jmomcc
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Everything posted by jmomcc
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Salas is honestly interesting to me. If you got him and then just combed their system for a couple of pop up international guys, or pitchers you liked. Stick him in vancouver and see what you have. But the shortstop De Vries would be better.
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Whatever on ryan mcmahon. That that isn't saurez is a massive win for us.
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I'd really consider Cease for Varsho plus prospects. If there is any system that could throw up future stars its one run by Preller. Cease also absolutely starts a playoff game.
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Wow, that almost seems steep unless salas has fallen off somewhat. A 19 year old catcher in double A is either incredibly advanced or them pushing him up to f*** with other team's models.
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There is probably around $25-30 million surplus value on varsho at 10m per win. And maybe 7/8 million on Cease. That is roughly estimating it. So, a 50FV pitching prospect if they have one. It is san diego though so i want one of those crazy lotto tickets they always seem to have.
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I'd prefer Alcantara as well. I don't like prospects for cheap (ish) control trades for big market teams. It's such a saturated market. Just sign someone in free agency and overpay somewhat.
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Is Kellar definitively a top three pitcher in the playoffs for us? It's probably gausman, bassitt and him? Because the price for him and bednar is going to be a lot. Its the kind of pitcher our front office loves but i thought the reason for that is that they are more attainable. Pittsburgh will want a big price.
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I'd agree with that generally but if i'm miami i'm not accepting a lowball offer. I'll take my chances on him getting back to himself and then get ace rental prices next deadline. Or maybe make the playoffs lol. They have carbera, alcantara and perez. Try to win! I also have no idea why they are even considering trading cabrera. That is mental.
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He has had a better year than Alcantara.
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Most free agents with term or late extensions are bad contracts. All big market teams have bad contracts. That's the point. Baseball is set up so that by the time you can spend money freely on players it isn't good value. If you think that's its a favour to take that contract then charge them. Get prospects back. Money is literally worth less to us than it is to them.
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Severino is probably not a good contract but that's a relative term. He's like 30% of oakland's payroll next year. He would be 10% of ours. The whole point of being a big market team is taking 'bad contracts' because we can afford to. The only contracts generally that are majority good deals are either minimum, arbitration or early extensions. That's it. Also, because we are a big market team we can use money as well as prospects to make deals. And there are less teams able to use money, so therefore it is a softer market. Severino should be cheaper therefore than someone like kellar, even after factoring difference in performance. Also, he does have some factors that make him attractive. If our stuff model is similar to the public ones, then he does have pretty good stuff. 108 stuff+. 104 fastball, 95 sinker, 94 cutter, 92 change and a 131 slider that he barely throws. He's also barely lost any velo. Its not hard to look at that and see potential. And it should be cheap.
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Possibly but that's basically all that is available anyway. And then there's stuff to work on over the offseason.
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Yea, marlins, As, cleveland maybe are teams that really value control and close to the show. I'd do anything close to that deal plus 30% even, and honestly do that and severino. Two starters for next year as well.
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He seems to just not throw many sliders any more and stuff plus loves that pitch. I'd like to know why he stopped.
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My immediate reaction to this is yes yes yes do it now. Probably means its too light.
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If someone looks at Jax and thinks he could be a starter next year...? Might be worth it. He is nasty. I still want Severino. The contract makes him gettable and he could be a top 3 guy for us pretty easily imo.
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Listening to rates and barrells. Eno was saying starter the main thing and thinks our rotation is our big weakness. Thinks we should try to trade guys who came up to majors this years and showed something while they are hotter commodities. Presumable excluding barger.
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Any data on how he handles velocity? That was something fangraphs said he might struggle with in the majors because of his swing mechanics.
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Any rumour what the full trade would look like? Cherington is rumoured to be fired soon.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2025)
jmomcc replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I'd put manoah in the pen to start. Two innings relief. -
Dodgers have so much pitching injured. I'd try to figure out if they do have a 40 man crunch coming and if we can grab someone with options.
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I'd agree with this. Go hard on the bullpen. If anything they should dfa green. The others have options.
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Kellar is a good contract obviously and he probably starts a playoff game for us but i'm not sure he is that far ahead of say bassitt as people generally think. He also would probably replace Lauer in the rotation, who is performing really well. It might allow you to leave berrios off a playoff roster? Also some signs of subtle decline. Velo is down just over a tick on the fastball and sinker over the last two years. Stuff+ numbers are correspondingly down. 2023 seems like a real high water mark for him. Seems like more of a move for next year more than this? If we are willing to do this and get bednar, and a couple of other bullpen arms, that's good though.
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Roden as a 50FV left fielder is such an interesting profile. Like, i'd expect a power hitter with that profile. I've had him in my mental bucket of 'we are trading this dude to the As' for a while.
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Yea but that means he less surplus value so the price should be cheaper, right? So, yea obviously the astros were more down on bloss than fangraphs.
