Orgfiller

Yeah don't disagree there. However, I think Skubal is firmly in that category of players that if you can afford it, you should mostly be prepared to give him whatever he wants. Idk, I get that he's a pitcher but he's the best pitcher in baseball. I think ironically, if they take a Dodgers package of like, Sheehan++, assuming mostly minor leaguers, then they're going to be one Tarik Skubal like piece away from being true contenders, even with Michael King + Cody Bellinger attempting to but not recuperating the lost value. They're not quite a dumpster fire as a team like the White Sox were when they moved Crochet, and I'm sure they're regretting not getting full value from him. Prospects are so fickle, and you can't realistically bank on getting anyone back that would be as impactful as Tarik Skubal is to contention.

I don't about no matter the cost, but I do think Suarez is the top remaining bullpen target for us. With Diaz only getting 3 years, they have some decent leverage there. Either getting him for 2 years, or push a third year for a reduced AAV which would help our tax calculation. Would 3/30-36 get it done? MLBTR and fangraphs projections have him at 3/48. Diaz went under his projected in total value and years and that should drive down Suarez's market value.

I think they'd be out of their minds to not deal him if they have no intention of meeting his contract demands. With that said, they're a pretty mediocre team who happens to still contend thanks to existing in the worst division in the league, can they really afford to lose someone of his calibre with a relatively exciting prospect pipeline coming through the ranks? Something to be said about making the homegrown ace the face of your franchise for the foreseeable future, and hoping that can both instill a winning mentality in the upcoming younger players, and signal to FAs that they're serious about contending.

The Tigers don't even want to pay their homegrown ace. What makes you think they'll go after the top FA available?

I wouldn't count the Dodgers and Yankees out on Tucker. Dodgers can always dump Teoscar's contract elsewhere, and Yankees need to at least replace Bellinger. Red Sox I could see being out since they have too many OF as is, and they're all cheap. Mets have unlimited money whenever they feel like using it, but I mostly agree he doesn't seem like their main priority target.

Surprised nobody, especially the Mets, could beat that. That's a very good deal for the Dodgers, and what seems like a poor deal for Diaz's camp unless he literally had no interest from the rest of the league.

Dodgers splurge on Tanner Scott, he blows, and they "rectify" their mistake by just casually splurging on an even better reliever the next offseason for more money lol. Scott is probably back to being elite next year, as the setup man for Edwin f***ing Diaz. It's honestly hard to catch up to this.

f*** the Dodgers lmao. Just flexing on the rest of the league every offseason. This is some evil empire Yankees ********.

My god that has a chance to be a god awful contract very quickly. Dombrowski strikes again. Just learned nothing from the Castellanos disaster.

Here's my view on it. From a league context/popularity perspective, Olerud is far behind all three of these guys. This isn't entirely his fault, he's an advanced stats darling who mostly played in an era where the things he did best weren't yet fully appreciated as they are now. Olerud's accolades are 2x AS, 3x GG, a batting title, and the fact that he was a part of 2 WS champion teams, but not the most popular player in them. Not a single Silver Slugger is a big detriment to his case, although he arguably definitely should have some. I think his two 8 WAR years being so far from one another also hurt him in popularity, if he repeated those in 93-94 or 98-99 he might have some more notoriety. Instead he was more "boring" good around those seasons, instead of a force to be reckoned with. All in all, Olerud only had 3 seasons of 5+ WAR production. Compare that to: Keith Hernandez - seven 5+ WAR seasons. 1x MVP, 11x GG, 5x AS, 2x SS Don Mattingly - four (consecutive) 5+ WAR seasons, 1x MVP, 9x GG, 6x AS, 3x SS, bonus: played for the Yankees Delgado - three 5+ WAR seasons, 2x AS, 3x SS (in peak steroid era), bonus: 473 career HR which is about as much as Mattingly and Olerud combined. Allegedly clean(?) player in steroid era who still had monster numbers To me, from this list Keith Hernandez is the only guy who should most likely be in the Hall. Mattingly had the peak and popularity but not the longevity. Olerud is missing the popularity and the peak. Delgado probably just broke out too late to have a shot, and the missing 27 HR to gain him "automatic" induction is probably what costs him.

Yeah I think a Jays deal includes Barger to get the conversation started. Agreed on someone like Mayer being the centerpiece for Boston as well.

It would not. That's a harder thing to account for, and if you do try to account for it you might lose the generalization of the projection. Like yes I'm sure you can project DS to do worse against RHP with 95+ fastballs, but the sample size will be smaller and there might be some sampling bias involved, i.e. he might be just as good vs them as any other RHP but the team specifically chooses to hide him against them because they think he's not as good.

Campbell suxxx though. No position butcher who took a big step back with the bat in 2025. Average EV of 84 in AAA yikes. And not even cheap!

He's a very raw prospect given the lack of hitting experience. I think if he has an excellent development year it would mean he finishes at AA with good numbers while flashing plus CF defense. I wouldn't be surprised if they move slowly with him.

Oh lol, sorry all these white scrappy OFs look the same to me.

I don't think Schreck is that good of a CF defender. More likely he bursts onto the scene as the LF/RF of the future - he apparently also has a rocket of an arm - than as Varsho's replacement.

Yeah I'm sure the other prospects make a difference here, but on the surface I like it for the Pirates. Oviedo has good stuff, but is already in arbitration, has trouble throwing strikes, and has an injury history, literally just coming back from TJS. He's also under control for just two more seasons. Jhostynxon is a tooled up power/speed backend top 100 prospect with decent upside and a chance to play CF throughout his team control, which he has lots of. He probably won't make enough contact to break the 2 WAR barrier consistently (or at all), but if they can somewhat work around that he could be a good player.

Taters has some 1B MLB reps, especially in the last few years. I'm sure he'll get some reps there in ST to become the dedicated Vlad backup.

lol @ Bo Based on just this info alone, this is probably the right ordering. It's Gimenez and Ernie, then a huge jump to anyone else. In Bo's case he could regress somewhat to not being the worst defender in the sport at SS, maybe get healthy and gain back some athleticism. Barger is so stiff moving that I'd probably never want him anywhere near SS, he'd kind of be like Bobby Dalbec out there.

His MLB SS experience is limited, but just about every defensive model has him as comfortably above average at the position. In terms of tools, he's similar to Gimenez; very rangy, excellent hands and a below average arm but made up for in accuracy. He was 98th percentile in Statcast range with 83rd percentile sprint speed last season. There's basically no way he isn't at least an average SS unless he physically cannot make the throw from short. And, if there's one thing we know about Ernie, he has elite hands to get rid of the baseball quickly to make up for the poor arm strength.

Could probably platoon Barger and Ernie, and Ernie should get plenty of reps with Bo probably getting a lot of days off to load manage, same with Gimenez and that bum ankle he was dealing with all year.

Weird deal for Cincinnati. I know Pagan doesn't suck, and this might be reasonable ish terms considering what every other reliever that's signed is getting, but he's firmly a tier below anyone that's signed yet. Heading into his age 35 season, I don't really see the need to give him an opt out, and he's coming above MLBTR and Fangraphs projections in both AAV and years. His Statcast page looks good so hey, if they think he's legit then power to them. I just have this image in my head of Emilio Pagan continually blowing games with homeruns. Don't think I've ever been watching a game and just seen him dominate through a lineup without trouble, but the numbers certainly seem to indicate he's been doing that more often than not.

The short answer: look at his Statcast page https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/cedric-mullins-656775?stats=statcast-r-hitting-mlb Longer answer, he was a 1.3 WAR player in his age 30 season, with declining defense and hitting, who may not be able to play a good CF any more. He projects for a 94 wRC+ and 1.3 WAR, those kinds of guys just don't get very much in free agency.

Rockies hired Josh Byrnes, SVP of Baseball Ops for the Dodgers who apparently supervised the scouting and player development for them, to be their GM. That's two FO hires outside their usual box, which in theory seems like they're making good progress moves for the first time in years.

They did just lose Ethan Katz to the Astros, but in general their pitching development is quite good all things considered, so maybe they think they can get him to be a 2-3 WAR innings eater.