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Posted
Put me down for 91 on the dot. Win the by 3 1/2 over Red Sox.

 

Will it be us or the Red Sox who finish with a tie?

Posted
Interesting these predictions. It makes me curious on the reasons why some would pick less than last year's 93. Loss of Price? Injuries? BoSox better (although they spanked us 2015) Cola collapse? All of the above?
Posted
Interesting these predictions. It makes me curious on the reasons why some would pick less than last year's 93. Loss of Price? Injuries? BoSox better (although they spanked us 2015) Cola collapse? All of the above?

Regression to the mean.

Community Moderator
Posted
Regression to the mean.

 

Their pythag was 102 last year. Should regress to 100+ wins this season.

Posted
Regression to the mean.

 

Read that thread and some of the projections. Hard to expect 4.3 WAR from Pillar again and Estrada to repeat etc. But I expect more from Tulo and a full season of Stro etc.

Posted
Read that thread and some of the projections. Hard to expect 4.3 WAR from Pillar again and Estrada to repeat etc. But I expect more from Tulo and a full season of Stro etc.

 

Travis is going to rape the second half of the year.

Posted
Their pythag was 102 last year. Should regress to 100+ wins this season.

That's regression to a past expected outcome, not to the mean (81). Different thing!

Community Moderator
Posted
That's regression to a past expected outcome, not to the mean (81). Different thing!

 

hi i know

Posted
Interesting these predictions. It makes me curious on the reasons why some would pick less than last year's 93. Loss of Price? Injuries? BoSox better (although they spanked us 2015) Cola collapse? All of the above?

 

 

I think the Rays are better than last year and I think Boston is as well. I think Baltimore is going to steal a few games from us with some of the pop they have despite how s***** that pitching staff is. I also see a strong AL Central this season and those now become even more must win games. I think 88-89 wins gets the division.

Posted
Interesting these predictions. It makes me curious on the reasons why some would pick less than last year's 93. Loss of Price? Injuries? BoSox better (although they spanked us 2015) Cola collapse? All of the above?

 

Those selections were prior to to Tulo/Price, the Cola and Pillar surprise. I selected 90 wins last year, but with a better rotation/pen going into this year, plus the additions of Saunders/Tulo and even if there's a decline in Pillar, I see 97 wins. Especially when you have to factor in the trade deadline. I don't expect a Price this year, but we have Stroman filling some of that void, and for a full year, plus possibly adding somewhere... we've got this! ;)

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