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Orgfiller

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Everything posted by Orgfiller

  1. He’d certainly never start there I gotta think though. The left side of the IF defense would be a sieve.
  2. What a beautiful adjustment by Bo on the outside breaking ball. Sitting all over it, strong drive to the opposite field. Amazing piece of hitting.
  3. IKF scores easily if he goes on contact. Easier said than done, but damn it sucks to waste runs like that.
  4. Bottom of the lineup cooking something yet again. Top needs to deliver.
  5. Ironically the team already has so much flexibility with infielders that Vlad would be like 6th in line for an emergency 3B appearance.
  6. Singer and Kikuchi both look good early on.
  7. Assuming no injuries, most likely Pearson, Cabrera or Bowden Francis gets sent down and called up as necessary. Connor Cooke, Hagen Danner, Brendon Little, Mason Fluharty, Zach pop are other guys looking to make their presence known down there.
  8. Also lol @ Carlos Rodon with 6 whiffs in 92 pitches against the Oakland A's.
  9. Mason Miller is nasty. He threw 14 pitches, K'd all of Volpe, Soto and Judge swinging. A's blank the Yankees at home.
  10. I'm pretty sure part of it is just to control Rodriguez's innings. He probably tops out at 80-100 IP this season. If Manoah is good this isn't even a problem, he'll become an unhittable 2-3 IP reliever, if he isn't, he'll be back to tossing 3-4 IP with a piggyback every 5 days.
  11. Decreased avg EV and hard hit rates would very likely correlate to decreased performance, but not necessarily underperforming your xStats. You can underperform if you are slow, or have a suboptimal balls spray distribution chart. A good example is Matt Chapman hitting 400 foot bombs to dead CF, where even a 350 foot wall scraper gets the job done to LF. The opposite of Matt Chapman 2023 is Isaac Paredes and Davis Schneider, guys who sell out for pulling balls with good/mediocre EVs for good results, that don't necessarily have the physical tools to hit bombs all over the place ala Aaron Judge, Yordan Alvarez, Juan Soto types. You can also technically hit balls softly and have some success, by hitting a bunch of weak infield singles or little looping line drives over the defense, those balls are simply too hard to defend. Sometimes you'll see an 80 mph soft flyball have an xBA of like .990 because those balls are nearly impossible for defenders to catch. This is a very niche skillset and not a lot of players can succeed consistently with it. Springer has never been much of an avg EV darling, where he made his money is on barrel rate and sweet spot %, which have been declining the last few years. With that said, his xWOBA right now is in the 69th percentile, he still doesn't chase much and has been better at drawing walks in the early going, with an elevated sweet spot rate. These are probably the kinds of adjustments he'll have to make as his raw power declines, and he can still be an average to slightly above player earning more than he's worth.
  12. There's plenty of studies surrounding what's happened to Springer. Age and injury related decline lol. He's followed a completely normal aging curve given his injury history. Age 28 (HOU) - 3.1 WAR Age 29 (HOU) - 6.1 WAR (peak) Age 30 (HOU) - 1.9 WAR, shortened season, translates to 5.2 WAR/140 games Age 31 (TOR) - 2.6 WAR, missed half the season to injury, translates to 4.7 WAR/140 games Age 32 (TOR)- 4.1 WAR Age 33 (TOR) - 1.8 WAR, underperformed xWOBA by 12 points, most prolific steal season of his career Age 34 (TOR) (now) - underperforming his xWOBA by 45 points
  13. I think we can aim a lot higher than Clement at SS. He's basically a poor man's Bichette, best suited for a utility role/LHP platoon bat. I think if all of these MIF/CIF options keep tracking well we're obviously going to have to trade a couple of them, unless Barger is the RF of the future. Having all of Orelvis, Schneider, Biggio, Ernie, Barger splitting time in the bigs provides a handful of riches, but likely results in diminishing returns. Then there's also Palmegiani, Horwitz, Leo Jimenez as lower end options which could be throw-ins in a deal.
  14. Yeah the problem with Vlad's floor being a ~120 wRC+ bat is that's not a particularly high bar for a 1B who is inept at running the bases or playing good defense. Anywhere else but at first base/DH would that offensive floor at least contribute to being a slightly above average player.
  15. That is damning. To the eye test you can definitely tell he's not doing any damage on fastballs, he either guesses right and pounds one into the ground, slaps a single the other way, or is blown away while he's getting some other pitch. This would be fine if he was otherwise crushing mistake breaking balls, but instead he makes his mind up on which pitches to swing at and then whiffs badly on breaking balls a foot away. What a sad hitter he's become.
  16. I hate Vlad. 3 fastballs down the middle that he did nothing with.
  17. Campusano is one of the least patient hitters in baseball and they’ve walked him in B2B plate appearances by not even being anywhere near the zone.
  18. Pearson looks awful. On top of the wildness, his fastball is topping out at 96.
  19. Pearson is all over the place. He’s just too inconsistent still.
  20. First three pitches were so wild it made the next 3 unhittable by them being anywhere near the zone.
  21. Pearson wasn’t close at all there.
  22. Richards’ command is killing us.
  23. Turner is so slow that Tatis could be doing cartwheels with the ball and he’s not scoring anyway.
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