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Masterbather

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Everything posted by Masterbather

  1. Masterbather
    While JD is a prick, is this the kind of story you want to be putting out there with your team winning the division and about to go to the postseason? Fatso should shut the f*** up. Keep it in house instead of trying to make yourself look like an alpha fatty.
  2. Masterbather
    I feel like you need to be good enough to be the kind of ******* JD is, he no longer is good enough to be doing that.
  3. Masterbather
    It's likely that Tampa will have nothing to play for against Toronto, but they're still Tampa Bay. I just can never trust them to be "easy". As far as Texas and Arizona, I have been considering the different clinching possibilities you have mentioned, it's so difficult to say right now because so much will be determined in the next 48 hours.
  4. Masterbather
    I understand everything you said, and yes the modeling probably doesn't factor in things like clinching and the factors that might come into play. Nonetheless, the greater point is there's no way to predict what a team is going to do in the next six games because it's so short-term in nature. It's easier to predict what a team will do over the next 60 games because it takes the flukiness out of it. You can't take the flukiness out of six games very easily. If the Blue Jays go 1-5 and miss, you can't blame the models for being way off because there's a limitation to their predictive ability. It would be disappointing and perhaps surprising but by the same token nobody can be blown away by a strangely bad week because they just happen sometimes. We all understand the randomness of week to week results in a 162 game season.
  5. Masterbather
    And yet the short-term eludes you. I'm well aware of playoff probabilities being calculated, I'm not saying their numbers are wrong for what they are I'm just saying probability itself doesn't mean much in the short run. This is why Kansas city can beat Atlanta in a best of 7 but would almost certainly not beat them in a best of 71.
  6. Masterbather
    I said nothing unreasonable there, That's okay I'm used to it, when you're right and people don't like it they just tend to call you names around here. Doomsday for spitting facts, lol. Let me know if you ever take a statistics class bud.
  7. Masterbather
    The thing is, we're in the short run now, there's only one week left. Every team is prone to the extreme variability of short run baseball. We're one terrible series against the Yankees from a butt clenching weekend. Keep in mind Texas might pretty much have the West clinched by the end of the Angels series, it will impact how competitive they are against Seattle for the return matchup. This is why I keep saying we're not in yet, playoff probabilities mean little in the short run.
  8. Masterbather
    It's a good f***ing life for Verlander isn't it? The man truly has it all.
  9. Masterbather
    Verlander could probably pitch another game tomorrow, he'll barely feel this one in the morning lol
  10. Masterbather
    Saucedo isn't bad, he's a serviceable lefty. Keeps the ball on the ground, doesn't give up a lot of home runs.
  11. Masterbather
    It's rare though, and those f***ers were cheating, I know they were. There's some ******** in some of the stuff they were hitting like they knew it was coming.
  12. Masterbather
    Verlander throwing a side session out there. Not breaking a sweat.
  13. Masterbather
    Talent is still the most important factor. The job of the front office is to put together championship caliber pieces and then the chips will fall as they may. Teams that win are still usually among the best teams, you still rarely see underdogs win it all.
  14. Masterbather
    They pulled an anti-Baltimore Orioles, changed the dimensions and hurt their own team.
  15. Masterbather
    Yeah there's a chance but it's just not very likely considering what they've shown this season. I think you pretty much are what you are after 162 games. Especially for it to happen for basically a month of baseball suddenly. Unfortunately two of their best power hitters per at bat were Jansen and Belt. One has a broken hand the other one has been sick and then hurt and now has missed so much time that I don't even know if it's worth putting him back in the everyday lineup given where his timing will be.
  16. Masterbather
    Yeah but to go all the way they just don't hit for a lot of power, and I don't see that changing much without a change of personnel. Other teams just have more of it. On the flip side, the starting pitching is good, it's deep, but outside of Gausman, their advanced stats have them projected more as number three or four starters. If you're going to lose the power game, you have to definitively win the pitching game. The gap between Toronto's top three is not wide enough over other teams' top 3, in some cases other teams have a better top three. Bullpen is a strength. In most series' they would have an advantage here, but that's just not enough. A lot of domino's would have to fall their way.
  17. Masterbather
    You still have to pitch well enough, but the more thunder you have the wider your margins. At the end of the day I don't think you can really win without some level of frontline pitching, you don't necessarily have to be deep, but you have to have enough to lock it down. You can't out-homer other teams if you're pitching keeps giving up homers to other teams. But yeah, you have to have thunder.
  18. Masterbather
    I tend to believe that frontline pitching, good defense and power is what you need to win most of the time. Didn't AA say something along these lines? I agree with him, It's tough to string together hits against good teams and good pitching. You need some guys that can just pop one from time to time and put multiple runs on the board quickly. That lack of power relative to others will hurt us I think. I wouldn't say each round is a coin flip, there are reasons to have statistical favorites but you're right because they are short series anything can happen but for an underdog to win multiple series in a row is less and less likely the more series they have to play. That's why a lot of Cinderella's tend to run out of gas eventually, even if it takes to the very final series. Miami heat, Florida Panthers, Philadelphia Phillies. It's hard to finish the job as an underdog.
  19. Masterbather
    Thank you friend, you're one of the better posters on here.
  20. Masterbather
    Damn man, why not just root for a team like Minnesota? They've been the Yankees bitch for so long and now they finally have a path.
  21. Masterbather
    Rangers have a poor middle of the bullpen and questionable starting pitching, Mariners and twins have some problems with their lineups but I take at least the Mariners over ours. And really pointing out that a team has some losses recently? You've devolved to this? That's a flaw in the team? Cuz we've never lost games to poor teams or neither has every other team in baseball.
  22. Masterbather
    Matter of perspective, we obviously disagree. So I guess you're trolling? That's how it works when you disagree with someone right? You accuse them of trolling. Hey what did you predict for this team when the season started? How did you see them finishing in the standings I'm genuinely curious. I don't recall
  23. Masterbather
    This team is exactly where I said they would be at the beginning of the season. I said they were a good team, that was maybe a playoff team, a contender for the third wild card spot. That's exactly where they are. EXACTLY. So I was right so far. I also said they're not a world series contender, I guess they remains to be seen for this year. Funny though I don't see anybody holding up their hands who were convinced this team was going to battle for the division. People who were offended by the very notion of me even suggesting that it was just going to be in the mix for the third wild card spot. None of them are holding up their hands to acknowledge that they were wrong. There is a lot of ******** on this board, but it's not coming from me. So I'll just leave it at that.
  24. Masterbather
    I think anybody with a good vertical needs to catch that ball. There was time to measure it and the wall is scalable. Not saying it wasn't a nice catch but I think there are a lot of running catches that don't look as sexy but are much more difficult.
  25. Masterbather
    There are still entirely reasonable scenarios that could see them eliminated. They are probably in, but it's not there yet.
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