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Olerud363.354

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Everything posted by Olerud363.354

  1. Olerud363.354
    Somewhat ballsy, you are like a random Red Sox get the wild card with 84 wins, and Crochet comes back and a bunch of fluky happens and Red Sox get a ring and Franklin Arrias looks awesome and complete Joy and love and greatness in Boston, away from looking silly. If Arrias hits more homeruns than Vlad and Red Sox win world series or deep playoff run you will be very sad and lose a lot of cred. Risky statement.
  2. Olerud363.354
    Since they traded Mookie Betts they have won 10 games less than the Jays, 1 less playoff appearance. Maybe 7 playoff game wins, vs Jays 10. Good lord. Math - Jays and Red Sox about even since Mookie Betts trade using simple numerics (total wins, playoff appearances, playoff wins). Jays a bit better Blue Jays Message Board - Blue Jays pinnacle of winning culture built around super star Vladimir Arraez Jr for 500 million. Red Sox worse run franchise in baseball.
  3. Olerud363.354
    We had many teams that should have at least had a competitive playoff spot race starting with 95. Talent on the 95 was unreal, with most of the players having several good seasons left (Alomar, White, Olerud, Molitor, Delgao, Green, Shannon Stewart, Gonzlez, David Cone, Pat Hentgen, Al Leiter, Juan Guzman). The story of the 95 Blue Jays is very over-looked. You replay that team with their average 93-98 performance and they are great. Like all-time bizarre under-performance, and some mess up with young players who Cito didn't "trust". Many years like that. Some rough ones to be sure where interbrew didn't support the payroll, but just tonnes of slow starts and under-performance. Like in 2006 they really went all-in and had a bunch of great seasons but somehow scored 800 runs when they should have had 900.
  4. Olerud363.354
    Red Sox fans are just so joyful right now watching their teenage prospects hit. I know quite a few and watch them run to their computers in the morning to check MILB box scores to see how the teenagers did in A. Or how big a game 20 year old Arrias had last night. It's a thrill for them. They love it. Full of hope watching teenagers hit. And the big league team just crawled out of last place only 1.5 games out of WC3. Even that fat guy who nearly had a heart attack is feeling Joy watching the Sox and their minor league teen age stars.
  5. Olerud363.354
    Everyone loves to beat them up. They are less of a mess than the Jays right now arguably. I don't know. Both 16-21 I guess. If you want to go back 5 years Red Sox and Jays are within 10 wins. Red Sox 2 playoff, Jays 3. Jays a World Series appearance. Red Sox an ALCS. Go back 10 years Red Sox way ahead. Go back 30 years Red Sox completely dominate. Go back 50 years Red Sox better (4 rings to 2 both with heartbreaking 7 game WS losses) Board irrationally hates the Red Sox. Great, great organization. Have some good prospects that actually hit. Red Sox Young Players hit .300 .400 .500 as teenagers or 20 - (Arrias, Justin Gonzales) Like their young players actually function. Not hitting 190 with a .320 OPS. Good organization. Board is just talking nonsense when dissing Red Sox.
  6. Olerud363.354
    We won't be facing the Rays though.... Byes NY 106-56, Seattle - 91-71 Wild Card - W2 Texas 90-72 plays at W1 Tampa Bay 104-58 Wild Card - W3 Toronto 79-83 plays at D3 Chicago White Sox 80-82 Who will White Sox pitch?
  7. Olerud363.354
    Seen this show time and time again. What did Goerge W. Bush say fool me once shame on you, fool me twice... shame on you too? I can't remember. No such thing as a hitting prospect until they hit well at full season ball for 6 weeks. No such thing as a pitching prospect ever!
  8. Olerud363.354
    Just seems to me college stats, dominican league stats and scouting don't totally correlate with performance as much as full season stats season to season correlate with each other. Anecdotal but you can look at a guys Dunnedin stats and if you read them right you can predict Vancouver stats and how they will progress. You can look a guys Dominican/College Stats, scouting reports, draft position, and they mean s*** until they prove they hit in Dunnedin for 2 months. Jo Jo Parker does have lots of walks and steals though. Like a 20-25 k/bb or something. I think that is something positive as opposed to guys we''ve seen come through and put up a 3 to 30 bb/k (Bonilla I think at the even lower complex team).
  9. Olerud363.354
    Cursed season. Even this thread isn't updated much as all the minor leagers have their averages crash to .200. In the old days of Bo, and Vlad and Kirk and Moreno and even Biggio bumped 5 times a night with their latest accomplishment.
  10. Olerud363.354
    Random chance you'd expect 20% of the time in a 5 game division to be ahead game 40. In 33 years they've been ahead once... by 1 game. Never had an mind blowing exciting start in the Wild Card era, and almost always dissapointing. Many over-before-it-began years, even when expect to contend. Amazing their attendance has been as good as it has been without any hot starts extending to mid Spring
  11. Olerud363.354
    game 40 2022 - 7 games back game 40 2023 - 6 games back game 40 2024 - 8 games back game 40 2025 - 3 games back (would slump to 8 shortly) game 37 2026 - 9.5 games back
  12. Olerud363.354
    game 40 2017 - 8 games back game 40 2018 - 6.5 games back game 40 2019 - 8 games back game 40 2020 - 5 games back game 40 2021 - 0.5 games back They slumped just after that with some bullpen blowups and got 6 back quickly.
  13. Olerud363.354
    game 40 2011 3 games back game 40 2012 5 games back game 40 2013 9.5 games back (2013 was the year they got Dickey, Reyes, Josh Johnson, Melky, Buerhle... out of it right away lol). game 40 2014 1.5 games back game 40 2015 4.5 games back game 40 2016 6 games back 2015/2016 the legendary ALCS years... still an average of 5 games back mid-May
  14. Olerud363.354
    game 40 2006 - 1 game back It didn't work out but I remember this. 20 years ago. Flower blooming and hope... there was hope! game 40 2007 - 9 games back game 40 2008 - 5.5 games back (Gibby gone soon) game 40 2009 - 3 games AHEAD (ha ha, that season went south real fast and they ended up 30 games back) game 40 2010 - 5 games back.
  15. Olerud363.354
    game 40 2000 - 4.5 games back game 40 2001 - 3.5 games back game 40 2002 - 13.5 games back game 40 2003 - 7.5 games back game 40 2004 - 6.5 games back game 40 2005 - 5.5 games back
  16. Olerud363.354
    Never had the opposite unless you are over 40. game 40 1994 - 7.5 games back game 40 1995 - 9.5 games back game 40 1996 - 6 games back game 40 1997 - 6.5 games back game 40 1998 - 10.5 games back game 40 1999 - 4.0 games back
  17. Olerud363.354
    Scouting report grades Okomato - 70 power - can hit 110 mph 25 degrees to all fields with good spin. Straw - 50 power - much improved after working out with Addison Barger Lenyn Sosa - 45 power - good launch angle but only average exit velocity Luis Arraez - 25 power - great contact rates but at cost of power Vladimir Guerrero Jr - 20 power - and no longer doing the other things well. .300+ average is a fluke.
  18. Olerud363.354
    Hard to see what there is to like about Sosa. Nothing really in the minor league, or major league stats, or the defense to like. Nothing on the Savant page to like except launch angle sweet spot, but it is cancelled out by so many other horrible things. Like worst in game plate discipline and only 50th percentile exit velocity. So he swing at bad pitches, gets in bad counts, then occasionally launches it at 90 mph at a nice angle? Walks - 0 Launched at nice angle at mediocre velocity - a few overall .238 .230 .300 or something (including white sox) on base percentage lower than average Rather lose with Davis Schneider. Or McCadoo. He can have Sosa's 40 man spot.
  19. Olerud363.354
    Sorry about the rant and I love this team, they gave so much joy last October (not November). Just this season, given expectations has been the least joyful in my memory. I mean, to cheer me up I went to check out the Dunedin hitter stats. Not cheerful stuff right now.
  20. Olerud363.354
    Really? He was in such a good place in October. How did we get back here?
  21. Olerud363.354
    JOJO Parker DONE! Bullard DONE! Sanchez DONE! These f***ers are doing it again, just like Bonilla and Nimalla. The Dunnedin collapse. Why can't someone actually hit as a teenager and be exciting. Blue Jays Message Board: "They are only 19. Doing great for their age" Vlad/Bo/Kirk hit .350 combined as teenagers. And they barefly function many months and years at the big league level. f*** ALL OF YOU. JO JO PARKER SUCKS!!!!!! Vlad Guererro Jr. Sucks!!!!
  22. Olerud363.354
    Vlad Guerero Jr. The average will fall. It is just a fluke. Not even Luis Aaerez. 500 million down the drain. Broken never fixed. Jayson Heyward with some better early years. 2026 .244 4 homers 67 rbis -4 WAR 2027 .154 0 homers 26 rbis -8 WAR 2028 .098 500 ground balls at 82 mph -14 WAR 2029 released signed by Red Sox. Wins 3 triple crowns when they fix his swing by just looking at 2019 New Hampshire, 2021 and 2025 playoff video.
  23. Olerud363.354
    Just incredible that this IS still happening. He is up right now. He will hit a ground ball. That's it. OF course he will. How did this happen again? How did he hit so well against postseason pitching? What was different. Why is this so hard to fix?
  24. Olerud363.354
    Off-day tomorrow but still Varland on track for like 80+ innings. Do we really need to use him here in a hopeless game?
  25. Olerud363.354
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/brumfja01.shtml Jacob Brumfield hit .257 .318 ..393 At first one would think much better then Lenyn. But no. Not really. Different time. OPS+ career 85. So about the same as Lenyn. Why are we still doing this in 2026? 1996 - no exit velocity data. no OPS+. Just starting to understand things, but figure play Jacob Brumfield (especially against righties) not good. 2026 - advanced world series participating oranization decides Lenyn Sosa good idea? Why not Davis Schneider 1. Some underlaying stat may save Davis can't hit fast pitch from right hander 2. But... we don't know for sure if that fancy data really gods truth. 3. Davis nice guy and really help the team to World Series last year 4. Good organization just say Davis nice guy, Davis take walks. Davis get all the playing time when injury, even if hitting .140. Better for long term organizational rep then Giving Lenyn so much playing time.
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