Everyone Calm Down

[Smedley Butler]

I have learnt that some of you are wilfully refusing to comply with the OP's order. Please set your calm levels to "down" immediately lest coercive actions be initiated.

[Olerud363]

I have learnt that some of you are wilfully refusing to comply with the OP's order. Please set your calm levels to "down" immediately lest coercive actions be initiated.

 

It makes me a little uncalm when Dickey gets hammerred. However at the end of the day I calm down and just accept that by seasons end our 2 old shitballers will be 22-20 combined with a 4.20 era. At times the knuckleballer will good at times he will look bad, at times the lefty will look good at times bad. It will even out. This is what an 82-80 team led by old shitballers looks like.

[Eragon]

It makes me a little uncalm when Dickey gets hammerred. However at the end of the day I calm down and just accept that by seasons end our 2 old shitballers will be 22-20 combined with a 4.20 era. At times the knuckleballer will good at times he will look bad, at times the lefty will look good at times bad. It will even out. This is what an 82-80 team led by old shitballers looks like.

 

It starting to appears evident that Dickey is what he is. Gives up too many walks and too many HRs, often seems like the HR follows the walks. I don't really understand how you can go from a CY winner to this pile of dog crap.

[theblujay]

Calm down guys

[saskjayfan]

I'm so nervous about tonight

[wilko]

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-fKQBMYI2EJY/U0PwksVxYBI/AAAAAAAAAow/uNs8DC4BOMg/s1600/calmdown.gif

[vdartanian]

http://blogimages.thescore.com/djf/files/2013/03/Bonifacio-Keep-Calm.jpg

[Olerud363]

I'm so nervous about tonight

 

Justifiably so. This is a team for which everything needs to go right. Or atleast almost everything. Jose Reyes is allready down. Dickey looks bad. Bautista snaps his wrist and I think it would be realistically over.

 

I think that if you modelled it the chances of making the playoffs are still 1/3. But not robust to a bad stretch or injuries. A 1-6 week with a major injury would end the season.

 

It's hard to keep calm. Been that way for a while.

[Smedley Butler]

it's too bad the orioles don't have an additional tally in the loss column.

 

If they did, and the orioles beat the jays tonight and the sox beat the yanks while the rays lose to the reds, the entire division could be tied for the division lead, and the cellar, at 5-6. As is, an orioles win coupled with the other outcomes would leave the orioles standing proud atop the division, at 5-5.

 

Yup, i'm suffering from friday afternoon boredom on the closest thing we've had to a summer day so far this year.

 

holy f*** calm the f*** down already man

[Olerud363]

holy f*** calm the f*** down already man

 

This is the calmness thread... so here is my calm season projection. The projection is based on calm rational thoughts that do not change to much based on day to day events.

 

82.1-79.9

 

Original season projection was 82-80. General trends so far have been slightly positive. It is what it always has been, a low on base percentage injury prone team. But thus far the approach at the plate actually looks OK... the averages should rebound, some of the injured are coming back this week. The diabetic brothers look OK. Hutch has been decent.

 

But then again Rasmus (slightly) busts a hammy now?? Izturis major injury?? Dickey still cold. Nothing to get excited about one way or the other. A lot of reasons to keep calm for a while longer.

[saskjayfan]

This is the calmness thread... so here is my calm season projection. The projection is based on calm rational thoughts that do not change to much based on day to day events.

 

82.1-79.9

 

Original season projection was 82-80. General trends so far have been slightly positive. It is what it always has been, a low on base percentage injury prone team. But thus far the approach at the plate actually looks OK... the averages should rebound, some of the injured are coming back this week. The diabetic brothers look OK. Hutch has been decent.

 

But then again Rasmus (slightly) busts a hammy now?? Izturis major injury?? Dickey still cold. Nothing to get excited about one way or the other. A lot of reasons to keep calm for a while longer.

 

I'm not sure you can use the word busts a hammy even with the word slight in front of it if the player doesn't even hit the DL. What Rasmus is going through is likely the same as what Reyes had..the difference is with Reyes' history he went to the DL....rasmus will sit three or 4 days playing Thursday or Friday.

[Olerud363]

I'm not sure you can use the word busts a hammy even with the word slight in front of it if the player doesn't even hit the DL. What Rasmus is going through is likely the same as what Reyes had..the difference is with Reyes' history he went to the DL....rasmus will sit three or 4 days playing Thursday or Friday.

 

tweaked a hammy would of been better wording. I am guessing it is nothing.

 

Edit: Should not use the word bust in the "calm" thread. Rasmus experienced an ever-so-slight feeling of oddness in the hamstring. With a 10-1 lead or whatever it was John Gibbons calmly took him out of the game.

[G-Snarls]

tweaked a hammy would of been better wording. I am guessing it is nothing.

 

Edit: Should not use the word bust in the "calm" thread. Rasmus experienced an ever-so-slight feeling of oddness in the hamstring. With a 10-1 lead or whatever it was John Gibbons calmly took him out of the game.

 

Good

 

Gibby has obviously read this thread

[Stangstag]

This is the calmness thread... so here is my calm season projection. The projection is based on calm rational thoughts that do not change to much based on day to day events.

 

82.1-79.9

 

Original season projection was 82-80. General trends so far have been slightly positive. It is what it always has been, a low on base percentage injury prone team. But thus far the approach at the plate actually looks OK... the averages should rebound, some of the injured are coming back this week. The diabetic brothers look OK. Hutch has been decent.

 

But then again Rasmus (slightly) busts a hammy now?? Izturis major injury?? Dickey still cold. Nothing to get excited about one way or the other. A lot of reasons to keep calm for a while longer.

 

You seriously need to stop making new "projections" every 5 days.

[GD]

You seriously need to stop making new "projections" every 5 days.

 

I enjoy his use of decimals for no apparent reason.

[Olerud363]

You seriously need to stop making new "projections" every 5 days.

 

You seem to be missing the point. Your comment is mean-spirited and silly. You seem like the small minded type. Sorry to insult you but what the hell does it matter if I make a projection every 5 days?? We over-react to small day to day variation. We over-react to other people's silly posts. This thread is a place to keep calm. Take your over-reaction and mean spirited attitude to another thread. There are plenty of them.

 

Making a projection forces one to think about the magnitude of daily events. After a frustrating day like yesterday it seems as if the sky is falling. The Jays will win 50 and the franchise might move. After a couple of days of good games it seems everything might break right, the Jays might win 90 and squeak into the playoffs. In reality it takes several bad weeks (or good weeks) to determine the direction of the season, not a day. So making a projection every few days forces one to calmly deal with events as they happen over weeks (not hours).

 

So here is today's projection -- My original season projection was 82-80. Given the events yesterday that has to be dinged just a bit.

 

After last night's double header my projection is 81.3-80.7

[SAAviour]

If the bullpen didn't implode, we would have taken 2 of 3 and all been happy.

[bowld]

This is a .500 team. Bottom line. The SP's are all inconsistent and the hitting is very much the same.

[flafson]

This is a .500 team. Bottom line. The SP's are all inconsistent and the hitting is very much the same.

 

It's very hard to judge based on a few games in those conditions, it could easily have been 2 above .500, can't do much about it.

[bowld]

It's very hard to judge based on a few games in those conditions, it could easily have been 2 above .500, can't do much about it.

 

Agreed but even if we won both games yesterday I would still believe we are a 500 team. too much inconsistency across the board to do much better than 50/50

[jaysfan2014]

Luckily, we're out of the cold. with it supposed to be in the 50s by game time tonight.

 

And I wouldn't worry unless it becomes frequent that we lose. Besides, if we're panicking at a .500 record, then what's going on in Tampa? At least we can score.. Tampa hasn't scored much all week, and now their pitching is going south.

[rosalie52]

"Seriously people, chill out!"

 

Are you Carey Price? lol

[Candy Maldonado]

please calm down

[Smokey]

Why the f*** are you all panicking?

 

Last time I checked it was still April and we're right in the thick of things. All we have to do the rest of the way is to hit more home runs, stop walking people, get some production from our stud 2B and avoid any further injuries. It's easy.

 

So calm the f*** down and start acting like an alpha for once in your lives, FFS.

 

 

 

http://imagizer.imageshack.us/a/img853/698/rvcl.gif

[saskjayfan]

today was a very entertaining game that didn't go the Jays way. They were lucky to win game one. Everyone is an armchair manager questioning every decision after knowing the results. It's really laughable. This is baseball. It's a 162 games. You make the right decisions sometimes, and don't other times. Sometimes you get lucky, other times not so much. We had a decent start from Morrow. We're in games. We're not fully healthy or firing on all cylinders and we're right there. I can hardly wait for Tuesday's game.

[Maahfaace]

Serenity now....insanity later....

[G-Snarls]

Serenity now....insanity later....

 

http://assets.vancitybuzz.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/ser.jpg

[Olerud363]

What are we?? 11-10??

 

My prediction stands at 82.5-79.5. The slight uptick is because I've been pleased with the offense lately.

 

Health is actually good, Lawrie and Colby and EE should still see their averages rebound... if Lind comes back healthy...

 

Keep calm everyone. It's not like the 2014 Jays are the 1927 Yankees, or even the 1993 Jays.

 

But I kind of like what I am seeing from the hitters.

 

Here's to a calm day for everyone. Only react if the situation deserves a reaction.

[Olerud363]

How do you win half of a game?

 

Good question.

 

82.5 means just that the geometric mean of the probability curve is centered on 82.5... there is an equal chance of 82 or 83.

 

It is all just a probability curve. 82 exactly would mean the highest probably outcome is 82.

 

I could also give a standard deviation... that would piss people off. I would be to lazy to actually calculate it so I would guess and it would piss the math guys off too because it wouldn't actually make sense.

[Smedley Butler]

Olerud holding it down in the Calm Thread, keeping everyone calm.