Orgfiller
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Everything posted by Orgfiller
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And then they both need to talk to Kevin Kiermaier, or like Alex Gordon or something, to figure out how to be young athletic guys and not be among the worst fielders in the league.
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This is much easier said than done though. His K/BB rates were already not awesome in the minors, his contact rate was only 68.3% in AA (TIL this is now available on fangraphs). Then he got promoted pretty aggressively despite not necessarily crushing AA. I'm sure his defensive woes haven't done him any help, but it's not like you can just move him back to 3B and start over, right? In an alternate reality this is what Aaron Judge turned into. Sometimes the tall, huge power, poor bat control - not that Aaron Judge and his 100th percentile barrel rate is this - guys just can't figure it out.
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Ironically they're the same age. Always interesting how one guy can be a bust at 23 and another a top prospect at the same age. Of course, aging curves are not uniform and linear for every player, but it makes you think. What if Walker had been held down all these years? Would he have retained his top prospect status, or would the wheels have fallen off eventually just as they have at the highest level?
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Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)
Orgfiller replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I think the opposite? The changeup "drops" (vertically) very little, looks identical to the fastball but is 10 mph slower and with some arm-side run. It's like a sinker/2-seam variation to the 4-seam except he somehow gets 10 mph of separation between them. Seems almost like a reverse sweeper. -
Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)
Orgfiller replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
The Blue Jays offspeed (splitter/changeups) factory going to work again. Let's hope this brings good results to Cease throughout the season and in the postseason. I don't know about "added a sweeper" though, pretty sure Cease has been throwing a sweeper somewhat infrequently for a few seasons now. "Sweepers" are just modified sliders with more horizontal movement anyway, so he could've just adjusted his original slider along with the rest of the league to get more H-break/less V-break. -
Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)
Orgfiller replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I just don't see how they keep both guys on the roster if they're serious about contending. Haven't looked at the schedule so maybe there's enough off-days in the early going where you can get away with essentially punting your last two relievers, but if that's not the case then it seems likely we return one or try to make an agreement with their original team if we really want to keep them around. -
Your 2026 Jays Starting Lineup/Batting Order
Orgfiller replied to Jays24's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Jury is still out on Barger against LHP - he did great in the playoffs, but SSS and he's still relatively inexperienced so they might attack him differently moving forward - so I'd probably have Okamoto/Kirk as the cleanup vs lefties, maybe even the entire top 5 as righties, before inserting and splitting Barger and Varsho in any order. Maybe against fringy lefties you can put Barger/Varsho in the 4 or 5 hole, but against guys like Crochet and Fried I'm stacking the top of the lineup with righties, maybe as many as 6 deep. Gimenez will likely be bunting if he comes up in key spots with how we used the bottom half of the lineup last season. -
I've never seen bigger ******** than holding the finals a day after the second semi-final game so one team had to play an intense back-to-back while the winner of US/DR had a day to rest everyone, especially their top relievers. I don't think it was a purely strategic decision that William Contreras sat in the finals, I'm pretty sure the Brewers would have requested that he not play consecutive high intensity games behind the dish this early in the year.
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Yeah of course, it's definitely on the players. I was moreso alluding to other top nations being able to recruit their top arms this time around, yet most of ours decline and we're forced to go with guys with half a decade of retirement. The offense is fine, could be better but it has some talent. Owen Caissie should be hitting no lower than 5th, Julien should arguably not be starting at all, but it's not as big of an issue as the pitching having little depth and us not leveraging a guy like Tugboat Wilkinson more than a 2 years retired James Paxton.
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I mean, even the US has sent some of their best pitchers this time around, even despite some of them only scheduled to pitch once or twice. Canada has no excuse to not be sending their best, everyone else seems to care enough.
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It really depends on how viable they see Schneider playing 2B. The World Series showed they would literally play the worst hitter in the league over him, so not seeing this as likely. Clement, Gimenez, Barger, Okamoto give us enough flexibility where you can shuffle guys around as the game goes on, but having 3 full-time OF on the bench is interesting.
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It might save them some money, and they might have still liked Loperfido from back when they traded him to us.
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Jesus Sanchez is lefty Teoscar Hernández with worse contact quality and not quite as fast. Crazy raw power, bad plate discipline, generally low IQ player with the tools to be a good defender but isn’t. The story of his career has been if he can get to the power often enough. If he traded a number of GBs for FBs he would probably be really good.
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Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2026)
Orgfiller replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
A below average hitter at DH isn't really the solution to our offensive woes. And you'll be sorry you ever considered him in the outfield if you ever see him out there. Could be a decent pinch hitter against lefties off the bench I guess? You can't even platoon him at DH since the other guy is Springer who is also right handed and much better. -
Pretty decent get for the Nats for 2 years of Gore, although I'm sure the Rangers are fine with what they're giving up. Always feels like there's an extra level to unlock but Gore just has never really truly broken out. Rosario was a huge helium guy after 2024 and yes I'm pretty sure he broke and had TJS. Worst part is, he spent all of 2025 trying to heal normally and he just recently had the TJS, so he'll miss all of 2026 as well.
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Oh s*** it's finally happened.
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Clement and Davis Schneider against RHP. He has a career 130 wRC+ against RHP, 88 against LHP so even the floor is not too bad if you're "stuck" with him having to stay in the game in a pinch hitting opportunity that doesn't pan out. The real question is, is he worth the floor raise for the price of acquisition? Certainly the team's depth becomes insane if he's added into the mix, without taking away a guy like Clement or Barger in the process. Even DS could be expendable in such a deal, the team clearly doesn't value him as much of an asset.
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I think this is his way of saying yeah it would've been nice to run it back, but I got offered money I couldn't turn down for purely emotional reasons from the Mets (and possibly Phillies as well, as it turns out).
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Another Boras masterclass. Hard pass on Bellinger at those terms.
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Arguably neither team should do that trade. The Brewers especially should not do that trade.
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If the Jays used Davis Schneider more this wouldn't have happened anyway. At the end of the day, Bichette's injury and the timing of it cost them dearly, it's hard to replace guys like that in the most important spots of the playoffs when you've been counting on them all season.
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The Jays weren't trying to pay Kyle Tucker $100M in 2026 after accounting for the luxury tax hit. There's not many teams that can get away with what the Dodgers and Mets are doing. The former are printing money with Ohtani and their TV deal, and the latter is a rich ******* who spends for fun. Rogers doesn't quite have that luxury, as profitable as the Jays have been over the last calendar year.
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Yeah I think the Okamoto addition effectively rendered a Donovan acquisition moot. Good player and cheap, but for the acquisition cost you might as well roll out with Ernie and Barger who may be just as good.
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I can't believe the Vlad contract doesn't even look that unreasonable already. If he was a free agent he'd have the Mets trying to pair him with Soto as a Pete Alonso replacement, and the Dodgers probably bidding for him for shits and giggles to replace Max Muncy. Probably gets 70M AAV for 5 years or creeps up on the Soto deal.
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I'm not sure there's many teams in the league that can get away with the contracts the Dodgers and Mets are offering some of these guys. Even with the luxury tax being a factor, the Mets and Dodgers are spitting in the face of it and willing to pay more than double per dollar in those short term high AAV deals. This made sense when these deals were given out to starters particularly older ones, but for mid prime star position players this is pretty unheard of. Lowering the CBT hit by artificially lowering the AAV with more years is still something a lot of teams would likely prefer over paying significant premiums for the luxury tax.
