Official MiLB/Prospects Thread

[Deadpool]

For sure, I get that. But the way this FA window has evolved, I think I'd almost rather roll the dice with unknowns (our SP depth) than sign anymore mediocre SP.

 

Here's a question. Roark and Anderson has short term deals. If they have awesome starts to the season, would you try to trade them for prospects/MLB players? And what if some of our AAA SP come out of the gate on fire? Lots to ruminate on for sure.

 

I'd absolutely trade them at the deadline/before the deadline if the right players were coming back (and if we had internal options that were as good/better, or the players coming back would be as good/better in the near term...)

[Orgfiller]

I have high hopes for Kay, Zeuch, Pearson, Merryweather and Patrick Murphy. And deeper down, SWR.

 

Are Roark and Anderson better than Kay, Zeuch, Pearson and Merryweather? I am not sure.

 

Almost certainly. The only one that might be presently as good or better, and will project to be at least at the same level by next season is Pearson. Zeuch will be lucky if his peak is as good as the next season from Roark or Anderson, Kay is promising but also has a lot to show, and Merryweather is a complete wildcard despite having better stuff than most.

[TheHurl]

 

Interesting article written by the Jays most recent hire and new Canadians manager

 

https://community.fangraphs.com/using-objective-feedback-to-drive-hitting-programming-and-evaluate-progress-at-lsu-shreveport/

[THANOS]

Interesting article written by the Jays most recent hire and new Canadians manager

 

https://community.fangraphs.com/using-objective-feedback-to-drive-hitting-programming-and-evaluate-progress-at-lsu-shreveport/

 

Great read! Sounds really analytical and innovative. Hopefully our 2020 pick starts with him in Vancouver.

[Ray]

I'm looking over our draft record under AA, and my god, it just seems like a dismal record for the 1st rounders and supplemental 1st rounders we picked.

 

2010: Deck McGuire (11th overall). Granted, we also got Aaron Sanchez and Noah Syndergaard in the 1st round, so hard to fault him here.

2011: Tyler Beede (21st overall, did not sign), Jacob Anderson (35th overall), Joe Musgrove (46th overall), Dwight Smith Jr (53rd overall), Kevin Comer (57th overall).

2012: DJ Davis (17th overall), Stroman (22nd overall), Matt Smoral (50th overall), Tyler Gonzales (60th overall)

2013: Philip Bickford (10th overall, did not sign)

2014: Jeff Hoffman (9th overall), Max Pentecost (11th overall)

2015: Jon Harris (29th overall)

 

There's only 4 players I would consider a success out of 16: Sanchez, Syndergaard, Stroman, and Musgrove.

 

AA drafted well enough deep into the draft, but the top of the draft is where you find the most impact. I'd say the only 1st rounder we really missed on was Logan Warmoth. Everyone else has had their stock go up.

[Ray]

Ceilings: Hi Eric – Did Biggio and/or Arraez show enough at MLB level last year to jump their ceilings at all?

 

Eric A Longenhagen: Yes, I was light on Cavan. His approach is incredible. He has 80 ball/strike recog and Arraez has 80 bat control. They should both have been top 100 guys.

[Todd]

This is the best 2020 top 30 prospects I have seen for the blue jays

 

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1. Nate Pearson – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 23 yr, Weight: 245 lbs, Height: 6-6

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: JC of Central Florida

MLB Draft: Round 1, Overall: 28

Future Value

Ceiling: 70

Realistic: 55

Current Level: AAA, ETA: 2020

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 101.2 2.31 30.8 7 40.9 44.4 13.4 .176

One of the top pitching prospects in baseball with a 100 mph fastball and a pair of above average or better secondaries.

 

An absolute monster. Pearson is all of his listed 6-foot-6 250 lbs, with a broad shouldered frame, and a strong lower half. The righthander uses his natural strength to generate one of the hardest fastballs in baseball, consistently sitting 98-100 mph. The fastball generates natural downhill plane due to his large frame, and he’s effective landing it to either side of the plate. The pitch works up in the zone and generates above average spin, but it’s not as deadly high in the zone as one might expect due to the velocity of the pitch.

 

Over the course of 2019 I took in three Pearson starts, two truncated two inning opens and one traditional six inning turn. Depending upon the role his fastball varied in velocity. In the truncated starts Pearson let it fly sitting 99-101, while in his starts he tended to sit 96-98, reaching back for the triple digit heat when needed. He holds his velocity deep into starts, and at times ticked up his second time through the lineup.

 

He mixes in a plus slider that flashes double plus at its best, featuring two plane movement, with late bite and twist. It’s a swing and miss pitch that sits in the mid-80s to low 90s, deadly to righthanders off the plate, but effective when landed to the back foot versus left handed hitters. Pearson will also mix in his curveball, a high 70s offering with 12-6 shape and late bite. I’m not as confident in his changeup developing into a plus pitch the way others are, and the pitch was rarely used across a series of looks this summer.

 

Mechanically Pearson generates excellent extension, helping the perceived velocity of his already electric fastball. He gets a big push off his back leg, working from the stretch in a simple motion toward home, lifting his front leg before dropping and driving toward the plate.

 

Despite his mechanics being relatively simple, there’s effort in his motion if only due to his sheer size and lack of athleticism. It’s not a major red flag but something to watch throughout his career, as it should take effort on his part to maintain his large frame. Elite stuff, size, and a good pitch mix, Pearson has the upside few arms in the minors can match. The ceiling is an elite front of the rotation starter with a power relief floor.

2. Jordan Groshans – 3B/SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 20 yr, Weight: 205 lbs, Height: 6-3

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Magnolia HS

MLB Draft: Round 1, Overall: 12

Future Value

Ceiling: 60

Realistic: 50

Current Level: A, ETA: 2022

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .337 .427 .481 2 1 1 .144 21.9 13.5 9.9 288.9

A former first rounder coming off an injury shortened campaign with offensive upside.

 

If not for an injury plagued 2019 the Jays 2018 first rounder may have broken out in a big way last season. Instead he impressed in the Midwest League in a truncated 23 game season that ended in mid-May due to a stress fracture in his navicular bone of his left foot. At the time of the injury, Groshans was displaying improved plate discipline and pitch recognition from his rookie ball debut in 2018. Groshans is strong and athletic, with the ability to add good weight onto a prototype frame, leading many to project Groshans to provide plus in game power at maturation.

 

His on-field leadership qualities are often touted by those in the Blue Jays organization, leading many to view him as a future captain and clubhouse leader. After such a small sample in pro-ball, with a strong 2020 in Dunedin he could significantly raise his prospect profile.

3. Alek Manoah – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 21 yr, Weight: 260 lbs, Height: 6-6

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: West Virginia

MLB Draft: Round 1, Overall: 11

Future Value

Ceiling: 60

Realistic: 50

Current Level: A-, ETA: 2022

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 17 2.65 39.7 7.4 36.4 42.4 16 .213

2019 first rounder with number two upside and big stuff.

 

On July 14th, 2018 I packed my oldest son into my family’s SUV and made the near 100 mile trek out to Harwich to catch a 6-foot-7 righthander from West Virginia named Alek Manoah. At that point I knew two things about the Mountaineers pitcher, he was big and he threw hard. That day a star was born, as Manoah struck out 11 Harwich Mariners over six innings of work, showcasing a mid-90s fastball, a wipeout slider, and a changeup that flashed above average shape and fade. In fact, over the last three years this Manoah performance was the best pitched start I’d taken in on the Cape as his stuff matched his pitchability, and his sequencing kept hitters off balance.

 

The righthander continued to impress this spring as he led West Virginia to the Big 12 title game, and a berth as a regional host. It came as no surprise on draft night when the Jays took Manoah 11th overall, making him the second arm selected in the 2019 MLB draft. Mixing a plus fastball sitting 94-95 touching 98 at peak, with sink and armside run, Manoah also has a hard-bitting slider as his best secondary and relied heavily on the pitch this spring. His changeup lacked the same bite and effectiveness it showed on the Cape, but it’s flashed previously leading me to believe it still projects as an above average pitch.

 

After spending his first two seasons in the bullpen in West Virginia, Manoah broke out in the summer of 2018 as a starter. While many might question his future role I’m confident that he’ll remain in the rotation long term, due to his large frame, and a pair of at least average or better secondaries. His elite fastball velocity, swing and miss slider and bullpen experience point to a high floor as a potential lockdown reliever should starting not pan out. That said, I’m confident he remains a starter.

4. Orelvis Martinez – 3B/SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 18 yr, Weight: 188 lbs, Height: 6-1

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 60

Realistic: 50

Current Level: R, ETA: 2023

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .274 .351 .542 7 2 0 .268 17.8 8.6 23 297

Elite teenage prospect with star upside due to the strength of his bat.

 

One of the top players in the 2018 International class the Jays signed Orelvis to a $3.5 million bonus, the second largest in the class, and more than budding superstars Marco Luciano and Noelvi Marte. A fair amount of polish and a balanced skill set across the board make Orelvis a safer J2 signing with a high floor. His ability to impact the game in a variety of ways was the calling card of his profile as an amateur, and not much has changed since coming stateside.

 

While splitting time between shortstop and third base for the GCL Jays, Orelvis produced the highest wRC+ of any player 18 or under. Showcasing plus bat speed and raw power, the teenage slugger is already capable of big pull side power. Six of his seven homers were to left field with three of them measuring 400+ feet. With his advanced approach at the plate Martinez limits his swing and miss, and will likely provide value as an on base threat.

 

He’s an average, to slightly below, runner and his lack of quickness could move him off of shortstop to third base. At the hot corner Martinez’s strong throwing arm should play, and his strong hands and solid footwork could make him a solid defender there. His powerful on base driven profile fits the third base position offensive expectations. A talented teenage prospect with an All-Star ceiling at third.

5. Simeon Woods Richardson – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 19 yr, Weight: 210 lbs, Height: 6-3

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Kempner HS

MLB Draft: Round 2, Overall: 48

Future Value

Ceiling: 55

Realistic: 50

Current Level: A+, ETA: 2022

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 106.2 3.81 29.2 5.6 46.9 27.8 14.3 .235

A prototypical starting pitching prospect with an exciting pitch mix.

 

Acquired from the New York Mets in July along with lefthander Anthony Kay in exchange for Macrus Stroman, SWR had a breakout 2019 campaign as he impressed during a six game stint in the Florida State League.

 

A University of Texas commit out of high school, Richardson struggled his senior year as his velocity dipped below the mid-90s he flashed on the previous summer’s showcase circuit. Despite the red flags the Mets liked Richardson enough to take him in the second round and pay him above slot. Thus far it’s looked to be a wise pick, the trade to the Jays may prove otherwise.

 

A tall, athletic, broad shouldered frame, Woods-Richardson has the ideal pitcher’s build. He gets excellent extension and hip shoulder separation in his very repeatable delivery. There’s some effort but it’s more a product of explosiveness versus unnatural movement.

 

His pitch mix features two variations of his fastball, a curveball, and a changeup. Each fastball pairs with a secondary giving him an easy plan of attack against batters of each handedness. His four-seam fastball tunnels with his 12-6 curveball, as its backspin causes rise and life, making it deadly when paired with his bender. Conversely his two-seam and its armside run pair well with his changeup, which shows similar movement. The 2-seam+changeup sequence gives Woods-Richardson a natural plan of attack against lefthanders, and the results showed in his final six starts with Dunedin, where he allowed just 7 hits to lefties.

 

In summary, Woods-Richardson repeats his mechanics, flashes above average stuff, throws strikes and possesses a starters build. This gives him a pretty safe floor as a starter with room to grow into more than his mid-rotation realistic grade.

6. Adam Kloffenstein – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 19 yr, Weight: 243 lbs, Height: 6-5

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Magnolia HS

MLB Draft: Round 3, Overall: 88

Future Value

Ceiling: 55

Realistic: 50

Current Level: A-, ETA: 2023

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 64.1 2.25 24.7 8.9 61.6 24.5 14.1 .203

Big bodied righthander without the velocity to match yet, and an advanced pitch mix for a teen.

 

A big-bodied righthander from the Texas prep ranks, in 2018 the Jays used first round money to lure Kloffenstein away from a strong commitment to TCU. They’ve been cautious early with Kloffenstein, showing him just two innings of work in his 18′ debut, and holding him in extended spring this season before unleashing him on the Northwest League. Over 64.1 innings he showed well, displaying the ability to miss bats and generate a high number of groundballs.

 

Mixing technically five pitches when you count the two variations of his fastball, his two-seam fastball works low in the zone and typically sits low-90s, while his four-seam variation shows more zip and higher velocity readings. His slider is the best of his secondaries showing advanced feel as he shapes the pitch to manipulate its break, teasing harder slider movement or more vertical curveball shape at times. His changeup shows good fade, but it is often inconsistent in its present state.

 

After a strong showing in his first real look of the professional ranks, Kloffenstein should be one of the premier pitching prospects in the Midwest League in 2020. A mid-rotation ceiling with a realistic backend profile, the biggest question facing Kloffenstein’s long term value is the righty’s ability to add fastball velocity. With a big body, it’s conceivable that Kloffenstein is working more 93-95 than his current 90-92 at maturation, but it’s certainly not a given. Another projectable teenage arm with a high floor, and a starter’s body and makeup.

7. Gabriel Moreno – C

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 19 yr, Weight: 160 lbs, Height: 5-11

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 45

Current Level: A, ETA: 2023

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .280 .337 .482 12 7 1 .202 11.1 6.5 6.7 283

An athletic young catcher with projection behind the plate and a contact first profile.

 

Signing for just $25,000 out of Venezuela back in 2016, Moreno has proven a wise investment as the catcher has done nothing but hit since coming stateside two summers ago. It’s a contact over power profile as Moreno showcases innate bat to ball skills and uncanny ability to get to pitches off the plate. You know the profile type, low strikeouts and low walks as he looks to put the ball in play.

 

There’s enough strength and barrel control for Moreno to get to average power at peak. He did show more pop this year in the Midwest League, and has increased his flyball outcomes to the extent that he was 40%+ in 2019. His flyball distances are respectable and he showed significant power to his pull side. Connecting for multiple homers to left field that measured 400+ feet, including a ball that went 460 feet. It’s the key to his profile, if he continues to show above average power production it’s the difference between a 40 and 50 future value.

 

Defensively Moreno is a work in progress, but one that has shown strong skills behind the plate in flashes. His arm is average but his quick release and throwing accuracy have allowed him to throw out runners at a 30%+ clip. Projecting a teenage catcher’s future behind the plate from a handful of looks in Low-A is hardly enough to get a real feel for his catching acumen, as there’s so much that goes into success at the position. There’s certainly enough skill, smarts, and athleticism to project him there long term.

8. Miguel Hiraldo – 2B/SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 19 yr, Weight: 170 lbs, Height: 5-11

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 45

Current Level: A, ETA: 2023

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .298 .346 .481 7 11 3 .183 13.8 5.4 12.1 320.8

A slugging teenage shortstop with advanced plate approach and a mature frame.

 

One of the better hitting prospects in the Dominican Summer League in 2018, Hiraldo debuted stateside this year in Bluefield of the Appy League and picked up where he left off the prior summer. A bat first prospect, Hiraldo is physically advanced for his age, showing little projection remains in his body. It’s likely he moves elsewhere in the infield long term, possibly second or third base. He’s been a bit of a butcher in the field thus far, committing 9 errors in 22 games at short last season.

 

At the plate Hirlado shines, where he controls the strike zone, works deep into counts and looks to make hard contact. He generates plus bat speed, and the advanced physicality manifests itself in above average game power. He’s rarely fooled but manages to balance patience and aggression well.

 

Much of his power is generated to his pull side as he uses his plus bat speed to jump fastballs and rocket balls into play. His swing is compact and strong with a big one handed finish reminiscent of Hanley Ramirez. Despite the big finish his bat path is pretty linear leading to lots of line drives and groundballs, though a respectable 36% flyball rate shows the ability to put the ball in the air is present.

 

Likely to spend a majority of his 2020 in the Midwest League with Lansing. If he conquers the Midwest League and continues to hit in the Florida State League Hiraldo could exit next season as a serious climber.

9. Eric Pardinho – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 18 yr, Weight: 155 lbs, Height: 5-10

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A, ETA: 2022

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 37.2 2.18 23.5 10.7 45.9 36.8 14.6 .224

Brazilian teenage pitching prodigy with a small frame and advanced pitchability.

 

Fresh off a World Baseball Classic debut at 16, Pardinho signed out of Brazil for $1.4 million back in 2017. Since then he’s dealt with a litany of injuries the most serious of which occurred this spring when he strained a ligament in his pitching elbow. The Jays prudently shut him down until late June, where he pitched a single game for the Jays GCL squad before being assigned to Lansing.

 

Pardinho works low-90s with his fastball, pounding low in the zone looking to generate groundball outs. His fastball has added some zip at times when healthy showing he can reach back for 95 when needed. His curveball is his strongest secondary and will flash plus, but he needs to work on the consistency of its shape. He has increased the usage of his changeup and has discussed wanting to increase its usage going into 2020. It’s a solid three pitch mix, with some projection for three above average pitches if you’re optimistic in his changeup.

 

A smart pitcher often credited with advanced sequencing, Pardinho has also discussed his usage of trackman data. In an August interview with Sportsnet, he discussed analyzing his spin rates and extension data to measure his success from start to start. This gives me some comfort in projecting Pardinho to get the most out of his profile. However, his diminutive stature and recent elbow scare give me pause from a risk standpoint. I’m comfortable projecting Pardinho for a backend profile with a mid-rotation ceiling.

10. Kendall Williams – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 19 yr, Weight: 205 lbs, Height: 6-6

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: IMG Academy

MLB Draft: Round 2, Overall: 52

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 40

Current Level: R, ETA: 2023

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 16 1.13 30.6 11.3 32.4 50 29.9 .109

Florida Prep prospect from the prestigious IMG Academy with a big projectable frame and stuff.

 

Our team caught Williams multiple times leading up to the draft with Kyler Peterson catching him early with IMG. Kyler described Williams in the following to a tee.

 

“Tall, slender frame with loads of projection. Build similar to Forrest Whitley. Long legs and levers. Efficient, fluid delivery with good extension. FB sat 87-91 with run and serious downward plane. Curve can be deadly at 75-76 with slurvy feel flashing more tilt and horizontal break than vertical. Change-up 75-76. Easy to dream on with more velocity coming due to size and athleticism.”

This is consistent with other reports including Jason Pennini’s from NHSI. I’d encourage you to click the link and revisit his writeup. With a large range of outcomes for Williams a possibility I’m only comfortable slapping a number four starter ceiling on him at the moment. There’s certainly room for growth due in his massive frame.

11. Anthony Kay – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 24 yr, Weight: 218 lbs, Height: 6-0

Hits/Throws: L/L

School: Connecticut

MLB Draft: Round 1, Overall: 31

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 40

Current Level: MLB, ETA: 2020

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 133.2 2.97 24.1 10 36.2 47.3 11.3 .224

A lefty with a three pitch mix led by two above average secondaries.

 

A standout at the University of Connecticut Kay, started his pro career on a sour note as he required TJS following the draft. He debuted in 2018, climbing two levels of A-ball, flashing an improved curveball and his signature changeup. He was able to regain his velocity, working 91-93 occasionally bumping 95. He throws a 12-6 downer curveball that generates swings and misses as well as a changeup to righthanders with fade and armside run.

 

To begin 2019 Kay dominated the Eastern League, posting a 1.49 ERA to go along with an opponents batting average of .165 and just two home runs allowed across 12 starts. The promotion to Triple-A Syracuse and the wild offensive environment of the 2019 International League wasn’t so kind. He was dealt to the Jays in July and made a few starts with Buffalo before debuting with the big league club in September.

 

Once players are in the bigs we’re able to get more accurate spin rate and velocity data, as well as reliable pitch usage rates. Kay’s fastball averaged 93.4 mph with average spin rates in the 2300 range. He mixed his changeup and curveball equally both seeing 20% usage, each showing some ability to generate whiffs.

 

It’s a back end of the rotation profile for me, but one that should be able to provide valuable innings and some bright spots when he gets on a run. A nearly finished product with little risk of missing his floor.

12. Leonardo Jimenez – 2B/SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 18 yr, Weight: 160 lbs, Height: 5-11

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A, ETA: 2022

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .292 .370 .369 0 2 1 .077 17.7 8.4 9.8 282.4

Line drive focused approach at the plate with the ability to play both middle infield positions.

 

The Panamanian signed for $825K back in 2017 and has performed well through two rookie ball stops. An above average hit tool leads his profile, with a hit over power, contact driven approach. He’s split time between second and short, showing good infield actions and an average to slightly above average arm. Naturally at his age there’s some inconsistent moments, but you can project Jimenez sticking in the middle of the infield.

 

At the plate Jimenez sets up slightly open with his front leg bent, utilizing a toe tap before striding forward. His hands are busy pre-load, but he quickly gets them into rhythm before getting his bat on plane. It’s mostly line drive contact, with a fair amount of flyballs for a player that lacks power. He’s added good weight between his 2018 stint in the GCL and 2019, as he looked more filled out and muscular. He has decent bat speed and strong bat to ball skills, it takes a fair amount of projection but I can see fringe-average power at peak.

 

Overall a strong sum-of-his-parts player with an everyday regular ceiling. How Jimenez handles his first full season assignment will determine whether he holds this rank.

13. Otto Lopez – SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 21 yr, Weight: 160 lbs, Height: 5-10

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A, ETA: 2022

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .324 .371 .418 4 20 15 .094 12.9 7 8.3 277.4

Versatile fielder with plus speed and an above average hit tool. Utility floor with leadoff ceiling.

 

Otto Lopez seems like he should be a Blue Jays folk hero for a variety of reasons. None that involve the strange chocolate cheese name combination of Otto and the surname Lopez. Rather, Lopez’s background as a dual citizen of both Canada and his native Dominican Republic makes him a unique player. Lopez spent his teen years in Montreal and has been a member of several Team Canada squads throughout his amateur career.

 

On the field Lopez is a versatile player, having seen time at second, shortstop, third base, and all three outfield positions. He’s a plus runner with enough defensive chops to fill in any role in the dirt or on the grass. So regardless of how well Lopez hits, his speed and defense alone should be enough to get him some chances at the big league level.

 

At the plate Lopez is heavily contact focused but has shown a keen eye at the plate and an advanced approach throughout his career. Hardly ever expanding the zone, Lopez seems to get his bat on most anything he swings at. The larger issue is Lopez lack of true power. While his slugging numbers have trended up, Lopez is still heavily ground ball focused with a spread’em out and run focus. He can still turn on the pullside power when needed though, so perhaps there’s more hope.

 

The profile reads like a utility player with some offensive upside. If Lopez can add enough power to really drive the ball into the gap he has an outside shot at becoming an everyday regular, but there’s a fair amount of projection to get there.

14. Dasan Brown – OF

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 18 yr, Weight: 185 lbs, Height: 6-0

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Abbey Park HS

MLB Draft: Round 3, Overall: 88

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 40

Current Level: R, ETA: 2024

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .222 .444 .355 0 6 2 .133 27 14.3 15.2 295.3

2019 Canadian Prep pick with tons of upside and a high defensive floor. Elite athlete.

 

A premium athlete and 80 grade runner from the Ontario prep ranks, Brown is a home cooked pick with huge upside. It’s a matter of making something of Brown’s raw tools. He easily profiles as a center fielder long term with his speed, instincts, and strong throwing arm. At the moment his offensive game is raw, however.

 

Brown’s current swing is balanced and strong mechanically. Setting up from a slightly open stance and starting his swing with a slight leg kick before engaging. He’s prone to get out on his front foot, and can get tied up with advanced sequencing. He looked a little behind on the better fastballs he saw, and struggled to recognize spin, often flailing at junk in the dirt or expanding the zone needlessly.

 

He’s shown enough line drive ability in batting practice to imagine some projection from the hit tool front. It’s also an excellent body for long term gains. As he’s strong, lean, high waisted and athletic. Adding good weight over the next several seasons shouldn’t be an issue.

 

If Brown is able to manifest his athletic skills with an improved hit tool, and more strength a possibility of a four tool center fielder with fringe average power is a possibility. He’s one of the most exciting athletes in the system but one with a fair amount of projection and a significant amount of risk.

15. Chavez Young – OF

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 22 yr, Weight: 195 lbs, Height: 6-0

Hits/Throws: S/R

School: Faith Baptist Christian Academy

MLB Draft: Round 39, Overall: 1182

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A+, ETA: 2022

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .246 .314 .351 6 24 11 .105 22.8 7.8 10.4 278.7

Toolsy switch-hitter with different plate profiles from each side.

 

There’s few background stories as unique as Young’s, as the native Bahamian spent time in high school in both Florida and Georgia before sneaking in a $200,000 bonus from the Jays in the 39th round. Young proved to be a steal early in his pro career as he broke out producing strong lines across two levels of A-ball in 2018 and 2019.

 

A plus runner with the ability to make hard contact to all fields, Young’s bat speed allows him to turn on fastballs on the inner half and make pitchers pay. His above average instincts play up his base-stealing ability as well as defensive chops in center. If his power can continue to develop and his approach improves there’s another exciting athlete in the system to dream on.

16. Alejandro Kirk – C

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 21 yr, Weight: 220 lbs, Height: 5-9

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A+, ETA: 2023

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .290 .403 .458 7 3 0 .168 10.5 15.1 5.3 291.6

A bat first catching prospect with a knack for getting on base and power to his pullside.

 

Few players have put up the type of production Kirk has over the last two seasons, as he’s slashed .318/.419/.502 with a 14.4 BB% and a 9.7 K%. It’s an advanced hit tool, with elite feel for the zone and pitch recognition that’s overwhelmed lower level pitching. His power is only average in game, but he shows at least average raw in batting practice. His uncanny ability to get the bat on the ball and work the count makes him an incredibly difficult out.

 

Kirk’s physical makeup is below average, with a bad body being an understatement. He’s short and overweight with a large midsection. It’s a Dan Vogelbach type of physique. He gets the most of his ability behind the plate displaying a strong arm, and showing the ability to hold runners in check. He’s a solid blocker, but might ultimately become hindered by his poor physical projection. An intriguing bat with some real questions.

17. Griffin Conine – OF

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 22 yr, Weight: 200 lbs, Height: 6-1

Hits/Throws: L/R

School: Duke

MLB Draft: Round 2, Overall: 52

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A, ETA: 2022

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .280 .369 .566 21 2 0 .286 36 11 20.7 320.3

Power over hit corner outfield prototype coming off a rebound season in 2019.

 

The Blue Jays love their MLB bloodlines and Conine, their 2018 second rounder, is the next in line to feed Toronto’s legacy fetish. A player of some pedigree as not only the son of former MLB All-Star Jeff Conine, but also a former standout for Duke. He broke out over the summer of 2017, pacing the Cape Cod League circuit in homers, showing off impressive power in the historically power-starved environments of the Cape.

 

Riding the high of the CCBL breakout, Conine’s spring was tumultuous as he struggled with strikeouts, lending credence to lingering hit tool concerns. Toronto however was not deterred as they plucked Conine in the second round and paid him $1.35 million.

 

Conine appeared in two rookie leagues games out of the draft before he was assigned to Toronto’s short season affiliate in Vancouver. Over 55 games Conine put up a league average line, flashing his prodigious power, and worrisome swing and miss. Things got off to a sour note in 2019 as he tested positive for Ridilin and served a 50 game suspension to begin the season.

 

Assigned to the Midwest League in the final days of May, Conine hit well through three months of action producing strong power numbers. The production was once again marred by concerning strikeout rates. Even beyond his 35%+ K-rate, Conine’s 20.8 SwStr% was the worst among Lansing batters with 300 PAs or more despite being on the older end of competition.

 

Many saw the slashline and joined the gravy train, but I’d caution against overzealous reactions. Advanced college players with big conference experience don’t typically spend the first full season post draft in low-A ball unless there are serious concerns. Conine’s power is easy plus with the ability to drive pitches to any part of the ballpark. His splits are fine from a power standpoint, though his approach is noticeably worse against lefthanders. Overall a future 40 hit/60 power bat seems realistic.

 

At the moment a 30 hit tool grade might be generous, but his quality of contact and his strong batted ball profile leave hope for the optimist in me. Conine is adequate in either corner with a strong throwing arm, his bat and defensive profile fit in right field long term and he reads the ball off the bat well enough to compensate for below average foot speed. Likely a second division regular peak, but there’s a shot he only develops into a platoon corner outfield bat. Not a profile in high demand these days.

18. Patrick Murphy – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 24 yr, Weight: 220 lbs, Height: 6-4

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Hamilton (AZ) HS

MLB Draft: Round 3, Overall: 83

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: AA, ETA: 2020

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 84 4.71 23.6 7.4 52.6 28.3 11.5 .226

After his landing foot toe tap was deemed illegal, Murphy’s season was derailed by adjustments and a shoulder injury.

 

It’s been a long and winding road for Murphy who first joined the Blue Jays organization from the prep ranks in 2013. Since then Murphy has dealt with “Six Flags” worthy ups and downs, including TJS and Thoracic Outlet Syndrome. Murphy broke out to an extent in 2018 and carried the momentum through the early part of 2019. Following his start on June 2nd, Murphy was informed by MiLB officials that his delivery was now illegal and the righthander was forced to adjust on the fly.

 

Murphy’s natural delivery featured a late toe tap on his plant foot before releasing the ball. The quirk was a timing mechanism Murphy had employed dating back to his early days as an amateur. Now Murphy, in the upper minors the owner of a 3.09 FIP, 4.06 K/BB, and a .199 opponents batting average against, had to alter something he’d always done. The results following were not great. Over the next six starts from June 7th until July 13th Murphy struggled with his control, watching his walk rate nearly double over those six starts. His ERA ballooned over that period and eventually it culminated in a shoulder injury that left him on the shelf until the last week of the season.

 

It’s hard to gauge which Murphy to expect in 2020. I caught Murphy on opening night in Manchester opposite now system mate Anthony Kay and later on in May for another start. Each time Murphy executed perfectly working his fastball to both sides of the plate at 93-95 touching 96 on occasion. He mixes in a tight curveball in the high-70s range and a changeup with that was effective when thrown against left handed hitters. He generates lots of groundball contact with his fastball and gets a respectable amount of swings and misses. Unfortunately the start I caught in July was the opposite, a rough outing all around where Murphy was beat up.

 

It’s a backend profile and I’m pretty certain of him reaching it. Post-mechanics change the stuff was still there, I’ll give Murphy the benefit of the doubt as he did it on the go. A full and healthy off-season should allow him to properly prepare to debut in Toronto this season.

19. Rikelvin de Castro – SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 16 yr, Weight: 150 lbs, Height: 6-0

Hits/Throws: R/R

Future Value

Ceiling: 50

Realistic: 40

Current Level: NA

 

, ETA: 2024

The top international signing for the Blue Jays in 2019. Defensive wizard with off the charts athleticism.

 

Castro signed for $1.2 million out of the D.R. in July, commanding the largest chunk of the Jays bonus pool in 2019. Often lauded for his high energy game and high baseball IQ that play up all his tools, it’s his glove that has gotten heaps of praise in early reports. Blessed with a lightning fast first step, de Castro is the very definition of rangy. He’s a quick twitch athlete with an impressive arm.

 

At the plate, he’s still very slight in terms of mass, but looks like he could add good weight which may boost his power profile. He utilizes a slight inverted toe tap as a timing mechanism, and gets deep into his back leg in his stroke. Flashing above average bat speed and a slight uppercut bat path, I can see Castro finding fringe average power at peak.

 

The defensive profile looks phenomenal, if he can hit enough to be an average offensive player Castro could be an everyday shortstop at the big league level, but there’s a long way to go.

20. Kevin Smith – SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 23 yr, Weight: 188 lbs, Height: 5-11

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Maryland

MLB Draft: Round 4, Overall: 129

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: AA, ETA: 2021

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .207 .261 .400 19 11 6 .193 32.6 6.3 17.8 0

A breakout 2018 was followed by a rough 2019 follow up in AA, leading to significant concerns about the hit tool versus upper-level pitching.

 

I remember watching Smith on that cold night in early April last year and thinking “is he always this susceptible to spin?”. A player whos 2018 breakout drew excitement from nearly all corners of prospect coverage, he didn’t look the part. It’s a heavy power over contact profile with an approach geared toward pullside power.

 

While the raw power deserves a 60, in game his 30 grade hit tool draws away from his power’s true ceiling. A 64% contact rate, an inability to pick up spin, and a propensity to expand the zone plagued Smith. He’ll often swing through good pitches, get tied up by good sequencing and find himself between pitches without the plus bat speed needed to compensate. Fortunately for Smith, his supporting tools do raise his overall profile.

 

A competent fielder on the left side of the infield, Smith makes up for just average arm strength with good footwork, excellent hands and transfer ability. He’s likely to move off of shortstop but could find a home at either third base or second. He has the foot speed, as a consistently 50 runner across a dozen looks, to cover an outfield corner if the Blue Jays decide to experiment. Ultimately Smith’s best position might be second base, where his plus power could play up and his strong infield actions would profile above average to plus at the position. It’s all a matter of Smith making enough contact.

21. Will Robertson – OF

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 21 yr, Weight: 215 lbs, Height: 6-2

Hits/Throws: L/L

School: Creighton

MLB Draft: Round 4, Overall: 117

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A-, ETA: 2023

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .267 .365 .403 6 1 2 .136 18.6 11.8 9.3 291.1

A standout performer at Creighton, Robertson is an underrated bat first college prospect.

 

One of the better hit tools in the college class, the Jays may have found yet another college bat with upside after the second round. Here’s what we wrote about Robertson pre-draft:

 

“Robertson is an intriguing prospect coming off a strong sophomore season and solid junior year. Robertson has a good hit tool that he flashed in both years but has more recently been a pull approach hitter leading to more strikeouts than his sophomore year. He has an athletic frame at 6-foot-2, 210 lbs but seems to be filled out at this point. Robertson has an open stance where he rests his weight heavy on his back leg. Leading to an average leg kick that starts his swing. Robertson has good bat speed with loft leading to good power in his bat that isn’t just all pull power. If Robertson can change his approach to be able to use his power and loft to all fields, he could be a promising prospect in the future.”

 

Robertson showed well in his introduction to professional ball earning a nod on our Northwest League All-Star team at season’s end. The splits lead to some questions about his ability to hit left handed pitching, and his power output was underwhelming for a player as advanced as Robertson. That said, it’s a small sample, but something to monitor in 2020 and beyond. The team at Prospects Live should get a good look at Robertson as he works his way through Lansing, Dunedin, New Hampshire, and Buffalo.

22. Tanner Morris – 2B/SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 21 yr, Weight: 190 lbs, Height: 6-2

Hits/Throws: L/R

School: Virginia

MLB Draft: Round 5, Overall: 147

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A-, ETA: 2023

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .245 .384 .343 2 4 2 .098 19 16.6 7.3 271.3

Strong college performer at the plate with a limited defensive profile.

 

I covered Morris in my Cape Cod Baseball League 2018 look back a couple of months back. Here’s what I wrote:

 

“Excellent performer at the plate during his two seasons at UVA and that was true over the summer of 2018. Morris showed the ability to make consistently strong contact and a habit of putting the ball in play. His swing is a little stiff, as he’s not the most athletic specimen, but he’s smart about what he swings at and shows an understanding of the game. He lacks range in the middle infield, but shows at least adequate hands at short. Saw an equal amount of time at both short and second in his debut with the Toronto organization. Fits the mold of a bat first second baseman with a hit over power profile. Power didn’t play at all in 64 Northwest League games, but he should find at least average pop at maturity.”

 

A high floor bat with the risk of being an empty average profile. He’s likely second base only as his range really limits his ability on the left side of the dirt.

23. Estiven Machado – SS

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 17 yr, Weight: 165 lbs, Height: 5-10

Hits/Throws: B/R

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: NA, ETA: 2025

Athletic shortstop from the Jays 2019 International Class. Switch-hitter with knack for contact and average power projection.

 

One of the top players in a deep class as the Blue Jays spread their money amongst a group of solid prospects. Machado, like classmate Rikelvin de Castro, is a shortstop with the infield actions and footwork to stick at the position, though he’s less rangy than de Castro. Machado, a switch-hitter, shows above average contact skills from both sides of the plate and gap to gap power at present. He’s an average runner, but good athlete so he should maintain his speed.

 

Looks the part of a solid hitting shortstop but the range of outcomes is tremendously wide at this point.

24. Ryan Noda – 1B/OF

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 23 yr, Weight: 217 lbs, Height: 6-3

Hits/Throws: L/L

School: Cincinnati

MLB Draft: Round 15, Overall: 459

Future Value

Ceiling: 40

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A+, ETA: 2021

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .238 .371 .417 13 14 2 .179 29.4 15.8 14.3 304.3

Former 15th round standout who’s flashed plus on base ability and power. Likely strong-side platoon first baseman at maturity.

 

A simple statistical search of the leaderboards of the Midwest League in 2018 and subsequently the 2019 Florida State League will have you believing Ryan Noda is one of the top hitters in the minors. While it’s not debatable that he’s been one of its most productive hitters, it’s a profile that leads to suspicions on how his production will translate to the upper minors and beyond. Let’s briefly look at the good and the bad.

 

The Good –

 

Noda led all players with 400 PAs in high-A or higher in hard contact in 2019 per Rotowire, with a hard rate of 46.7%. So needless to say there’s at minimum plus raw power. The raw however is not the carrying tool in his plate profile, it’s his patience that jumps out at you. A former University of Cincinnati Bearcat, Noda studied fellow alumnus Kevin Youkilis at the plate, emulating his balance of patience and aggressiveness.

 

This pairing has led to strong showings statistically despite a poor batting average in 2019. He’s also adept at shortening up with two strikes and looking toward a more contact oriented approach. At worst Noda should be credited as a heady hitter. His swing has something nostalgic about it, maybe it’s the bat path or the fact that Noda is a member of the no batting gloves club. Either or.

 

The Bad –

 

The swing. A unique bat path that’s flat entering the zone with sharp late uppercut plane. It’s an interesting take as he gets into his lower half as he turns over, but his hips are a little stiff and he uses his legs to fire his gate. His hands aren’t particularly quick, and his power is mostly driven by the strength from his muscular frame.

 

The combination of his lack of elite bat speed, and his unusual swing path makes him susceptible to inside fastballs, particularly those 93+ mph, and breaking stuff down and away. His contact in the zone isn’t great either as he’ll often swing through hittable pitches. His elite on base ability raises the overall grade of the hit tool. His near 30 percent strikeout rate is the product of poor contact skills, his patient and almost passive approach, struggles versus lefthanders, and the larger strike zones of A-ball.

 

A below average runner, Noda is likely at best a below average left fielder, if he’s not moved off the position almost entirely. He did split time between first base and left, even seeing some starts in right field. The overall profile leads me to a strong-side platoon bat at first base with an on base slanted profile.

25. Samad Taylor – 2B

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 21 yr, Weight: 160 lbs, Height: 5-10

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Corona (CA) HS

MLB Draft: Round 10, Overall: 302

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: A+, ETA: 2022

2019 AVG OBP SLG HR SB CS ISO K% BB% SwStr% Est FB (ft)

- .216 .325 .363 7 26 10 .147 27.9 12.8 12.2 297.3

A former Indians draft pick from the prep ranks with plus speed, strong plate discipline, and average game power.

 

Athletic and speedy, Taylor packs a little more punch than you’d expect from a player his size (listed 5-foot-10 165 lbs). But his game his predicated on shooting the gaps and getting on base. He’s patient almost to a fault at times, and will swing through pitches in the zone. He struggled to make contact consistently in 2019, but had been an above average contact hitter previously. He puts the ball in the air at a high clip for a player with his speed, which might be to the detriment of his BABIP.

 

Much of his in game power derives from his uppercut swing path and excellent bat speed. His hands are lightning fast, leading to an average power ceiling. He’s just too slight in frame to ever project for more than that.

 

Taylor is a plus runner and instinctual base stealer. An elite athlete will little concern his speed won’t age well. Taylor’s profile defensively is a little unusual as he’s a second base only athlete with a strong glove. I’m a little surprised he hasn’t been used in the outfield where his speed could play in center. With the way second base defense has been devalued, plus defense at the position isn’t a huge selling point. Taylor is a likely athletic role player that could find playing time through his versatility.

26. Hector Perez – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 23 yr, Weight: 218 lbs, Height: 6-3

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 40

Realistic: 40

Current Level: AA, ETA: 2020

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 115.1 4.61 22.4 13 41.5 39.7 12.2 .271

Righthander with filthy stuff and little idea where it’s going to land. Possible elite relief ceiling if everything breaks right.

 

A former Astros farmhand, Perez has some of the best stuff on his fastball I’ve seen in the last few years. It was electric with 94-97 mph velocity and lots of rise up in the zone and armside run when he ripped off his two seam variation. He mixes in a split-change that generates swing and misses and pair of breaking balls, a hard slider being the better of the two.

 

Perez spent the entirety of the season in New Hampshire’s rotation, generally going deep into games. It’s a backend starter profile due to legit command concerns, but a pitch mix I firmly believe could survive in the pen long term.

27. Yennsy Diaz – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 23 yr, Weight: 202 lbs, Height: 6-1

Hits/Throws: R/R

Acquired: J2

Future Value

Ceiling: 40

Realistic: 40

Current Level: AA, ETA: 2019

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 144.1 3.75 19.1 8.7 41.1 46.1 10.5 .228

Solid backend starter profile, but fastball + curveball combination could really play up in bullpen role.

 

”The stuff jumps out at you.” That was the first thing I wrote in my pad when I caught Yennsy back in late May. The fastball was 93-95 touching 96 with some armside run. He mixed in a curveball in the high-70s hard changeup that sat 87-89.

 

The fastball is an easy 50 for me with some more upside in a pen role. His command is spotty with the pitch as he’ll often miss to the outer edges when working away. The curveball is the better of the two secondary pitches, with two plane break giving it some slurvy shape. His changeup is too firm, bleeding into his fastball at 90-91 MPH at times. If he could work with similar late dive in the mid-80s it’s a really viable third pitch.

 

He saw some time with Toronto this season and could get some extended run in 2020 should they decide to move him into the pen.

28. Thomas Hatch – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 25 yr, Weight: 200 lbs, Height: 6-1

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Oklahoma State

MLB Draft: Round 3, Overall: 104

Future Value

Ceiling: 40

Realistic: 40

Current Level: AA, ETA: 2020

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 135.1 4.13 22.7 7 40.8 42.5 13.7 .251

A backend profile with a deep pitch mix and a pair of potential above average pitches. Likely to see some MLB time in 2020.

 

Traded for David Phelps at last season’s trade deadline, in many ways Hatch projects out similarly to Phelps. Predominantly fastball + slider coming into 2019, Hatch added a cutter that got solid results.

 

Some reports like his changeup more than his slider referencing his willingness to use it versus righthanders, while others don’t mention it at all. I got a late season look at Hatch and it was mostly fastball, slider, cutter. His fastball command isn’t great and he’ll struggle to land it gloveside, making him far more effective in on right-handed batters and off the plate versus lefties.

 

A quick arm from a true three quarters arm slot, Hatch delivers to home quickly with deep push from his back leg, which swings forward as he drives through his delivery. Looks like a tweener between backend starter and lower leverage relief arm.

29. Peniel Brito – OF

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 16 yr, Weight: 190 lbs, Height: 6-3

Hits/Throws: R/R

Future Value

Ceiling: 45

Realistic: 40

Current Level: NA, ETA: 2025

A power hitting International signing from the most recent class with plus bat speed and plus raw power projection.

 

I’m sure some will lobby for Robert Robertis or Victor Mesia but I’m a big fan of Brito’s swing and his lightning quick bat. Both Robertis and Mesia flash better tools defensively and might have a higher ceiling overall but they just missed the cut. Brito makes it because he flashes plus bat to ball skills and raw power. He’s a towering at 6-foot-3 and likely over 200 lbs, so there’s strength in the frame but some long term maintenance concerns.

 

In my opinion he’s the best bat in the Blue Jays 2019 class, but it will have to carry the profile. He played predominantly outfield as an amateur but the Blue Jays moved him to third base upon signing. He’s new to the position so his footwork is raw, and his longer levers look awkward in the infield to begin with. Has the arm for third base but it’s very much an experiment.

30. T.J. Zeuch – P

2019 Top-30

Bio:

Age: 24 yr, Weight: 225 lbs, Height: 6-7

Hits/Throws: R/R

School: Pittsburgh

MLB Draft: Round 1, Overall: 21

Future Value

Ceiling: 40

Realistic: 30

Current Level: MLB, ETA: 2020

2019 IP ERA K% BB% GB% FB% SwStr% BAA

- 86.2 3.76 13.7 9.1 58.4 21 9.9 .233

The giant righthander made his major league debut in 2019, but his below average fastball and command betrayed him.

 

At 6-foot-7 225 lbs Zeuch is an imposing figure on the mound, he mixes four pitches with two variations of his fastball, though his four-seamer is hardly used. He primarily pitches off of his sinker which sits low 90s with solid downhill plane. The pitch however was smoked at the major league level for a .395 wOBA against. It gets worse unfortunately, as his expected outcomes were somehow significantly more unsightly at an ugly .451 xwOBA.

 

His two best offerings were his changeup and slider both with solid outcomes and expected outcomes. His four-seam fastball and curveball are infrequently deployed, but neither has much in the way of spin.

 

Due to Zeuch’s immense size I won’t rule out him adding a tick or two to his fastball velocity in the coming years, I can also see a pathway to success where he leans more heavily on his slider and changeup, relying less on his fastball. However as it stands it’s a fringe MLB player and a role 30 profile for me.

Show

entries

Search:

Rank Player Age Pos Level ETA Realistic Ceiling Risk

1 Nate Pearson 23 P AAA 2020 55 70 Medium

2 Jordan Groshans 20 3B/SS A 2022 50 60 High

3 Alek Manoah 21 P A- 2022 50 60 High

4 Orelvis Martinez 18 3B/SS R 2023 50 60 Extreme

5 Simeon Woods Richardson 19 P A+ 2022 50 55 High

6 Adam Kloffenstein 19 P A- 2023 50 55 Extreme

7 Gabriel Moreno 19 C A 2023 45 50 High

8 Miguel Hiraldo 19 2B/SS A 2023 45 50 Extreme

9 Eric Pardinho 18 P A 2022 40 50 Extreme

10 Kendall Williams 19 P R 2023 40 50 Extreme

11 Anthony Kay 24 P MLB 2020 40 50 Low

12 Leonardo Jimenez 18 2B/SS A 2022 40 50 High

13 Otto Lopez 21 SS A 2022 40 50 High

14 Dasan Brown 18 OF R 2024 40 50 Extreme

15 Chavez Young 22 OF A+ 2022 40 45 High

16 Alejandro Kirk 21 C A+ 2023 40 45 High

17 Griffin Conine 22 OF A 2022 40 45 High

18 Patrick Murphy 24 P AA 2020 40 45 Medium

19 Rikelvin de Castro 16 SS NA

 

2024 40 50 Extreme

20 Kevin Smith 23 SS AA 2021 40 45 Medium

21 Will Robertson 21 OF A- 2023 40 45 High

22 Tanner Morris 21 2B/SS A- 2023 40 45 High

23 Estiven Machado 17 SS NA 2025 40 45 Extreme

24 Ryan Noda 23 1B/OF A+ 2021 40 40 Medium

25 Samad Taylor 21 2B A+ 2022 40 45 High

26 Hector Perez 23 P AA 2020 40 40 Medium

27 Yennsy Diaz 23 P AA 2019 40 40 Medium

28 Thomas Hatch 25 P AA 2020 40 40 Medium

29 Peniel Brito 16 OF NA 2025 40 45 Extreme

30 T.J. Zeuch 24 P MLB 2020 30 40 Low

 

Showing 1 to 30 of 30 entries

[Todd]

Only one player on this list that is to old to be on it.

Thomas Hatch. But everyone else is between 16 and 24 the cut of point

in my opinion to be a prospect.

[SaskJaysFan_2]

Only one player on this list that is to old to be on it.

Thomas Hatch. But everyone else is between 16 and 24 the cut of point

in my opinion to be a prospect.

 

Thanks, Todd. Great read.

 

They sure don't like Zeuch.

[wamco]

Thanks, Todd. Great read.

 

They sure don't like Zeuch.

 

Go out on a limb and predict the 2020 season for the following players who are predicted to possibly make the team at some point:

 

Pearson

Kay

Hatch

Murphy

Diaz

Curtis Taylor

ZeuchPredict

Alford

Perez

McGuire

 

Put your name on it!

[Todd]

Everybody on that list but Alford. He needs to have one season with no injuries and

600 at bats. To prove him self. As of right now for being 25 is one major bust.

[wamco]

Everybody on that list but Alford. He needs to have one season with no injuries and

600 at bats. To prove him self. As of right now for being 25 is one major bust.

 

Right. He makes the team as 4th of or is cut. He has no options. I don’t see him making the team.

 

How bout the rest?

[flafson]

Thanks for the read Todd.

[AintNoThang]

I would love to hear your opinion on the Oscar contenders for the year.

[Ryu In My House]

Everybody on that list but Alford. He needs to have one season with no injuries and

600 at bats. To prove him self. As of right now for being 25 is one major bust.

 

I think he may still do well once he's in another organization. I will be cheering for him every time he doesn't play the Jays. He seems very likable and has been definitely snake bitten.

[Ryu In My House]

Right. He makes the team as 4th of or is cut. He has no options. I don’t see him making the team.

 

How bout the rest?

 

As long as this FO is fixated on Fisher, or unless there is a trade that culls some of the OF players, there is no way.

[Jimcanuck]

As long as this FO is fixated on Fisher, or unless there is a trade that culls some of the OF players, there is no way.

 

26 man roster.... unless there is another position player acquisition this offseason, I can see Alford given a chance at the MLB level.

[The Cats Ass]

Everybody on that list but Alford. He needs to have one season with no injuries and

600 at bats. To prove him self. As of right now for being 25 is one major bust.

 

Know how many MiLB players got 600 ABs last year? Zero(0).

[Ryu In My House]

26 man roster.... unless there is another position player acquisition this offseason, I can see Alford given a chance at the MLB level.

 

I hope so. I think if you throw him to the wolves he'll initially struggle (in the majors I mean) but then have a solid and straight performance increase as he plays. I just think the Jays should have done that last year in the don't-give-a-s*** year.

[Krylian]

Know how many MiLB players got 600 ABs last year? Zero(0).

 

Doesn't matter. What Todd wants, Todd gets.

[Amok]

As long as this FO is fixated on Fisher, or unless there is a trade that culls some of the OF players, there is no way.

 

There is a little bit too much hometown love for Alford with the Toronto fan base. Both Fisher and Alford were former top 100 prospects. But Alford hasn't hit since 2017 in AA ball while Fisher has hit every level, every year in the minors.

 

At AAA ball

2019 Alford .333/wOBA Vs Fisher .392/wOBA

2018 Alford .300/wOBA Vs Fisher .358/wOBA

 

Fisher also posted a .411/wOBA in 2017

 

Alford has some raw power potential but he has never shown it really in the minors. And there is an old scout rule that guys without power will start to fall off in the upper minors. High level pitchers will just start to challenge them more because they are not afraid. Is that what happen with Alford, i really don't know.

 

But I will say this I would be open to Alford being a defensive sub for CF/RF and right handed bat to PH for Fisher late in the game. He also a pinch base runner option but this is not exactly a slow team.

[Jimcanuck]

Anyone with an Athletic sub that can drop Sickels 2020 top 100 in here?

 

https://theathletic.com/1489574/2019/12/30/john-sickels-top-100-mlb-prospects-for-2020/

[Ray]

Here is my current take on the Top 100 MLB prospects. The original list was published back in February, with an update in late April then another update in June then another in September.

 

This is the end-of-2019 holiday list and contains minor changes from the September version.

 

Starting in January we will have a series of articles looking for additional prospect sleepers, reviewing the 2019 draft class, previewing the 2020 draft class, and answering mailbag questions.

 

Graduated from the Top 100 due to MLB service time:

 

Kyle Tucker, OF, Houston Astros, Grade A-: Last ranking was No. 4

Will Smith, C, Los Angeles Dodgers, Grade B+: Last ranking was No. 31

Nate Lowe, 1B, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade B+: Last ranking was No. 73

Isan Diaz, 2B, Miami Marlins, Grade B: Last ranking was No. 79

 

Current Top 100

 

Here’s the current Top 100, with updated rankings and grades. I will be around in the comments thread to answer questions.

 

1) Wander Franco, SS, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade A: Previously No. 1; hit .327/.398/.487 combined between Low-A and High-A at age 18; best position player long-term still in the minor leagues; stock holding nicely, no change in outlook.

 

2) Mackenzie Gore, LHP, San Diego Padres, Grade A: Previously No. 2; completely dominant in High-A with 1.02 ERA, 110/20 K/BB in 79 innings; promoted to AA and held his own — 4.15 in 22 innings, 25/8 K/BB; stock holding, no change in outlook.

 

3) Luis Robert, OF, Chicago White Sox, Grade A: Previously No. 3; monster season, hitting .328/.376/.624 with 32 homers, 36 steals at High-A/Double-A/Triple-A; some strike zone issues remain but enormously talented; no change in status since last report.

 

4) Gavin Lux, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers, Grade A-: Previously No. 6; hit .347/.421/.607 at three levels then held his own in majors at .240/.305/.400 in 75 at-bats; should build from here; you could put him ahead of Robert depending on how you assess positional premium.

 

5) Casey Mize, RHP, Detroit Tigers, Grade A-: Previously No. 5; 2.55 ERA with 106/23 K/BB in 109 innings between High-A and AA; had some rougher outings in August before being shut down for precautionary reasons; no question about his ability but injury risk remains an issue.

 

6) Jo Adell, OF, Los Angeles Angels, Grade A-: Previously No. 7; has been pushed quickly, now in AAA at age 20; production cut a bit at .264/.321/.355 in 121 at-bats but still at .289/.359/.475 overall on the season; needs more time in the high minors but that’s OK; no change in status from last report.

 

7) Adley Rutschman, C, Baltimore Orioles, Grade A-: Previously No. 8; No. 1 overall pick in 2019 from Oregon State hit .254/.351/.423 in 130 at-bats between rookie ball, New York-Penn League, and Low-A; switch-hitter with power, patience and excellent glove.

 

8) Brendan McKay, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays. Grade A-: Previously No. 9; 1.10 ERA, 102/18 K/BB in 74 innings in AA/AAA; 5.14 ERA in 49 major league innings with 56/16 K/BB ratio; just barely rookie eligible for 2020, just needs to pitch; leading Rookie of the Year contender.

 

9) Nate Pearson, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays, Grade A-: Previously No. 10; 2.30 ERA in 102 innings between High-A/Double-A/Triple-A with 119/27 K/BB rate; you can make a good case for as high as No. 4 depending on assessment of Mize’s injury risk.

 

10) Julio Rodriguez, OF, Seattle Mariners, Grade A- Previously No. 17; hit .326/.390/.540 in 328 at-bats between Low-A and High-A; hit .462 in 65 at-bats after moving up to the California League; still just 18 years old; the more I study him the more I like him.

 

11) Christian Pache, OF, Atlanta Braves, Grade A-: Previously No. 12; hitting combined .277/.340/.462 with 12 homers in 487 at-bats between Double-A and Triple-A at age 20; hasn’t reached his ceiling yet by any means; no change in status from last report.

 

12) Jared Kelenic, OF, Seattle Mariners, Grade A-: Previously No. 14; stock continues to surge; hit .291/.364/.540; began season in Low-A, finished in Double-A at age 20; promising power/speed combination — 23 homers, 20 steals; all looks good right now.

 

13) Jesus Luzardo, LHP, Oakland Athletics, Grade A-: Previously No. 15; battled nagging injuries all year but excellent when healthy, with 2.51 ERA, 57/8 K/BB in 43 innings; scouting reports remain strong; pitched well in major league trial with 1.50 ERA, 16/3 K/BB rate in 12 innings.

 

14) Dustin May, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers, Grade A-: Previously No. 19; excellent second half — 3.37 ERA in 107 innings in Double-A/Triple-A with 110/29 K/BB; 3.63 ERA in 35 major league innings but with excellent 32/5 K/BB; has the stuff to back up the stats.

 

15) Royce Lewis, SS, Minnesota Twins, Grade A-: Previously No. 18; not a great year statistically at .236/.290/.371 between High-A and Double-A; did have 12 homers and 22 steals and only 20 years old; scouting reports remain very promising; looked excellent in Arizona Fall League, enough to move his stock back up a bit.

 

16) Carter Kieboom, SS, Washington Nationals, Grade A-: Previously No. 13; hit .303/.409/.493 with 16 homers, 68 walks in 412 at-bats in Triple-A; ready for a full major league trial — went 5-for-39 in brief MLB look, but certainly capable of better; I may like him a little more than I should.

 

17) Brendan Rodgers, INF, Colorado Rockies, Grade A-: Previously No. 11; hit .350/.413/.622 in AAA, .224/.272/.250 in 76 MLB at-bats before going down with torn labrum; I must admit that Rodgers’ relatively unimpressive MLB debut concerns me due to concerns about his pitch recognition, granted the sample is small; accordingly I have moved him down a few slots.

 

18) Matt Manning, RHP, Detroit Tigers, Grade A-: Previously No. 15; very impressive campaign in Double-A — 2.56 ERA in 134 innings, with 148/38 K/BB rate; all markers positive, status holding.

 

19) Alec Bohm, 3B, Philadelphia Phillies, Grade A-: Previously No. 16; hit .305/.378/.518 with 20 homers, 57 walks, 73 strikeouts in 475 at-bats in Low-A/High-A/Double-A; combines power, plate discipline, and greatly improved defense; status holding.

 

20) Sixto Sanchez, RHP, Miami Marlins, Grade A-: Previously No. 19; 2.53 ERA in 103 innings in Double-A, with 97/19 K/BB rate; throws hard, throws strikes, secondary pitches advancing nicely; stock holding.

 

21) Dylan Carlson, OF, St. Louis Cardinals, Grade A-: Previously 24; breakout player hit .292/.372/.542 with 26 homers, 20 steals between Double-A and Triple-A; only 20 years old; do not overlook him.

 

22) Bobby Witt Jr, SS, Kansas City Royals, Grade A-: Previously No. 20; first-round pick in 2019 hit .262/.317/.354 in rookie ball; excellent across-the-board tools with power, speed, defensive ability, and strong makeup/bloodlines.

 

23) Joey Bart, C, San Francisco Giants, Grade A-: Previously No. 21; hit combined .278/.328/.495 with 16 homers between High-A and Double-A; stock holding.

 

24) Andrew Vaughn, 1B, Chicago White Sox, Grade A-: Previously 23; first-round pick in 2019 from University of California hit .278/.384/.449 in 205 at-bats so far between Low-A and High-A; excellent hitting approach and plus power potential.

 

25) Alex Kirilloff, OF, Minnesota Twins, Grade B+: Previously No. 25; hit .283/.343/.413 in Double-A; missed several weeks with a wrist injury which may have had a negative effect on his power, but still draws wide praise for hitting ability; stock holding.

 

26) Ian Anderson, RHP, Atlanta Braves, Grade B+: Previously No. 26; combined 3.38 ERA in 136 innings in Double-A/Triple-A with a 172/65 K/BB rate; command and consistency wobbled in Triple-A and needs a bit more polish but stock holding overall.

 

27) A.J. Puk, LHP, Oakland Athletics, Grade B+: Previously No. 29; 4.97 ERA, 38/10 K/BB rate in 25 innings on short leash as he finished Tommy John recovery; promoted to majors for bullpen use in September; 3.18 ERA in 11 innings in the majors with a 13/5 K/BB rate; retains No. 2 starter upside as he rebuilds his stamina; stock holding.

 

28) Mitch Keller, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates, Grade B+: Previously No. 27; 3.56 ERA in 104 innings in Triple-A with a 123/35 K/BB; 7.13 ERA in first 48 major league innings but with promising 65/16 K/BB; just needs experience; stock holding.

 

29) Luis Patino, RHP, San Diego Padres, Grade B+: Previously 30; 2.57 ERA in 95 innings between High-A and Double-A with a 123/38 K/BB; you have to love the K/BB and he can hit 99.

 

30) Drew Waters, OF, Atlanta Braves, Grade B+: Previously No. 34; hit .309/.360/.459 between Double-A and Triple-A with seven homers, 16 steals; very athletic, great arm, fast; strike zone gets away from him sometimes and 39/164 BB/K needs to get better.

 

31) Keibert Ruiz, C, Los Angeles Dodgers, Grade B+: Previously No. 32; hit .261/.331/.347 in 314 at-bats between Double-A and Triple-A; was off to fast start after moving up to Triple-A (.316/.350/.474) with very positive reports before breaking a finger.

 

32) Forrest Whitley, RHP, Houston Astros, Grade B+: Previously No. 33; horrible season with 7.99 ERA, 86/44 K/BB in 60 innings at four levels, finishing in Double-A; stuff is intact but command has been very poor; looked much better in the Arizona Fall League, maintaining velocity but throwing strikes again.

 

33) JJ Bleday, OF, Miami Marlins, Grade B+: Previously No. 35; first-round pick in 2019 from Vanderbilt hit .257/.311/.379 in 140 at-bats in High-A; holding his own making transition to full-season ball directly from college.

 

34) Michael Kopech, RHP, Chicago White Sox, Grade B+: Previously No. 37; out with Tommy John surgery.

 

35) Ke’Bryan Hayes, 3B, Pittsburgh Pirates, Grade B+: Previously No. 38; production picked up in second half, hitting .265/.336/.415 in Triple-A with 12 steals, 10 homers; excellent defense and I think there is more to come with the bat.

 

36) Kyle Wright, RHP, Atlanta Braves, Grade B+: Previously No. 39; much better in second half — 4.11 ERA in 112 innings in Triple-A with 116/35 K/BB; still some consistency issues but he did enough to hold his stock.

 

37) Grayson Rodriguez, RHP, Baltimore Orioles, Grade B+: Previously No. 40; 2.68 ERA in 94 innings in Low-A with a 129/36 K/BB; strong year from 2018 first-round pick, just needs to prove his stamina over the long term; I really like this one.

 

38) Jesus Sanchez, OF, Miami Marlins, Grade B+: Previously No. 36; hit .260/.325/.398 between Double-A and Triple-A with 13 homers; capable of much better, as he’s still adapting to high minors; I have some concerns that he needs to tighten strike zone command to truly thrive.

 

39) C.J. Abrams, SS, San Diego Padres, Grade B+: Previously No. 42; first-round pick in 2019 hit stunning .401/.442/.662 in 142 at-bats in rookie ball; promoted directly to Low-A from that point but hurt his shoulder after two games; blazing speed and much more polished than expected as a hitter.

 

40) Riley Greene, OF, Detroit Tigers, Grade B+: Previously No. 43; first-round pick in 2019 hit .271/.347/.403 in 221 at-bats; already in Low-A and he’s just a few months out of high school.

 

41) Taylor Trammell, OF, San Diego Padres, Grade B+: Previously No. 41; hit .234/.340/.349 in Double-A with 10 homers, 20 steals, 67 walks, 122 Ks in 436 at-bats; disappointing season with the bat but still draws notice for speed and upside potential.

 

42) Tarik Skubal, LHP, Detroit Tigers, Grade B+: Previously No. 44; breakthrough season with 2.42 ERA in 123 innings between High-A and Double-A with 179/37 K/BB and only 87 hits allowed; legit stuff to back up the numbers with low-to-mid-90s fastball, plus breaking stuff, excellent control; this is an aggressive ranking compared to other sources but I don’t think the strikeouts are lying to us; he’s a legitimate top prospect, impressive for a ninth rounder in the 2018 draft.

 

43) Matthew Liberatore, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade B+: Previously No. 45; 3.10 ERA in 78 innings in Low-A with 76/31 K/BB; has been handled cautiously due to youth; needs to lower the walk rate but Midwest League sources very positive on long-term projection.

 

44) Sean Murphy, C, Oakland Athletics, Grade B+: Previously No. 46; missed much of year with torn left meniscus but effective when healthy; .293/.384/.580 in 150 at-bats in Triple-A, .245/.333/.566 in 53 major league at-bats; ready for a full shot.

 

45) Brusdar Graterol, RHP, Minnesota Twins, Grade B+: Previously No. 47; missed time with shoulder impingement but has been excellent when healthy; 1.92 ERA in 61 innings with 61/23 K/BB between rehab work and Double-A/Triple-A; 4.66 ERA in 9.2 major league innings with 10/2 K/BB; ready for a full trial.

 

46) Nick Solak, 2B-OF, Texas Rangers, Grade B+: Not ranked previously; older prospect at age 24 and would not rank this high on pure tools alone, however from a fantasy perspective he looks like a very productive investment and Rookie of the Year contender; hit .289/.362/.532 in Triple-A with 27 homers, then .293/.393/.491 in 116 major league at-bats; this looks legitimate to me and under that assumption he needs to be in the Top 50.

 

47) Nick Madrigal, 2B, Chicago White Sox, Grade B+: Previously No. 48; hit .311/.377/.414 between High-A, Double-A, Triple-A with combined 35 steals; all very much as expected from skilled contact hitter.

 

48) Nolan Jones, 3B, Cleveland Indians, Grade B+: Previously No. 51; hit .272/.409/.442 with 15 homers, 96 walks, 148 strikeouts in 430 at-bats between High-A and Double-A; quite patient, perhaps too much so; stock holding.

 

49) Logan Gilbert, RHP, Seattle Mariners: Grade B+: Previously No. 59; first-round pick in 2018 out of Stetson; extremely polished; 2.13 ERA in 135 innings in Low-A/High-A/Double-A with 165/33 K/BB; no decline in performance as he moved up; needs more attention than he’s received and should be better than some guys with more press.

 

50) Luis Campusano, C, San Diego Padres, Grade B+: Previously ranked No. 60; 20-year-old catcher hit .325/.396/.509 in High-A with excellent approach, 15 homers, 52 walks, just 57 strikeouts in 442 at-bats; glove needs polish but highly-interesting bat; the more I study him the more I like him.

 

51) Spencer Howard, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies, Grade B+: Previously ranked No. 56; 2.03 ERA, 94/16 K/BB rate in 71 innings between High-A, Double-A, and rehab work for shoulder issues; turned heads with excellent performance late in the year.

 

52) Brady Singer, RHP, Kansas City Royals, Grade B+: Previously No. 49; good solid year from polished right-hander; 2.85 ERA in 148 innings between High-A and Double-A with 138/39 K/BB; should be ready sometime in 2020.

 

53) Nolan Gorman, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals, Grade B+: Previously No. 50; .248/.326/.439 with 15 homers, 45 walks, 152 strikeouts in 456 at-bats in Low-A/High-A; no real change in profile here; huge raw power with contact concerns; scouts remain higher on him than the numbers due to the power potential.

 

54) Jackson Kowar, RHP, Kansas City Royals, Grade B+: Previously No. 55; 3.52 ERA in 148 innings between High-A and Double-A with 144/43 K/BB; not quite as polished as Singer but pure stuff stands out; great 1/2 punch for KC.

 

55) Vidal Brujan, 2B, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade B+: Previously No. 64; hit .277/.346/.389 between High-A and Double-A with 48 steals; contact hitter with excellent speed, and I think more power may come eventually.

 

56) Xavier Edwards, SS, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade B+: Previously No. 65; comp round pick in 2018, hitting .322/.375/.396 with 34 steals; blazing speed and gets on base, and as with Brujan, may surprise with some power eventually.

 

57) Kris Bubic, LHP, Kansas City Royals, Grade B+: Previously unranked; I expect this rating will be controversial; doesn’t have the pure velocity of some other top pitchers but extremely deceptive and led minor leagues with 185 strikeouts; overall 2.23 ERA with 185/42 K/BB in 149 innings in A-ball; comp round pick in 2018 out of Stanford; in this case I am betting on the strikeouts being the key indicator of his long-term potential rather than his low-90s fastball velocity.

 

58) Hunter Greene, RHP, Cincinnati Reds, Grade B+: Previously No. 52; sore elbow finally resulted in Tommy John surgery; I never know how to rank injury guys, so we’ll just move him down a few notches and plug him in here; excellent potential if his arm is OK; main need is more consistent off-speed stuff to go with 100+ mph fastball.

 

59) Ryan Mountcastle, 1B-3B, Baltimore Orioles, Grade B+: Previously No. 53; fine year in Triple-A at age 20, hitting .312/.344/.527 with 25 homers; ready for a trial, but could use more selectivity at the plate.

 

60) Jordan Groshans, SS-3B, Toronto Blue Jays, Grade B+: Previously No. 54; hot start with .337/.427/.482 in 23 games in Low-A until going down with foot injury; no change in status, just needs health.

 

61) Jordan Balazovic, RHP, Minnesota Twins, Grade B+: Previously No. 58; age 20; breakthrough season with 2.69 ERA in 94 innings in Low-A/High-A with 129/25 K/BB and just 67 hits allowed; stuff continues to improve and he throws strikes readily.

 

62) Brice Turang, SS, Milwaukee Brewers, Grade B+: Previously No. 61; 2018 first-rounder hit .257/.367/.340 with three homers, 30 steals, 83 walks in 473 at-bats in Low-A/High-A at age 19; solid glove, extremely patient at the plate, maybe too patient, but high OBP with speed gives nice leadoff ability; I retain some optimism about his long-term power although most disagree.

 

63) DL Hall, LHP, Baltimore Orioles, Grade B+: Previously No. 62; 3.46 ERA in 81 innings in High-A with 116/54 K/BB; on the injured list with a lat strain to end the season; love the strikeouts and the upside, needs to lower the walks.

 

64) Isaac Paredes, INF, Detroit Tigers, Grade B+: Previously No. 66; hit .282/.368/.416 in Double-A; strong second half and still just 20; main concern is mediocre defense but I think there is a bright future in this bat.

 

65) Daulton Varsho, C, Arizona Diamondbacks, Grade B+: Previously No. 67; hit .301/.378/.520 with 18 homers, 21 steals in 396 at-bats in Double-A; needs additional glove polish but unusual speed for a catcher and has real power.

 

66) Luis Garcia, INF, Washington Nationals, Grade B+: Previously No. 68; hit .257/.280/.337 in 525 at-bats in Double-A; pushed very quickly and is only 19 years old; production improved in the second half.

 

67) Ronaldo Hernandez, C, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade B+: Previously No. 70; cannon-arm defender, hit .265/.299/.397 with nine homers; not a great year with the bat but I still like his long-term projection.

 

68) Nico Hoerner, SS, Chicago Cubs, Grade B+: Previously No. 71; missed time with hand injury but hit .284/.344/.399 in Double-A when healthy; love the pure hitting skills and this is another guy who could sneak in some power down the line.

 

69) Cristian Javier, RHP, Houston Astros, Grade B+: Not previously ranked; combined for 1.74 ERA, 170/59 K/BB and just 51 hits allowed in 114 innings at three levels, finishing in Triple-A; ridiculous numbers overall though needs to lower walks; fastball hits 96 but looks faster due to contrast with solid secondaries.

 

70) Simeon Woods Richardson, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays, Grade B+: Previously unranked; 3.80 ERA with 126/24 K/BB in 109 innings in Low-A/High-A; throws hard, has a plus curveball, changeup improving, throws strikes, just needs to prove his durability.

 

71) George Kirby, RHP, Seattle Mariners, Grade B+: Previously No. 75; first-round pick in 2019 out of Elon, overmatching Northwest League with 2.35 ERA in 23 innings, with 25 strikeouts, zero walks; not ranked this high on other lists but I thought he was a real steal on draft day at 20th overall; could reach majors very quickly.

 

72) Ronny Mauricio, SS, New York Mets, Grade B+: Previously No. 69; .268/.307/.357 in Low-A but only 18 years old; strong defensive tools and considerable promise with the bat though understandably raw; a projection pick, do not expect quick impact.

 

73) Marco Luciano, SS, San Francisco Giants, Grade B+: Previously No. 72; you will be hearing more about this one; .322/.438/.616 in rookie ball; signed out of Dominican Republic in 2018 for $2,600,000; power potential and athleticism stand out, current buzz very positive, also a long way off.

 

74) Yusniel Diaz, OF, Baltimore Orioles, Grade B+: Previously No. 74; fought off injuries and a slow start, hitting .262/.335/.472 in 286 at-bats in Double-A, showing more in-game power this year.

 

75) Justus Sheffield, LHP, Seattle Mariners, Grade B+: Previously No. 57; abysmal first half in Triple-A (6.87, 48/41 K/BB); demoted to Double-A and was much better (2.19, 85/18 K/BB), posting 5.50 ERA in 36 major league innings with 37/18 K/BB; you can make a case to drop him out of Top 100 entirely but the natural talent remains impressive and even a small improvement in command consistency would pay off big; this spot represents a compromise.

 

76) Shane Baz, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade B+: Previously No. 76; 2017 first-rounder traded from Pittsburgh last summer; 2.99 ERA in 81 innings in Low-A with 87/37 K/BB; occasional command hiccups for Midwest League observers like plus fastball/slider combination.

 

77) Nick Lodolo, LHP, Cincinnati Reds, Grade B+: Previously No. 78; 2019 first-round pick out of TCU, posted 2.45 ERA in 18 inning debut with 30/0 K/BB before being shut down for innings limited; could move very quickly.

 

78) Abraham Toro, 3B, Houston Astros, Grade B: Not previously ranked; hit .324/.411/.527 with 17 homers between Double-A and Triple-A, then .218/.303/.385 in 78 major league at-bats; switch-hitter with good feel and steadily developing power.

 

79) Evan White, 1B, Seattle Mariners, Grade B: Previously No. 80; hit .293/.350/.488 in Double-A; pure hitter and getting to his power more often this year; defense is stellar.

 

80) Josh Jung, 3B, Texas Rangers, Grade B: Not previously ranked; first-round pick in 2019 from Texas Tech, hit .287/.363/.389 in 157 at-bats in Low-A; more power should develop in time, should also provide plenty of batting average and OBP.

 

81) Heliot Ramos, OF, San Francisco Giants, Grade B: Previously ranked No. 82; hit .290/.369/.481 with 16 homers between High-A and Double-A; big raw power and has made some progress with the strike zone.

 

82) Trevor Larnach, OF, Minnesota Twins, Grade B: Previously No. 83; hit .309/.384/.458 with 13 homer, 57 walks, 30 doubles in 476 at-bats between High-A and Double-A; good approach at the plate, home run production should increase.

 

83) Justin Dunn, RHP, Seattle Mariners, Grade B: Previously No. 84; 3.55 ERA in 132 innings in Double-A with 158/39 K/BB; has eased questions about future role; should be ready for rotation trial in 2020.

 

84) Josiah Gray, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers, Grade B: Previously ranked No. 85; first-round pick by Cincinnati Reds in 2018, traded to Dodgers last December; 2.28 ERA in 130 innings with 147/31 K/BB at three levels, finishing in Double-A; working on changeup but fastball and slider are plus; don’t overlook him.

 

85) Greg Jones, SS, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade B: Previously ranked No. 86; first-round pick in 2019 from UNC-Wilmington hit .335/.413/.461 in the New York-Penn League with 19 steals; 80-grade speed with on-base skills and some sneaky pop; needs to prove at higher levels but early signs are promising.

 

86) Anthony Kay, LHP, Toronto Blue Jays, Grade B: Previously No. 87; 2.96 ERA with 135/56 K/BB in 134 innings in Double-A/Triple-A; posted 5.79 ERA in 14 major league innings with 13/5 K/BB; still has some command glitches but live-armed lefties get lots of slack.

 

87) Edward Cabrera, RHP, Miami Marlins, Grade B: Previously No. 95; 2.23 ERA in 97 innings between High-A and Double-A with 116/31 K/BB and just 65 hits allowed; stock has been rising all summer due to 92-97 MPH heat; secondary pitches need more polish but loads of potential here.

 

88) Corbin Carroll, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks, Grade B: Previously ranked No. 88; first-round pick in 2019 from high school in Washington state; hit .299/.409/.487 in debut between rookie ball and short-season-A; extremely polished hitter for his age, and has stolen 18 in 19 attempts.

 

89) Deivi Garcia, RHP, New York Yankees, Grade B: Previously No. 89; 4.28 ERA in 111 innings between High-A/Double-A/Triple-A with 165/54 K/BB: big strikeout pitcher with hot stuff, though command needs more polish and he may end up in bullpen.

 

90) Shea Langeliers, C, Atlanta Braves, Grade B: Not previously ranked; first-round pick in 2019 from Baylor, hit .255/.310/.343 in Low-A; capable of better; outstanding defensive catcher.

 

91) Oneil Cruz, SS, Pittsburgh Pirates, Grade B: Previously No. 90; hit .298/.356/.475 between High-A and Double-A; missed time with broken foot but healthy now; big breakthrough possible in 2020.

 

92) Alek Thomas, OF, Arizona Diamondbacks, Grade B: Not previously ranked; hit .300/.379/.450 in Low-A/High-A with 10 homers, 15 steals; just 19 years old; second-round pick in 2018; only weak tool is throwing arm; more power may come.

 

93) Sam Huff, C, Texas Rangers, Grade B: Not previously ranked; hit .278/.335/.509 with 28 homers in Low-A/High-A; power is real, strikeouts may inhibit batting average at higher levels; defense needs more polish but has tools to stick and could have impact bat.

 

94) Ryan Weathers, LHP, San Diego Padres, Grade B: Previously No. 81; on strict pitch count in Low-A, posted 3.84 ERA in 96 innings with 90/18 K/BB; another favorite of Midwest League sources due to polish and mound presence.

 

95) Jeter Downs, SS, Los Angeles Dodgers, Grade B: Not previously ranked; hit .276/.362/.526 with 24 homers, 24 steals, 60 walks in High-A/Double-A; another multi-category player, this may be too low.

 

96) Tyler Freeman, INF, Cleveland Indians, Grade B: Previously No. 91; hit .306/.368/.410 between Low-A and High-A, with 19 steals; line-drive hitter with speed and quick glove.

 

97) Triston Casas, 1B, Boston Red Sox. Grade B: Previously No. 92; first-round pick in 2018, hit .254/.349..472 with 19 homers in Low-A, tapping his power well; excellent glove at first base.

 

98) Monte Harrison, OF, Miami Marlins, Grade B: Previously No. 94; hit .274/.357/.451 in 215 at-bats in Triple-A, with 20 steals; missed time with injuries; multi-category potential with power and speed but still shows rawness at age 24.

 

99) Jazz Chisholm, SS, Miami Marlins, Grade B: Not previously ranked; hit .220/.321/.441 with 21 homers, 16 steals in Double-A; was terrible before the trade (from Arizona to Miami); .204/.305/.427 with 123 strikeouts in 89 games before the deal but much better afterward (.284/.383/.494, 24 whiffs in 23 games); all the tools are here, but still looking for consistency.

 

100) Ryan Vilade, SS, Colorado Rockies: Grade B: Not previously ranked; hit .303/.367/.466 with 10 triples, 12 homers, 24 steals in High-A; age 20; some questions about defense and I’d like to see him in a less-friendly offensive environment, but this ranking could end up looking much too low by June.

 

101) Seth Beer, 1B, Arizona Diamondbacks, Grade B: Not previously ranked; traded from Astros in Zack Greinke deal; hit .289/.388/.516 with 26 homers in High-A/Double-A; proved he could get to his power against pro pitching after college career at Clemson.

 

102) Daniel Lynch, LHP, Kansas City Royals, Grade B: Previously No. 97; comp round pick in 2018; 2.99 ERA in 96 innings between High-A and injury rehab at lower levels with 96/29 K/BB; finished season on an up note.

 

103) Jonathan India, 3B, Cincinnati Reds, Grade B: Previously No. 93; hit .259/.365/.402 between High-A and Double-A, with 11 homers, 59 walks; not a great year with the stats but still draws positive reviews, enough to keep him close to the Top 100 though stock has slipped.

 

104) Hans Crouse, RHP, Texas Rangers, Grade B: Previously No. 63; got off to a fast start but faded, finished with 4.41 ERA in 88 innings in Low-A with 76/19 K/BB; on the shelf with elbow issues and had surgery to remove a bone spur in October.

 

105) Jorge Mateo, SS, Oakland Athletics, Grade B: Hit .289/.330/.504 with 19 homers, 14 triples, 24 steals, 29 walks, 145 strikeouts in Triple-A; very intriguing power/speed mix but with concerning pitch recognition issues.

 

IN THE PICTURE

 

Bryan Abreu, RHP, Astros; Brennen Davis, OF, Cubs; Jasson Dominguez, OF, Yankees; Dane Dunning, RHP, White Sox; Braxton Garrett, LHP, Marlins; Luis Gil, RHP, Yankees; Ethan Hankins, RHP, Indians; Alek Manoah, RHP, Blue Jays; Brailyn Marquez, LHP, Cubs; Bo Naylor, C, Indians; Korey Lee, C, Astros; Freudis Nova, INF, Astros; Joe Palumbo, LHP, Rangers; Kristian Robinson, OF, Diamondbacks; Trevor Rogers, LHP, Marlins; Ryan Rolison, LHP, Rockies; Braden Shewmake, INF; Braves; Bryse Wilson, RHP, Braves;

 

Injured Prospects Who Could Rank Very Highly If Healthy

 

I never know how to assess these types of cases so here’s a special category.

 

Triston McKenzie, RHP, Cleveland Indians, Grade B: Previously No. 33; missed entire year with back injury; hard to rank as a result; slot in the 30-40 range if OK

 

Brent Honeywell, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays, Grade B: Previously No. 23; has now missed two years with elbow trouble; how do you rank him?; slot in the 40-50 range if OK

[Deadpool]

So, two top 100 guys for Stroman. I still think we should have gotten an extra piece there, but those two are definitely good assets.

[Laika]

I still think we should have gotten an extra piece there

 

The is becoming a meme at this point and it is hilarious to me. Quantity!!!

[TheHurl]

3) Luis Robert, OF, Chicago White Sox, Grade A: Previously No. 3; monster season, hitting .328/.376/.624 with 32 homers, 36 steals at High-A/Double-A/Triple-A; some strike zone issues remain but enormously talented; no change in status since last report.

 

And the number 3 prospect is locked up at 6 years $50M with two $15M options. Not a huge fan of this amount but always good to lock up spects

[Bobthe4th]

And the number 3 prospect is locked up at 6 years $50M with two $15M options. Not a huge fan of this amount but always good to lock up spects

 

IMO it’s worth it for Chicago (especially as he can play straight away now), and $50m isn’t franchise crippling if he’s a bust. Plus the new CBA may make the deal look even better if they manage to change the rules for pre free agency contracts.

[TheHurl]

IMO it’s worth it for Chicago (especially as he can play straight away now), and $50m isn’t franchise crippling if he’s a bust. Plus the new CBA may make the deal look even better if they manage to change the rules for pre free agency contracts.

 

No it's not franchise crippling or even that bad, but it certainly hurts their arb/extension discussion with Moncada (and you just gave him more than you gave Eloy). I know that Chicago wants to give the impression that they are competing this year, but the month of Robert isn't going to turn that needle (especially since they are not actually going to compete). The only good argument would be a change to the CBA...but it's not like the players have a good history in CBA negotiations.

 

I think Robert's best comp is Joey Gallo. Gallo would need about $44M in his last two arbitrations to get to $50M. Boras is good...but not that good.

 

I think the deal is fine. I just don't agree with Nick that all the risk is from the player.

[Ray]

Good podcast breaking down Prospects Live Blue Jays Top 30 list: https://www.prospectslive.com/podcasts/2020/1/3/podcast-blue-jays-top-30-breakdown

[Ryu In My House]

Good podcast breaking down Prospects Live Blue Jays Top 30 list: https://www.prospectslive.com/podcasts/2020/1/3/podcast-blue-jays-top-30-breakdown

 

Thanks! That was a great listen.