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max silver

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Everything posted by max silver

  1. max silver
    He was essentially 1 of 1 and a bit of a unicorn.
  2. max silver
    You could make the same statement for every team in MLB that if Bo/Bregman/Tucker/Bellinger wanted to play for those teams they would have signed there already. I think it's more a case of none of these guys receiving offers they are happy with at this point and they are all simply holding out for more $$$.
  3. max silver
    He's not a free agent, he's a player with an already existing contract so it's not an apples to apples comparison bellyaching about what he'd cost in free agency. He's a bit of a luxury spend but he produced 1.8 FWAR/2.9 BWAR so it's little more than your biases in play here with this opinion of being a "terrible" use of resources. I'm still waiting for your reply as to the better method of evaluating player worth vs $/win by the way.
  4. max silver
    Straw isn't a free agent so what a team would pay in free agency is irrelevant. If you have a better way to gauge value relative to contract instead of $/WAR I'd love to hear it. I think the Straw acquisition turned out swimmingly as he was a tremendous 5th outfielder, he provided a lot of surplus value relative to his contract, and the team actually gained IFA money when taking his contract on. At the end of the day Straw provided a ton of surplus value in his first season as a Blue Jay with $14.4 million in value according to Fangraphs. He can literally provide zero value this season and his contract would be even value to the Blue Jays in his two years with the club. He may be a little expensive for a backup player but he did a fantastic job for the team as Varsho missed half of the season due to injury. In a perfect world he'd receive far fewer plate appearances in the post season as both he and IKF were largely empty bats for the majority of the playoffs and largely dragged the offense down in crunch time.
  5. max silver
    If Straw can recreate his 2025 season the $7.4 million is almost a bit of a bargain.
  6. max silver
    That's only over 434 PA which is a solid enough result. I think over time once he's fully adjusted to MLB pitching he offers quite a bit more upside with the bat than this early projection suggests.
  7. max silver
    I've seen nothing online to indicate that the Cubs are interested in bringing Tucker back.
  8. max silver
    I don't believe the front office will add two full time players to the roster at this point as simply adding a single bat would create a stacked team. Adding Tucker certainly complicates the fit for Santander although maybe only for a single season as Springer's deal is up after 2026.
  9. max silver
    I see no reason why the owners would have any interest whatsoever in a floor if there's no firm cap to go along with it.
  10. max silver
    Do you honestly buy the 1 WAR projection? The guy was healthy for basically 5 weeks of the entire season as his shoulder wasn't full strength once he came back into the lineup.
  11. max silver
    Is it even selling high on Barger? It's entirely possible he's just touching the surface of his overall potential and he has a chance to blossom into a cost controlled star once he's fully developed.
  12. max silver
    Better fire Santander into the sun then. I still tend to think that a healthy Santander can be a highly productive member of the Blue and it's foolish to think that a single season ruined by injury completely erases a player's value. At the end of the day Santander is essentially being paid like a 2 win player and a switch hitting power bat easily fits into the lineup.
  13. max silver
    I seem to be in the minority but I believe George is going to continue to mash next season. He checks all of the boxes for continued production at least in the short term, as he has elite plate discipline, keeps the strikeouts under control, has a swing plane designed for elevating the ball, added several MPH average to his swing speed compared to the previous season, the expected stats directly line up with the results etc. I certainly don't expect him to exceed 160 wRC+ again as he's 36 years old but I see nothing that indicates this was a single season fluke.
  14. max silver
    Nothing about Springer's season was a fluke. He fully earned his results as evidenced by a .408/.404 wOBA/xwOBA split. I don't expect him to necessarily fully recreate his 2025 season but I do expect the adjustments that he made are going to be something that sticks with a normal age regression curve moving forward.
  15. max silver
    I don't recall Springer having knee issues aside from fouling a ball off of his knee this season.
  16. max silver
    Semien was 2025 Bo Bichette level bad defensively in the covid season before signing with the Blue Jays.
  17. max silver
    Where do you find the present overall team rankings on Fangraphs?
  18. max silver
    I had a brain fart there, I'll go ahead and correct the post so that it makes sense.
  19. max silver
    I'm not a fan of Bellinger in the slightest as I believe he has a really high probability of producing 2-2.5 win seasons moving forward. His splits show he's just ripe for regression and I think he's in tough to recreate his 2025 success, especially away from Yankee Stadium. Have a look at these splits and see if you share the same concerns I do about the repeatability of Bellinger's 2025 season. Combined 125 wRC+ Vs RHP 105 wRC+ Vs LHP 180 wRC+ Home Overall 152 wRC+ Vs RHP 105 wRC+ Vs LHP 206 wRC+ Away Overall 97 wRC+ Vs RHP 79 wRC+ Vs LHP 151 wRC+ Bellinger was barely above average against right handed pitching, and positively feasted on left handed pitching. He was like a supercharged version of Ernie Clement with the bat and I for one have little to no interest in paying a star contract to a player with this profile.
  20. max silver
    As bad as the Berrios contract looks at least he can still at least eat some innings at the back of the rotation for a major league club vs Castellanos who has nothing to offer on the diamond.
  21. max silver
    I don't know why anyone would assume there is a single team that would want to trade for Castellanos as he's dropped below league average at the one phase of the game he was able to offer any value. It's shocking how badly this deal has turned out for the Phillies as Castellanos doesn't even crack the single win barrier after 4 years with the team.
  22. max silver
    I can get on board with an 850 OPS line being a low probability potential ceiling for Murakami if he makes enough contact, but I think he has massive bust potential as he's already struggling immensely with the strikeout against NPB pitching.
  23. max silver
    I tend to think Okamoto is a better fit for the the Blue Jays right now. I don't think he has the same offensive upside as Murakami who possesses nearly top of the scale raw power but I feel Okamoto presents a much higher floor and is far less likely to bust given the far superior contact ability.
  24. max silver
    I don't think it makes sense either as Ohtani is essentially the only player in MLB who has a contract that pays for itself to the point where it's self sustaining and should have it's own separate budgetary allotment. Having said that I do believe there is some truth to this although I don't know what point this special budget runs out as there's no way it's unlimited in nature. Change the wording from star player to impact player if that suits you better. I believe the likes of Pete Alonso and Alex Bregman likely fell under this "special" budget last offseason as the Blue Jays were reportedly in negotiations to add one of these guys as spring training approached. As mentioned by L54 Tucker is one of MLB's best/most consistent players year over year as he's ranked 11th in FWAR since becoming a full time regular in MLB in 2020, that's one of MLB's best players whether you think casuals know about him or not.
  25. max silver
    If the likes of Davidi are to be believed the front office won't necessarily be able to spend time extra $10 million on a reliever. He claims that the star players fall under a separate budgetary allotment that isn't automatically available to be spent on the non star players.
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