Orgfiller
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Everything posted by Orgfiller
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That's sad, he was a budding relief ace.
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Yeah when the entire baseball world can’t beat 2/34 it means the concerns about his ability to make contact are valid and significant. A huge embarrassment for Murakami and his camp.
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This is less impressive considering they sold Paredes to acquire Morel who was f***ing awful for them lol, but yeah pretty cool trade tree.
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Lowe is in the last year of his contract and making $11.5M as a 2 win player which is too much for the Rays. I'm more surprised they gave up on Montgomery given the stuff, but they must think his command is tough to fix. Melton has some big tools, he's a pretty legit prospect to get back for a low value piece in Lowe and a likely reliever with high risk/upside.
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This trade is essentially 5 40 FV types for one mediocre starter who doesn't eat innings, is already in arbitration, and who would best be utilized as a 2 IP fireman. It improves the O's rotation but in no meaningful way and with little upside.
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Shane Baz is like the epitome of a 5 and dive guy, so I like this a lot for the Rays even if no one prospect they're acquiring is particularly exciting. Baz's numbers fall off the table literally on just the second time through the order, probably the fakest "starter" in the league. He's essentially a really good 2-3 IP opener that can cover a mediocre 4th and 5th innings. I remember last season when he carved us up first time through the order, literally unhittable, and then immediately turned into a pumpkin the second time through and got shelled.
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They've actually extended two of their young stars since they locked in to Maikel Garcia as well. Just a competent mid market organization that makes the kind of moves they should be making. It's a breath of fresh air.
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Cheap lefties who throw gas and have team control vs soft(er) throwing lefty with one year left. Strahm has been MUCH better than all 3 of them last two seasons, but actually projects similarly/worse than all of them.
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Is it not a weird move from an opportunity cost POV? Even if they were down on Strahm and wanted to cut ties before the bottom fell out, he has quite solid surface level stats, and is a lefty which teams are always looking for good options for their bullpen. Even if the Phillies love the potential with Bowlan, it feels like they could've at least gotten a 40 FV prospect tacked on or something, or looked elsewhere for a deal that got them a 45+ FV or better prospect from a contending team. Idk, I'm looking at how the reliever market is going, and Strahm could easily double his 2026 salary on a one year deal if he were a FA.
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A 116 wRC+ as a 1B with bad defense, which is pretty mediocre, is not a breakout. A breakout would be like a >130 wRC+ at least. He has the exit velos and contact profile to get it done, just needs to get to his power more often which is easier said than done.
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I like what the Royals have been doing this offseason. If they could upgrade one of their sub replacement options at 2B and get a breakout year from Pasquantino/Caglianone then they could do very well in the AL Central.
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What the f***. Bowlan has some upside, but he's already 29 and good lefty relievers are probably much more valuable than average/slightly above average right handed ones.
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Interesting. Strahm is very good and on a cheap 1/7.5 deal. Return must be at least decent even if it's only a one year reliever rental.
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Logan Webb was confirmed to be pitching for them too.
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My first reaction to this was: "I like that less than Keller for 2/22", but on second look maybe that's not the right way to think about it? Weaver has much better K/BB over the last two seasons, including, importantly, more Ks period. One of them saw the performance back up, the other broke out. Keller is a GB machine, Weaver is an extreme flyball guy with not as many pop outs as you would think from such a pitcher. Track record of success is equally limited for the two of them, although Weaver was generally more promising during his starting days than Keller was, and has one more season of good performance. Keller has the age advantage and the velo trending up.
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Like that deal for the Phils. Have to imagine the lack of track record for Keller hurt his market, and the projections aren't super sexy. Good upside play. Makes it even better that they're signing him to be the setup man for Duran, doesn't need to be the top arm in the BP.
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Meh, as a fan of the WBC and growing baseball's popularity internationally, I always advocate for the best players participating, especially the pitchers who tend to chicken out and muddle the talent pool. Obviously guys rehabbing from TJS should take it easy, but it still just effectively works as a tune up for these guys to be ready to pitch competitively during the regular season. If anything, Berrios participating should give us an idea on how his stuff is looking, and if his arm can hold up in the capacity of having a rotation spot.
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I don't think the Angels are winning 95 games even if Manoah and Romano turn back into their 2022 versions lol. Maybe if that happens and Trout puts up another 8+ WAR season they have a shot.
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I think this is a fair take from the perspective of, we're in the top of the 9th in game 7, do we have that one guy we're comfortable with closing the door? Anecdotally, we obviously saw what happened to "our guy" in that exact scenario - although he otherwise had a pretty excellent playoff run, but I digress. I still think Hoffman has a chance to be that guy, but he'll need to build up that trust again. On the other hand, it's a very deep group in terms of: our starter struggles through 3-4 innings, can we reasonably expect the bullpen to keep us in the game? Despite the bullpen reasonably doing an okay job at that at times these playoffs, it certainly wasn't the group you had the most hope in. This is obviously evidenced by our usage of guys like Bassitt, Gausman and Yesavage in crucial games when other teams may have considered leaning on their top bullpen arms. With this group, aside from like Little, there's not a guy that you're cringing your teeth and praying they're not the ones coming in to stop the bleeding.
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I'm assuming they're using the Positional Depth Charts: https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=RP Dodgers over Padres as the top BP is a very interesting take by the projection models.
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I think realistically one of Miles or Nance isn't on the team by OD, and are replaced by a lefty in Little or Fluharty. Absurd depth though lol, Braydon Fisher beginning in AAA after the season he just had I think falls in the category of "embarrassment of riches". And naturally, injuries will sort the roster jam by themselves.
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He's a below average hitter who is a right handed DH at this point. Projects for a 94 wRC+ and below replacement value. I think he's released and lowkey might be out of the league unless a really bad team signs him to be a platoon bench bat, mentor type vetrin presence.
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We likely see someone traded for minor league depth shortly I would assume. Unless they’ve completely given up on someone like Clase, they don’t trade for Lee to take up a roster spot without having a follow up move I think.
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Polanco can barely play 2B, he is not the Lindor SS replacement lol.
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The numbers speak for themselves honestly. It’s unorthodox in every way, but Rogers gets the job done as well as anyone else. By RA9-WAR he’s arguably the best non Diaz option available in FA.
