasnow, and Morton probably in that order. They won't pull Snell early if he is pitching well. They will only pull Glasnow early if there are warning signs. In game 3, if it gets there, I guess I could see an early hook for Morton being part of the plan.

 

If Tampa advances then you might see some shenanagins when they have to use other SP.

 

You may be right... I don't know.

 

Career Snell is .205 .280 .312 first time through, .234 .316 .390 second, .247 .329 .412 3rd...

 

The small sample size data for 2020 is even more crazy extreme... .140 .253 .209 first, .307 .350 .600 or so second... third just as bad as second

 

If Tampa doesn't pull him after 4 it's just because they are all talk and in reality aren't progressive enough... and that's OK. America is a center right country and doesn't need to go full bat-s*** progressive.

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