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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    At least this year at the top there are a few real difference makers in Judge and Nimmo, next season's crop appears to have a ceiling of solid players only.
  2. max silver
    Next year's outfield free agent crop is pretty bad if you are looking for a center field option. Outfield: Harrison Bader, Charlie Blackmon, Mark Canha (club option), Randal Grichuk, Ian Happ, Teoscar Hernández, Max Kepler (club option), Hunter Renfroe, Eddie Rosario (club option), Jorge Soler (opt-out), Michael A. Taylor, Jesse Winker
  3. max silver
    Are you for real man? Jansen has put up a 124 WRC+ in the last two seasons and been worth 4.0 WAR in about a seasons worth of play for a starting catcher. Even you can surely recognize that when a player legitimately breaks out with the bat his previous output becomes far less important.
  4. max silver
    I just don't think Conforto has the requisite footspeed to man center field other than in a pinch. Besides he hasn't played any center field since 2019, and even back then he was pretty poor out there.
  5. max silver
    I think Teo was largely hampered on the bases and in the field by the multitude of foot injuries in 2022. I expect a bounce-back season in the 3-4 WAR range with a little better health.
  6. max silver
    I think he's one of the best fits for this roster. He has a bit of the same question mark as Bellinger in how well he bounces back after the shoulder injury though, that's just such a potentially ruinous injury for a hitter to suffer. It's too bad he can't play center field in order to at least spell Springer from time to time. He checks some of the same boxes as Nimmo; - gets on base - less swing and miss than the bulk of the right handed sluggers on the roster - left handed hitter to balance out lineup - typically well above average hitter for most of his career - strong potential for 4+ WAR if he returns to previous form He would be a direct plug and play replacement for Teo, and likely not cost that much more given the recent injury history. Most likely he upgrades the defence in right field as well, although it remains to be seen how the shoulder injury and subsequent surgery affects his throwing arm.
  7. max silver
    I find I just have very little confidence in Bellinger ever returning to much more than league average offensively, and even that would require a fair bit of improvement on his part. Maybe he's helped out by the upcoming shift ban a bit as he's been shifted against a ton for most of his career. If the team actually had any potential impact outfielders less than 2-3 years away I'd be fine with signing stopgap outfielders in the meantime, but given where they are in their competitive cycle that spending big dollars on more reclamation projects feels like a bit of a waste.
  8. max silver
    That potential price just makes me want to forget about Bellinger and move onto a target with a little more certainty. If you can bring aboard Nimmo for $6-8 million more and potentially have an upside of 2-3x more WAR then you are far better off than spending that kind of money on a reclamation project.
  9. max silver
    The Astros didn't dominate solely based on their run prevention, they were an extremely well balanced team. They were the AL's third highest scoring offense on top of their stellar pitching and defence.
  10. max silver
    The Phillies came within a few games of winning a world series with baseball's 6th worst defence by DRS. The Jays by comparison were 8th best. By OAA the Jays were the 10th best defence. The Jays defence was nowhere near as bad as you are tying to claim.
  11. max silver
    The likely 2+ win performance gap between Nimmo and the other non-Judge free agent outfield targets has me increasingly wishing for a Nimmo signing. This team is at the point where extra wins are becoming increasingly important. I have to assume that the front office would be factoring in potential extension costs for Vlad/Bo/Manoah etc. when making any more major free agent signings. I think that Barger can be a very important piece of the puzzle if he continues his offensive surge and forces his way onto the 26 man roster. His skillset sounds ready made for third base, so his continued development might allow the front office to let Chapman walk when he reaches free agency.
  12. max silver
    Pearson has shown some very tantalizing glimpses at his potential when utilized as a reliever.
  13. max silver
    I haven't heard any reports from people who saw him actually pitching live and in person, but Pearson's numbers from winter ball are very encouraging. 12 IP, 0.00 ERA, 16 k's, 5H, 4 BB all provide hope of him being able to help the 2023 IF he can finally stay healthy enough to provide some MLB innings.
  14. max silver
    I can still easily talk myself into getting on board with a Nimmo signing though as he still has plenty to offer. Early projections have him at about 4.5 wins for 2023 so he represents a likely sizeable upgrade over Teoscar in overall value. Apparently Zips likes him enough to project an above average performance in year 5 as well so it seems unlikely he's going to face a severe aging curve. Of course the elephant in the room is the past lack of durability. This should be baked directly into his expected contract with lower offers coming in compared to a player with a less checkered injury history.
  15. max silver
    These statistics are interesting, where can I find these? I'm interested to compare this against other notable relievers. Swanson appears to have pitched pretty well in the leverage situations that he did find himself utilized in. He pitched to a 0.92 FIP/2.29 xFIP in high leverage situations, with an inflated 5.20 ERA which looks to be largely influenced by a .409 BABIP.
  16. max silver
    That's exactly the type of thing I take issue with as well. What happens on the field is ultimately what matters, I just don't see how fun loving guys *gasp* enjoying each others company and having fun is worth getting so upset about. When the team was in protracted slumps and losing a lot of games in short order it was easy to see the mood on the bench souring and a lot less of the upbeat nature. I don't understand why people seem to think the players should be acting like they are a funeral when the team is behind in the score.
  17. max silver
    I'd love to see proof that how players act in the dugout has even a tiny affect on how they perform on the field.
  18. max silver
    There are also red flags in Nimmo's offensive profile. His plate discipline/walk rate numbers took a step backwards in 2022 and the ground ball rate is creeping up as well.
  19. max silver
    Further to that 2021 is the only season where there is any consensus among the publicly available defensive metrics regarding his center field play. Even in 2022 Nimmo rated below average by both DRS and UZR.
  20. max silver
    I have a hard time seeing Gurriel traded as well, given the fact that the only legitimate MLB outfielders on the roster at present are Gurriel and Springer. Having to find 3 outfielders in one offseason (the team presently doesn't have a proper 4th outfielder as well) is a pretty tall order. Gallo might be a passable 4th outfielder target if the team can find a legitimate center field option to replace/backup Springer. Gallo likely can't play a passable center field due to declining foot speed. I'm curious to see if he's helped out that much by the shift ban. He only manages to put the ball in play during less than half of his plate appearances and the k rate is approaching 40%, so the shift ban might only add a handful of extra hits for him. Ultimately I'm not sure if the team would simply be better off playing Biggio in the outfield a bit more as he has also may see a bump in his numbers from the shift ban and has a similar offensive profile to Gallo (high k/high walk, low batting average etc.).
  21. max silver
    Contreras would be signed for 2023 and beyond. Seems weird to trade a trio of good inexpensive catchers and sign an expensive free agent though.
  22. max silver
    In your scenario catching goes from arguably the team's greatest strength to a total tire fire as soon as the inevitable Jansen injury hits.
  23. max silver
    Pitching bot rates his stuff as a 55 with command at 50. Other Jays relievers for comparison include (stuff first, command second): Romano S60 C45 Bass S50 C60 Cimber S60 C50 Phelps S40 C45 Pop S60 C45 Garcia S50 C65 Mayza S60 C50 Merryweather S60 C55 Thornton S55 C55 http://pitchingapp.pitchingbot.com/
  24. max silver
    I hadn't heard if the sticky stuff crackdown was applied in the minor leagues or not.
  25. max silver
    Hopefully Palmer and especially Murray can emerge from the surgery with a bit more velocity in the tank after the extensive rehab. With a few more ticks of velo Murray becomes especially intriguing with the high spin fastball.
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