Angrioter Old-Timey Member Posted February 12, 2015 Posted February 12, 2015 38 Wins + 48 Wins RLT = ~86 Wins
RealAccountant Old-Timey Member Posted February 12, 2015 Posted February 12, 2015 38 Wins + 48 Wins RLT = ~86 Wins I counted 36 wat
Angrioter Old-Timey Member Posted February 12, 2015 Posted February 12, 2015 I counted 36 wat Smoak 1 and 2B D 1
shortstop Verified Member Posted February 12, 2015 Posted February 12, 2015 I'm expecting Delabar to make the team & have a solid year. That'll do wonders for the bullpen depth.
Laika Community Moderator Posted February 12, 2015 Posted February 12, 2015 I'm expecting Delabar to make the team & have a solid year. Based on what, exactly? Hopes? Dreams? Wishes? Your own farts? Wilton Lopez is more likely to be a reliable major league arm.
shortstop Verified Member Posted February 12, 2015 Posted February 12, 2015 Based on what, exactly? Hopes? Dreams? Wishes? Your own farts? Wilton Lopez is more likely to be a reliable major league arm. time will tell of course but my opinion is he'll be fine and will have that control/velocity that we've come to expect. He admitted in the off-season he had nagging injuries & his off-season regimen wasn't what it should have been. End of the day, it's an opinion, kinda like it was for those, including me, that thought Delabar would be fine entering the 2014 season.
SaskJaysFan_2 Verified Member Posted February 12, 2015 Posted February 12, 2015 You can probably add something to left field (Pillar won't be platooning with Saunders) and account for Martin's framing too. I don't really expect Pompey to be an average regular immediately. Between 0.5 and 1.5 is probably the right range. Buehrle at 3 is interesting. Steamer hates him and I'd go with 2. MB won't regress, since he's a finess pitcher anyway. Plus Martin will help him I am sure, and every pitcher. And he's playing for his next contract. So 3 is possible. But like you I'm predicting closer to 2.
L54 Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 MB won't regress, since he's a finess pitcher anyway. Plus Martin will help him I am sure, and every pitcher. And he's playing for his next contract. So 3 is possible. But like you I'm predicting closer to 2. Buehrle put up 3.5 WAR last year. Not calling you out, but just showing you that if he's ~2 WAR, that is regression.
Abomination Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 Based on what, exactly? Hopes? Dreams? Wishes? Your own farts? Wilton Lopez is more likely to be a reliable major league arm. How about his 2012 and 2013 where he posted 3.07 and 3.35 xFIP and 2.47, 2.75 SIERA?
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 13, 2015 Author Posted February 13, 2015 Buehrle put up 3.5 WAR last year. Not calling you out, but just showing you that if he's ~2 WAR, that is regression. He probably wasn't quite that good - he's never shown low HR/FB to be a skill.
RealAccountant Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 there is nothing wrong with this starting pitching staff. Its not the fanciest but its decent and reliable. the bullpen on the other hand is weak, very weak.
L54 Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 He probably wasn't quite that good - he's never shown low HR/FB to be a skill. I agree, SJF_2 just said he wouldn't regress.
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 13, 2015 Author Posted February 13, 2015 Damn, the Mariners signed Rickie Weeks for $2 million + 2 in potential bonuses. You have to think he would have accepted the same here with 2B wide open. Would have been a perfect signing.
L54 Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 Damn, the Mariners signed Rickie Weeks for $2 million + 2 in potential bonuses. You have to think he would have accepted the same here with 2B wide open. Would have been a perfect signing. Cash is tight, worried about Donaldson arb hearing? That's my guess.
Atothe Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 I think they're saving money to add a player during the trade deadline
RealAccountant Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 I think they're saving money to add a player during the trade deadline Well hopefully they will be a couple of games up on the wildcard at the deadline giving them incentive to add Oh wait
Laika Community Moderator Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 How about his 2012 and 2013 where he posted 3.07 and 3.35 xFIP and 2.47, 2.75 SIERA? So we ignore the precipitous drop in velocity at his age?
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 13, 2015 Author Posted February 13, 2015 He's probably best suited right where he is. Platoon DH against lefties/ backup 2B is pretty much covered x2 around here. The team doesn't even have a 2B. Weeks would slot in perfectly against LHP, and you'd think that would be more attractive than maybe DHing against lefties in Seattle (Cruz will get the lion's share of those opportunities), especially given the friendly home park here.
Abomination Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 So we ignore the precipitous drop in velocity at his age? He's still averaging 93-94mph. A drop from 94.7 to 93.8 isn't likely to explain the xFIP and control going insane. A minor injury, however, would.
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 13, 2015 Author Posted February 13, 2015 They have 3-4 replacement level second basemen already. One that could easily take the starting job and run with it. Weeks is not a replacement-level player. Especially if used in a platoon with, say, Kawasaki. And none of Goins, Kawasaki, Izturis, and Santiago are going to easily do anything, let alone average play at 2B in the majors.
Laika Community Moderator Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 He's still averaging 93-94mph. A drop from 94.7 to 93.8 isn't likely to explain the xFIP and control going insane. A minor injury, however, would. He lost over 2mph on the top end. I think its a pretty big deal when the guy's MO as a two pitch reliever is basically 1. Pump heat, 2. Hit them with the split. You can see a lot of it in the plate discipline numbers. It all reads like hitters stopped swinging at fastballs out of the zone, starting murdering fastball strikes, so he threw more splitters but that's not a zone pitch so that explains some of the BB increase. It's kind of a mess with Steve. I'd be very surprised if he was back to his old self, or anything approaching it.
Angrioter Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 The team doesn't even have a 2B. Weeks would slot in perfectly against LHP, and you'd think that would be more attractive than maybe DHing against lefties in Seattle (Cruz will get the lion's share of those opportunities), especially given the friendly home park here. Weeks corner INF and OF.
Sorrow Verified Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 For the people going on about Delabar sometime back in November he talked about how he did not correctly do the weighted ball program last off-season and that led to mechanical issues which lead to injury. He's supposed to be back on the program as it was designed this year so he could definitely be a wild card as a reliever again this year. I'm not holding my breath as it's amazing he ever made the MLB but I won't rule him out either.
BTS Community Moderator Posted February 13, 2015 Author Posted February 13, 2015 If the plan is to have him in the field against lefties, he's replacement level. Any value he gains at the plate he gives back defending 2B. Travis is the one that could take the job and run with it. This... isn't true.
glory Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 Weeks is not a good defensive 2B. We have one infielder who can compensate for bad defense (Reyes), but Weeks can't unless he knows how to time travel and get his bat back to where it was from 2007-2011. Weeks as a utility player off the bench who can hit lefties will have value (if he plays some 3B, OF, 1B, etc), but not sure the Jays need that when they already have Valencia on the roster.
jays76 Verified Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 He lost over 2mph on the top end. I think its a pretty big deal when the guy's MO as a two pitch reliever is basically 1. Pump heat, 2. Hit them with the split. You can see a lot of it in the plate discipline numbers. It all reads like hitters stopped swinging at fastballs out of the zone, starting murdering fastball strikes, so he threw more splitters but that's not a zone pitch so that explains some of the BB increase. It's kind of a mess with Steve. I'd be very surprised if he was back to his old self, or anything approaching it. Not very encouraging, super nervous about our pen atm.
glory Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 Delabar has options remaining so he doesn't have to make the team. Cecil, Sanchez, and Loup can be the top 3. Redmond the long man. Then just pick the three best out of the group of 100 (or so) options AA was able to sign to minor league deals or acquire via waivers. Rooting for Matt West and Preston Guilmet, personally, but I think Lopez (if everything is right with him like velocity) could be the best option the currently have from the right side based on his track record.
Spanky99 Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 Damn, the Mariners signed Rickie Weeks for $2 million + 2 in potential bonuses. You have to think he would have accepted the same here with 2B wide open. Would have been a perfect signing. Jesus...lol
RealAccountant Old-Timey Member Posted February 13, 2015 Posted February 13, 2015 If the plan is to have him in the field against lefties, he's replacement level. Any value he gains at the plate he gives back defending 2B. Travis is the one that could take the job and run with it. Plus TO isn't usually the destination of choice for oft injured,past their prime types. None of this is reasonable
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