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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    Oh come on man don't be obtuse. The A's made out like bandits with Brett Lawrie and Kevin Smith as major league ready pieces in the Donaldson and Chapman trades.
  2. max silver
    Bassitt's sinker velocity has held steady over the last 3 seasons, so declining velocity really doesn't appear to be the case. He doesn't rely on stuff to get his outs as he is elite at inducing soft contact. It appears as though he's missed about 7 total starts over the last three seasons, so he's been pretty damn durable/reliable. A few months of lower k output doesn't automatically mean that he will have the same issue for an entire season. This looks to be a really astute signing. Bassitt isn't flashy by any means but he has been a reliable mid-rotation starter since he became a full time starter in MLB. That is exactly what this team needed.
  3. max silver
    This deal expires right as potential Vlad/Bo extensions would kick in. Rogers is a massively wealthy owner and Shapiro has stated that the team isn't artificially constrained by the CBT limit, so this deal really isn't that big of a deal in the grand scheme of things. Eventually the team is going to need to start developing some more starting pitching though, as they have a veritable shitload of money tied up in the rotation for next season.
  4. max silver
    I agree with you here, bringing back Stripling would make for a very deep rotation with some depth. Ryu could potentially return mid-season (not counting on it, he's not exactly Verlander-esque when it comes to conditioning) with Tiedemann waiting in the wings.
  5. max silver
    I would have been perfectly fine with a Stripling signing as I think the new changeup was a real game changer for him. There is certainly risk that he doesn't repeat his 2022 success though and Bassitt is a safer bet overall. Stripling was pretty great after he took over a rotation spot full time so I think whoever signs him might have a chance at a real bargain.
  6. max silver
    I think this deal would be hard to make without including Kirk as a centerpiece, assuming the team has no interest in moving out Martinez or Tiedemann (Martinez I could see being traded given the hit tool concerns but Tiedemann should be next to untouchable).
  7. max silver
    I can even convince myself that Brantley would be a pretty decent addition as well, although that would not help in any way in breaking up the DH logjam the club is already faced with. I would certainly prefer Conforto as a primary target with Benintendi second though.
  8. max silver
    As far as I can tell the terms of the deal haven't been released yet.
  9. max silver
    Aside from a Kiermaier signing there was literally nothing left in free agency to man center field with any type of chance of actually contributing value. I can only assume the team wasn't able to align in values with other clubs on a young center field trade, so aside from more bottom of the barrel replacement level or worse signings there was literally nothing else available. The next option seemed to be Whit Merrifield receiving regular playing time in center field, I'll take Kiermaier every single time if that's the alternative.
  10. max silver
    For Jansen? Probably nobody to get overly excited about.
  11. max silver
    Aside from Nimmo and Bellinger Kiermaier is all that was left in free agency that could man center field and provide any kind of value to the team. I never said the team is better than last season, and I'm not going to rush to judgement in this regard as the offseason is far from over. If they were to retain Stripling I think they would be close to as good as last season at the very least, and once a catcher is moved they will likely be better. It's not unreasonable to expect some level of bounceback from Berrios and Kikuchi likely isn't going to be as much of a dud as we was last year either, so there is plenty of reason to expect at least a modicum of internal improvement.
  12. max silver
    They just finished a season where they won 101 games. Teams that aren't even that good don't tend to win 100+ games in baseball.
  13. max silver
    It seems as though the sky is falling types want to compare KK to the likes of Zimmer and JBJ. Those guys are still out there so if this deal falls through the team can still bring those guys aboard instead so that you can have an actual reason to bitch and moan like usual.
  14. max silver
    Well duh of course a 40+ year old aging slugger is a great comparable for an elite defensive center fielder in his early 30's. 2015 probably isn't a great starting point as Kiermaier doesn't quite have the defensive chops of his initial years in MLB. 2018 seems to be when he settled into his current level of overall value. For all defenders since 2018 Kiermaier ranks 8th in defensive runs saved. Change this to center fielders only and he's in second place, only a single run behind Michael A. Taylor. This is a player who has been an elite defender and provided he doesn't have severe lingering effects from his hip surgery will continue to be an elite defender.
  15. max silver
    It seems like you maybe aren't aware, but the offseason isn't over yet.
  16. max silver
    Go actually look at his underlying metrics before you instantly dismiss the idea. Kepler's underlying stats could very well lead to an above average WRC+ with the removal of the shift. He is shifted nearly 90% of the time. His expected stats are all very solid as the quality of contact is good. He avoids strikeouts and walks plenty, and puts the ball in play a lot. I'm not suggesting he is going to suddenly pop 30 home runs again, but the numbers under the hood suggest strong potential for an offensive resurgence. Combine that with stellar defence and you suddenly have a pretty valuable player.
  17. max silver
    Wow sounds like are a soothsayer. You should share some stock tickets and lottery numbers with us if you have the ability to predict the future with such certainty
  18. max silver
    The other owners can't be very happy about somebody who is willing to spend like a drunken sailor in free agency.
  19. max silver
    I kind of like the idea of Max Kepler as a potential trade candidate. His underlying Statcast metrics are pretty encouraging and he's run a sizeable xWOBA/WOBA spilt the last few seasons. As a heavily shifted left handed batter he has potential to benefit quite a bit from the upcoming shift ban
  20. max silver
    If Gallo doesn't bounce back platooning him with Gurriel might actually make the offence worse. Gurriel produced 119 WRC+ vs RHP in 2022 vs 100 WRC+ for Gallo.
  21. max silver
    Kiermaier has only managed to exceed Tapia's 2022 playing time twice in his entire career. It seems pretty unlikely he will exceed that coming off of hip surgery.
  22. max silver
    Given how much time Kiermaier tends to miss due to injury his playing time is self limiting. He's extremely unlikely to even match the amount of playing time Tapia received, but isn't a total zero defensively so can still provide plenty of playing time to the club.
  23. max silver
    That's a really important point in this discussion. Murphy essentially represents a 99th percentile outcome (or maybe even higher) for Danny Jansen where he maintained his previous level of production while somehow finally managing to avoid injury for an entire season. Jansen simply hasn't shown the ability to avoid a steady stream of soft tissue injuries up to this point. Add in the extra year of control that comes along with Murphy and it's no surprise that one of these two players is a dramatically more valuable trade commodity.
  24. max silver
    That's pure speculation on the part of an unnamed source. It would hard for this to be any less concrete than it is presently so this provides essentially zero proof that Helsley was ever on the table.
  25. max silver
    There is plenty of doubt whether Teo is going to have his best season ever, it's pretty presumptuous of you to suggest that. On a rate basis he had his best ever season in 2020, and he's been steadily trending downwards ever since then. With better health I don't doubt he can regain a bit of the lost value in the field and on the bases, but it's pretty unrealistic to expect that he's going to suddenly reach another new level of skill at the age of 30.
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