None of those scenarios is likely because I don't think any of those teams win the rest. I do understand these were the worst case scenarios.
I think the number is probably 88 or 89 wins if the tiebreaker is an issue, which it could be for us.
I think if we go 6-6, we're safe. 5-7 it might get sticky. It will be tough. Tampa still has something to play for, and believe it or not, I think the Yankees believe they're still alive, given that they play us six times and that Texas and Seattle play seven times, that gives them hope even if it's statistically unrealistic. I think they will play us as if their season is on the line.