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KingKat

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Everything posted by KingKat

  1. Full no trade, vesting option, bleh.
  2. Well what is fair value? MLB teams don't do transfers other than from Japan and those transfers have always been done through a hidden bid process which probably artificially inflated prices. Did any other teams come close to the winning bids on Matsusaka and Darvish? Would the prices have reached those heights in an more open market like the one in soccer? There was nothing especially fair about the old system and there's nothing inherently unfair about the proposed one (it gives the player more leverage which certainly isn't unfair to them). This is just typical sports owner greed talking.
  3. This isn't about creating complicated rules and judgement calls. It's about treating home plate the way it always should have been treated, like every other base. It shouldn't be any harder to police than the other three bases.
  4. Firstly, try to do as much as possible through free agency and try to do it early. Ruiz, Ellis and Kazmir would have been my preffered targets. I don't know if you fit all three of the payroll space but I wouldn't have hesitated to salary dump Santos for some wiggle room although Ideally I would have moved him in a trade for Bourjos. With someone like Bourjos in place, Rasmus is moveable but with only Gose in place, it's a pretty scarry propostion. Of course, those are all hypotheticals that may or may not have been in the cards but one thing I would have done for sure is not compartmentalize free agents by position. Make a list of who can fill your holes whether 2B, catcher or starting pitcher and only narrow the focus if and when certain holes get filled. I'd shop Lind around for a true LF. I'd sacrifice some offense to put more defensive value on the roster and I'd hope that Melky can hold up offensively at DH. It's better than hoping for him to hold up offensively and defensively at LF.
  5. No because I was thinking more of last off-season but Hanigan is a good example of a player who could really impact a team's run prevention and who is a lot more realistic target than front-line pitching.
  6. There are so many weird quirks in AA's M.O. He loves athletic prospects but he fills his lineup with too many players with zero defensive value. Maybe what seems like an interest in athletes is just an over-valuing of speed. He also looks like he's going to flip things around this year and commit to a defense only player at 2B. Ideally, you find players that can contribute on the field and contribute offensively (even if it's just in a platoon split). This is what TB does so well.
  7. This is why you should never lose sight that the main goal is adding wins. While AA has been focused on pitching, the 2B market had dried up and still no pitching so now it's looking more and more like the 2011 off-season. Are there only two options for this team? Overpay in trades or hardly do anything?
  8. Ship has sailed. Ellis to the Cards.
  9. If that's the case then why was the 25 man roster so poorly constructed? Big defensive holes at 2B and C and no backup SS behind Reyes. I think the issue is that he built a lineup and bench only to score runs and put all the responsibility for run prevention on the pitching. It was a good team when you just added up the projected WAR but the parts didn't fit. Defensive lineups, park factors, these things matters. Run prevention is a hollistic thing, it's not just spending money on pitching.
  10. From the beginning, signing Ellis has seemed like most painless way for this team to add wins. No one else is likely to provide the same kind of cost benefit especially now.
  11. Correct. They were deep in negotiations but he hadn't yet signed.
  12. Any trade has the potential to be a devastating trade if the players aren't valued properly.
  13. I'd see him more as a Derosa replacement. DH against lefties, play the infield in a pinch. He seems to have an inflanted opinion of himself though so I'd be worried that he'd want too much money and expect too much playing time. Derosa with a massive ego. Pass.
  14. Dude you buried the lead. Players no longer peak, like not at all! On average whatever a player does when he first plays is pretty much what you can expect until he declines. This completely changes how we look at young major leaguers.
  15. Stroman is clearly the best prospect IMO. He's shown so much more than Sanchez and it's not like he doesn't have some upside of his own. If he wasn't short, it probably wouldn't even be up for debate.
  16. He'll really feel like an idiot for trying to extort the Yankees if that happens. Everything about him spells trouble but at this point the Jays needs to put more wins on the field and worry about that other stuff later. As for the Reds, if the market is limited to teams not on his no trade that may force them to accept whatever they can from one of those teams. This could turn into an extreme buy low opportunity on a player that fits a need.
  17. I remember the BP guys talking him up in their podcasts. I don't think he ever rated very high on prospects lists but that's also a reflection of how deep the system was at the time. Thon just strikes me as a good example of a prospect that was easy to dream on because he was so far away and he received that big bonus which seemed indicative of upside. Sometimes it seeems like the Jays just automatically equate high risk with high upside but that's no less a fallacy than when the JPR regime seemed to associate low upside with low risk.
  18. What do you think are the odds Phillips waives his no trade clause to come to Toronto? I'd say it's roughly 0.0000000000001%.
  19. It's not just the ratio of pitchers to batters it's also the overwhelming proportion of low probability prospects. This list has D.J. Davis as the top position prospect. Davis may have tools, he may have upside but he also has bust written all over him. It's all low minors guys and toolsy guys. We've seen this show before. Dickie Thon Jr. is practically the poster boy for Jays position prospects. It's all projection and conjecture and no results.
  20. Definitely shouldn't have to give up a prospect for Uggla. I have looked at this scenario a few times and I just can't see it working out. Uggla is basically JPA but at 2B. Can't field the position, can't get on base. He has more of a track record but it's a hell of a risk to take. Even if he bounces back offensively, I'm not sure I could deal with his butchery at 2B.
  21. That team has like 90 million dollars to spend and it has much better depth in the middle infield and catcher. That team has crazy prospect depths. With all that money and that prospect depths, it should be possible to build a roster and do a way better job of it then what AA did.
  22. Boooooo. The Diamondback don't deserve Hudson.
  23. I have tickets to both game at the big O. I plan on standing up for any D'Arnaud or Syndergaard appearances.
  24. There are reasons to think D'Arnaud won't pan out and there are reasons to think it was the right time to move him. Whether or not that was AA's real motivation or whether he simply had tremendous faith in JPA is an open question. I don't entirely hate that AA traded D'Arnaud but I can't give him the benefit of the doubt that he did it for the right reasons. I strongly suspect that the reason AA had been shopping D'Arnaud around that off-season was that he made the commitment to JPA and thought he didn't need other catchers (D'Arnaud, Gomes). That's crazy if true but it's what I believe. I hate the commitment to JPA and I hate that Marlins trade, the Dickey trade I see as merely the logical extension of those two mistakes. If my interpretation is true, AA deserves to have both Gomes and D'Arnaud come back and haunt him.
  25. Sorry forgot your name. Thank you for making me appreciate the wisdom of TheRealMin.
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