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Ray

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Everything posted by Ray

  1. I think a lowkey huge advantage we have when it comes to Tucker is that he notoriously HATES attention and doing media. Buster Olney said that they’ve asked Tucker to do mid game interviews on Sunday Night baseball dozens of times and he’s rejected them every time. This is a dude that shy’s away from the limelight if he can help it. I really doubt he prefers to be in New York, LA, or Philly unless they are the only ones to meet his number. Those markets are brutal if you’re trying to avoid the spotlight. And Toronto obviously is a big media market, but it punches below its weight when it comes to scrutiny imo. That’s my offseason gossipy take
  2. Boras’s official IG account follows Varsho, and that account was reposting his highlights all throughout the season/playoffs like they did with all his clients. Also, there’s this: I think BBRef and Spotrac are just outdated.
  3. Doubt this is going to happen given he is a Boras client.
  4. Ross "The Boss" Atkins cemented his place as the 2nd best GM in Jays history with the win yesterday. Also, for some reason remembered this quote from Shapiro at the beginning of our window when we signed Springer Sure enough, this has come to pass. We've steadily increased payroll year over year, and I'm sure ownership will be spending this offseason to supplement this core even more
  5. The Dodgers pitching performing as well as it has to this point is a bit of a red herring imo: They faced the Reds who only made the postseason due to a historic collapse by the Mets. I don't think it's hyperbole to say they rank as one of the worst offenses in history to make the postseason (90 OPS+ for a team that plays in Great American Ballpark is absurd) They faced the Phillies who are incredibly top-heavy with Schwarber/Harper/Turner. The lineup kind of runs out of steam after that. Realmuto/Castellanos/Stott/Bohm are either ok hitters and/or past their prime. The reason the Phillies were here was due to their pitching, not so much their offense. The Brewers are a good lineup, but I would hesitate to call them great or deep. I watched all 4 of the games of the NLCS, and it just felt like they totally abandoned the approach that got them there and were beating themselves. They are also just not as good of a contact hitting team as the Jays. This is the first time this postseason that the Dodgers pitching is facing a lineup that is clicking on all cylinders and has been consistent. How is Blake Snell going to react when Ernie Clement is grinding out AB's and just when you think you have him out, he pokes a 3-2 pitch into LF for a single? Without knowing it, they'll be forced to go to their shaky bullpen in the 4th inning and at that point it's anyones game. This whole Jays offense thrives on extending AB's even if they are not getting hits to put pressure on pitchers. Their whole goal is to win every pitch and get to a next one in the hopes that there is a mistake, and I don't think Dodgers SP have really faced a team that not only has that hitting philosiphy, but is executing as well as we are
  6. I think they need to start with Schneider in the lineup tbh. He gives you pop and slg, and that could be the difference in this game. They're going to bring in Spier for sure to try and neutralize the lefities too. Sub in IKF for defense after a couple PA's.
  7. As for offseason, I think they need to aim for an SP1-type player. Gausman is another year older and heading into free agency after next year. Yesavage is exciting, but you don't want to rely on him being a #1 until he proves it. So I would say you need to sign one of Bieber, Framber, Ranger Suarez, or Cease. Cease would be great, but if they don't want to invest that much in a pitcher, then Bieber is probably your best option. I can see a 3 year $90M deal for Bieber with an opt-out after 1 year or something. Seems like a nice balance between risk/reward for him, and still allows him to test the market.
  8. Beyond the payroll coming off the books, this is not factoring any added dollars ownership might want to put into this team coming off a deep playoff run. Like if you think about it, Rogers actually has more asymmetric incentive to invest into the Jays being a playoff team than almost any other team. Why? Because on top of the share of regular US-based broadcasting rights they are receiving which every team receives, the share of gate and merchandising that is also equally split between teams, they also have to be raking in cash from the Canadian portion of the broadcast since they own the Canadian broadcasting rights for the MLB (and the Jays if they are in the playoffs). They are likely pocketing nearly 100% of ad spend for these Canadian broadcasts. It's almost doubly lucrative to them for the Jays making the playoffs than almost any other team (probably less than double given Canadian marketing ad spend is not as high as US plus the exchange rate sucks right now, but you get the idea).
  9. Gotta just stay with the script and go with Gausman game 1 and Yesavage game 2. Gausman works well against offenses that have the profile of the Mariners (high chase rate and strikeouts). Just gotta hope he can keep the ball in the park. And assuming Yesavage has command, he's going to absolutely dominate the M's who haven't seen him before. I also actually really like Bieber pitching in Seattle. Yankees were a bad match up for him. But he'll get some help with the ballpark/marine layer hopefully
  10. Good for him if he gets back to that point. But if your own team that has seen how good you can be and is meticulously tracking your rehab is DFA'ing you, it legitimately means your career might be cooked.
  11. Manoah's fall from grace has to be the most stark I think I've ever seen. Breaks into the league shortly after getting drafted. Looks like a legitimate top of the rotation arm in 2021-22. Starts game 1 in a playoff series for a legitimately good team with World Series aspirations in 2022. I don't recall some else having such a rapid ascent and staggering downfall in such short order
  12. It's hilarious that Ernie Clement went yard and Vlad didn't
  13. Edit: Wrong thread
  14. This is an absurd stat to me, especially in a day and age where strikeouts are more prevelant than ever.
  15. We've put ourselves in a fantastic spot. Even if we slump and go 28-32 in the final 60 games, that gives us 88 wins which should be more than enough to nab a wildcard spot. We have the tiebreaker over the Yankees, the Red Sox, and Seattle. We've banked wins while Gimenez and Santander are on the IL. Hopefully Vlad starts catching up to his expected stats and Bo stays hot. Manoah will be back for the stretch run and hopefully give us a bit of depth in the rotation. The farm seems deep enough to make some big trades if necessary. Really good times. Lets go beat the Tigers while they're scuffling and hope Skubal misses the series
  16. Kendry Rojas shoved again
  17. Is Sonny Gray on the market? I know the Cardinals are doing surprisingly well this year, are in the wildcard race but I could see them trying to do what the Tigers did last year. Sell older/expiring contracts to reload for when they are really competitive next year
  18. I think its safe to say at this point that Enmanuel Bonilla won't be anything. I know the IFA market is a crapshoot, but it's really disappointing to see how he's completely stagnated at Rookie Ball. I believe he got the biggest bonus in Jays history for a J2 signing ($4.1M), and that was even despite the fact that he's a corner OF profile which we never sign. They must've thought the bat was incredibly special to commit that number to a corner OF.
  19. Another overslot in Rd 12. Blaine Bullard, high school OF. Ranked 120 in MLBs board Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 45 | Run: 60 | Arm: 50 | Field: 55 | Overall: 45 Bullard raised his stock more than any high school position prospect in Texas this spring. Teams have differing opinions about his offensive upside, but enough clubs like him that he could fit in the top three rounds if he's signable. He has a strong commitment to Texas A&M and could wind up in College Station. Scouts who believe in Bullard like his bat-to-ball skills from both sides of the plate. Others have questions about his hitting ability and worry that he hasn't faced much in the way of quality competition. He employs more of a gap-to-gap approach right now and makes a lot of groundball contact, but he also has bat speed and a projectable 6-foot-2 frame that could translate into 15 homers per season as he continues to get stronger. Bullard owns plus speed and knows how to use it on the bases and in the outfield. He displays good instincts in center field and should be able to remain there in college or pro ball. He has average arm strength and could handle all three outfield spots if needed.
  20. Yeah thinking there's probably at least 1 more overslot deal coming
  21. There's the overslot pick. Jared Spencer from University of Texas. Lefty that sits 96 mph with a wipeout slider. Probably a reliever long term, but definitely an intriguing pick.
  22. I doubt we're going overslot for JoJo Parker, so these off-the-board picks we're making in the later rounds feel like it's because there's overslot deals already agreed to for later in the draft.
  23. Charlie Morton has really turned it around as of late. Last 14 starts, he has a 3.05 ERA and 3.28 FIP. His overall numbers are still really bad given how terrible he was in the beginning of the season, but he could be a nice piece that shouldn't cost too much on paper.
  24. Super enthused about what I'm seeing from Kendry Rojas. The delivery is smooth and repeatable, and its looking like he's flashing two plus secondary pitches in a changeup and slider. The thing holding him back last year was apparently his fb velo was 91-92 mph, but it's looking more 94-95 mph this season. Obviously no SP is untouchable in trade talks, and I would flip him as part of a package if we could get a controllable starter like Joe Ryan, but I really think Rojas has the potential to be a solid #2 one day.
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