Blue Jays Message Board 2016 Annual Win Prediction Contest

[CrackerJack]

if the Jays win the World Series this year, can Alex be named Executive of the Year again?

[sdyment]

98 wins

[Chappy]

102 wins.

[Smokey]

86

 

I wouldn't be shocked to see them win 90+ games but realistically, it shouldn't be expected. I think many forget that they were 50-50 after 100 games last year and it took a lot of stars to line-up for them to win 93. Let's also not forget that the momentum gained during the last two months was largely fuelled by some ballsy moves that most likely doesn't get made without a desperate GM in charge.

[500LevelSTH]

95 wins, no more, no less

[KinofChaos]

86

 

I wouldn't be shocked to see them win 90+ games but realistically, it shouldn't be expected. I think many forget that they were 50-50 after 100 games last year and it took a lot of stars to line-up for them to win 93. Let's also not forget that the momentum gained during the last two months was largely fuelled by some ballsy moves that most likely doesn't get made without a desperate GM in charge.

 

It took a lot of stars lining up for the team to be 50-50 and a great run differential....lots of bad luck, it works both ways.

[NJay]

87 wins.

[Grant77]

91 wins.

[Smokey]

It took a lot of stars lining up for the team to be 50-50 and a great run differential....lots of bad luck, it works both ways.

 

Run differential wasn't as much of a factor as some make it out to be. Maybe they should have been a couple of games better than .500 but ultimately they were able to go on a run and win the close games they were losing earlier once they finally addressed the atrocious defense at SS and LF and acquired a frontline starter they desperately needed.

 

This year's opening day roster obviously looks better on paper but they still need a lot of things to go their way in order to win 90+ games. A significant injury to either Stroman (who's never pitched more than 130 innings as a pro), Martin, Tulo, Donaldson or even Pillar would undoubtedly reduce their chances and I don't see this FO having much flexibility in terms of resources to be able to find an adequate replacement for any of those players.

[KinofChaos]

Run differential wasn't as much of a factor as some make it out to be. Maybe they should have been a couple of games better than .500 but ultimately they were able to go on a run and win the close games they were losing earlier once they finally addressed the atrocious defense at SS and LF and acquired a frontline starter they desperately needed.

 

This year's opening day roster obviously looks better on paper but they still need a lot of things to go their way in order to win 90+ games. A significant injury to either Stroman (who's never pitched more than 130 innings as a pro), Martin, Tulo, Donaldson or even Pillar would undoubtedly reduce their chances and I don't see this FO having much flexibility in terms of resources to be able to find adequate replacements for those players.

 

The Jays win/lose record in close games in the first half was mainly luck, and you said it yourself, this roster is way better then the one that started last season, defense alone will make a big difference.The rest of what you said can apply to any team in the majors. No they don't need a lot f things to go right to win 90, if most of this roster performs as they have historically and to their talent this is a 90+ win team. Obviously injuries and other factors can happen it's why they play the games.

[KingKat]

Run differential wasn't as much of a factor as some make it out to be. Maybe they should have been a couple of games better than .500 but ultimately they were able to go on a run and win the close games they were losing earlier once they finally addressed the atrocious defense at SS and LF and acquired a frontline starter they desperately needed.

 

This year's opening day roster obviously looks better on paper but they still need a lot of things to go their way in order to win 90+ games. A significant injury to either Stroman (who's never pitched more than 130 innings as a pro), Martin, Tulo, Donaldson or even Pillar would undoubtedly reduce their chances and I don't see this FO having much flexibility in terms of resources to be able to find an adequate replacement for any of those players.

 

Stroman and Donaldson would be the worst of those. Too bad Danny V. was deemed a jerk or something because he would be a huge 3B depth upgrade. Martin would also be pretty bad since Tony Sanchez might very well be terrible. A Tulo injury seems inevitable. Hopefully, it comes after Travis returns. Pompey would probably make the Pillar injury the most navigable of those you mentioned. The first three would be pretty catastrophic.

[TheHurl]

Run differential wasn't as much of a factor as some make it out to be. Maybe they should have been a couple of games better than .500 but ultimately they were able to go on a run and win the close games they were losing earlier once they finally addressed the atrocious defense at SS and LF and acquired a frontline starter they desperately needed.

 

This year's opening day roster obviously looks better on paper but they still need a lot of things to go their way in order to win 90+ games. A significant injury to either Stroman (who's never pitched more than 130 innings as a pro), Martin, Tulo, Donaldson or even Pillar would undoubtedly reduce their chances and I don't see this FO having much flexibility in terms of resources to be able to find an adequate replacement for any of those players.

 

My ranking of devastatingness (real word in my world) of injuries for the Jays.

 

1. Donaldson (all back ups are replacement level)

2. Martin (not ready to see what Jimenez has)

3. Bautista (moves Saunders to RF, Pompey up?)

4. Tulo (more so before Travis' return but still a bad one)

5. Edwin (short term injuries, not really concerned...long term I don't want to see both Smokabello every day)

6. Stroman (I just really like him being there, but it's not a season ender for him to go down)

7. Dickey (his innings will likely be needed)

8. Cecil (don't want anyone else in high leverage late situations against lefties)

9. Sanchez (I can't take another year where we did a small sample size from him. Lets find out what he has and end the debate)

[Brian Labude]

95 wins

[crmr]

Going to go with 92

[G-Snarls]

Bump

[GD]

92 wins

 

i tried

[Spanky99]

89 wins

 

Put me down for 89

 

89

 

It is an underestimation so that I can be happy when im wrong... assuming they dont stink for some reason

 

Bump

 

Wieners!

[Jonn]

94 wins

 

I was predicting Cleveland's win total.

[bones10]

92 Wins for the 2016 Blue Jays!

 

I was close.

[bones10]

feels like yesterday this thread started lol.

[Angrioter]

89 wins

Soy un ganador

[JaysRap]

Off by 1. Dammit!

[RealAccountant]

89 wins

 

know it all.

[RealAccountant]

101

 

:-(

[fatcowxlive]

89 wins

 

Hey ang can you help me pick my lottery numbers? Thanks!

[Dick_Pole]

feels like yesterday this thread started lol.

 

Funny, because it feels like I've aged a year since Ubaldo took apart the hitters a few days ago.