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I don't usually have a great read on this but he is probably the first guy since Parker who would be slot or over?

Bucknam has apparently one of the best sliders in the class which sounds like a good reliever to me. That would be great with a third rounder.

Yea, we would probably have to eat some salary. Or just trading him for mid prospects. As i said earlier if it is a sparse deadline, you could move early (and pay more) for one of the best starters, and then hope that a team is desperate at the deadline. Grab prospects. Trade your own prospects for relievers .

Yea that's why the best return i can imagine is detmers and that's probably stretching it. But the deadline is where teams want pitching.

If that represents the Rangers selling as well this season, maybe they could throw in Milner as well. He could be useful as long relief. I would canvas pretty hard on Berrios first but this isn't crazy even if losing Gausman would hurt. The most gettable guy with ace (or more likely fringe 2) 'stuff' but not production is Severino. He also is someone oakland might be willing to move. He also has the backstop that his slider is so good that he could really play in the pen. Its also really hard to tell why he is worse now. There could be a pitch mix tweak that unlocks him. If we are willing to add his contract to all our existing pitching money and be really expensive next year he might be the easiest upgrade without having to get tricky.

Bo is a tricky one. Its very easy to see Baez there to some extent. So, it would be easy to go into a bad contract. On the other hand, if we are leaning into defense as an identity, it could get even better without him at short. I'd consider a short deal for Bassitt.

I think he has just enough surface stats and there is probably so little pitching at the deadline, that you MIGHT be able to unload him. Maybe if we made a decisive move early for one of the few premium starters, reducing the market, and then ate some portion of his money to move him at the deadline? If he does have value, this is it.

What should we do with the guy who is 5th or 6th by underlying stats or stuff and will get paid $66m over the next three years? Whose velo is ticking down? You get out while the going is good. You Chris Archer his ass if you have any sense. I assume payroll isn't unlimited. If ownership is ok going high 200s, then i don't care either way.

Alot of emoting and not alot of explaining how Berrios' underlying stats would allow him to start a playoff game that we wanted to win.

Are we adding payroll to next year as well? How high are they willing to go assuming we attempt to re-sign Bichette and have to replace Bassitt? The twins and Rangers are almost at .500. They would need to lose a lot to sell even assuming they would as they would be contenders next year. If you are telling me that they would say add severino's money and keep Berrios, i'd be happy enough. But i don't see any other way to add elite stuff into our rotation. And frankly Berrios's contract is bad. If we add just back end starters then our third best starter is Bassit. That's not really good enough for me.

I'd guess this is unpopular. And as a preamble, i'd say he is a valuable pitcher right now due to his health and inning eating in the regular season. The regular season part is important. But, the trade i would make at the deadline is trading Berrios. He is under the hood declining. By pretty much any underlying stat he is our fourth best pitcher right now, and that is with me assuming that Lauer is over performing. And if i was the gm i'd take probably the last chance off that contract at the deadline. And i'd also want to take it out of the manager's hands whether to start him in a playoff game. All his fastballs are down about a tick this year. He has the 5th lowest xFIP, the 5th lowest xERA, and 5th lowest Sierra. Among starters. He has the worst stuff+ (worse than bowden francis) as basically all his pitches are below average. And a 94 pitching+. This is simply not a guy you want to take the ball in a playoff game and honestly if his velo takes another tick down he could be a problem in the rotation next year. He also has 66m left after this year. I don't want to pay $66m to a guy who rationally shouldn't start a playoff game. He also has a great ERA and years of proof that he can stay healthy. Contending teams will want pitching at the deadline and its possible we could get off this contract. For example, the Angels always need pitching. They are fighting for the playoffs and are willing to run an above average payroll. We could try Berrios for detmers plus other stuff. They would get a starter. We'd get a leverage reliever. Then we can trade prospects for someone who can start a playoff game (expensive) and a back end starter (cheaper). I'd suggest Severino for the first one as he fits into Berrios' money, and he has a truly elite slider, so if he has bad form, he can fit in in leverage in the bullpen come playoffs. The As will also probably want off that contract. Then we could run a rotation of Gausman, Scherzer, Severino, Bassitt, Lauer/back end starter. I don't think this is the kind of move we do, and its possible every other team looks at him and just wants nothing to do with that contract, but i would attempt this at least.

. You have a point with the signing more thing. Is there a legitimate reason not to have two summer league teams?

Is there supposed to be more about Groshans? It seems to cut off.

Jansen turning it around would make me feel a ton better about this season. Especially, when he looks legit behind the plate. That’s a potential building block.

Yeah, Martin and one of those wouldn’t be terrible.

Yea, I think it values control too much basically. The guy who created it was on an episode of effectively wild recently and he gave his rationale there. Basically, it’s a work in progress. The values are based on completed trades seemingly.

Played around with the trade tool a little. It validated Stroman for Martin and Bukauskas from the Astros. Thoughts? They would prob not trade Martin because he is in their rotation it seems.

That’s super encouraging. Him continuing this and Jansen turning it around would put a real shine on this season.

I wonder if guys will start pounding fastball against him. Being able to mash sliders is a great skill in 2019 mlb.

This will sound dumb because it is dumb but drury really looks like he should be good at baseball.

That seems pretty decent. It isn’t a Gleyber Torres type haul but they prob don’t exist any more.

I don't know if anyone listens to effectively wild on here but a few eps ago they interviewed the guy who created the trade tool below. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator/ It's pretty fun. It's also pretty conservative which probably reflects how front offices are trending. It's a work in process but fun to f*** around with. It told me that stroman for frazier and perreira was close to fair which seems light to me. I will say that some of the values are off for me.. especially on first basemen.

Devon Travis' purple patch where he was just mashing line drive doubles is one of my favorite periods of any recent jay. Dude could f***ing hit.

Lakers got Dudley. Pretty decent get. Clippers got Harkless though who I've always thought was pretty underrated even though people hate his contract.

It doesn't seem like Kevin Smith has played in a few days. Did he pick up a knock?