KingKat
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Everything posted by KingKat
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This isn't so much about supporting A-Rod but rather pointing out the mixed motives at work. This does as much to reward the Yankees as it does to punish ARod. It also may tip the balance in the power share between players and owners. It's ARod's very unpopularity that facilitates these things.
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For the purposes of fantasy rankings, I would like rankings that are based on (Steamer or some composite mostly based on Steamer) that negatively adjusts for lower probabilities. I love the idea of taking my ego out of the equation alltogether and drafting based on projections but a probability adjustment is needed to make it work. Every year players with horrible floors get ranked quite high and I get burned by them.
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Abraham Lincoln was a good old man.
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He had finally started looking like a competent reliever. The starter conversion was a ridiculous reach. I'd stretch out Cecil and give him another shot before Jeffress.
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He's not a bad prospect by any stretch but I really think Urias is much better.
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There was just no way I wouldn't flip Sanchez. Prospects who aren't really showing it on the field really scrare me. I feel like the clock is ticking on him to really show what he can do. That doesn't mean he won't though. Spanky may have picked the perfect time to get him and his greater proximity to the majors is a plus. I have no problem with the trade from his perspective but I don't really way proximity to the majors as much as some do. Urias could be very close to a big gain in value, Sanchez could be close to a big downturn in value in which case proximity to the majors would be moot. I just look at how much I like the prospects as assetts. I don't worry about where and when they fit on my Major League roster.
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I like Urias a lot from an economic perspective. If he doesn't regress, he will take big leaps in turns of market value with every step. I also think the pick will go up in value as we get closer to the draft. There's a lot more speculative value than right now value in my end of the the trade which is why I'm probably the only one who makes this deal but when I make these kind of deals, I'm looking for the potential for a big win and I don't hedge with pieces that I think will be merely serviceable. I probably should go into full rebuild now that I've cashed in both Fielder and Lee. Lee in particular hurts because my pitching is nothing without him. I'm going to have no problem with the roster cut so I'll keep all my stars for now but after the cutoff, I'll definitely be listening on Ellsbury and Zimmerman and maybe others. I had a good run last year but the strength of the top teams in this league is such that there's incentive for me to invest in the future.
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I all depends on much faith you want to put in Ackley's 2nd half turnaround. Overall, his numbers were a bad as ever. But the splits break it down as extra terrible in the 1st and 800 OPS hitter in the 2nd. The later would be killer at 2B if it's for real but if the's the same old Ackley, you just gave up Janssen just for salary relief. I think the Mariners will prefer to find out for themselves then trade Ackley just as he looks like he's coming around. Fair trade on paper but I think the Mariners pass.
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Not necessarily. The Yankees may have already commited this money. They've had a big offseason. It seems like their plans was to not get caught with their pants down if Tanaka wasn't posted. I'm not so sure they're still in it.
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It has the best track record of all the projection systems so if it's crap, they're all crap (which is probably what you believe anyways but I thought I would clear that up).
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I would much rather Seitzer spend the bulk of his time trying to tap in to whatever untapped potential Lawrie might still have than trying to find potential in Goins. -
http://www.hark.com/clips/gwxgvcwfqx-short-drum-roll-with-cymbal-crash
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The one and only Masahiro Tanaka posting and bidding thread
KingKat replied to SAAviour's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
The team hedges so it would take awhile to have an effect. -
Buehrle is a master at his craft, specifically pitching, but he is not a master at pitch selection. Because it's so important to him to work fast he always goes with the first sign no matter what it is. It would be interesting to break down his numbers a little more to see if he was indeed throwing too many fastballs during his early season struggles. If he was, it's because that's what JPA was calling.
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Or to put it another way, the only time you can be over 12 minor leaguers is between the off-season and the roster cut-off and the only way you can put yourself in that scenario is if you intentionally put yourself in it through trades. I guess that's why this didn't really register with me.
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What? I though we didn't cut minor leaguers until June before the draft?
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Isn't the minor league cutoff like really far away?
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The one and only Masahiro Tanaka posting and bidding thread
KingKat replied to SAAviour's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Yeah... It's hard not to be a cold hard realist when you've been rooting for the Jays for any length of time. -
lol
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The one and only Masahiro Tanaka posting and bidding thread
KingKat replied to SAAviour's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Nice to have something to get optimistic about. I hate that every team you criticize this team, some idiot thinks you're against positivity. Except for maybe the most extreme troll, everyone here would love to see the team win. It's just that different people have different thresholds for optimism. The Kawasaki signing was a good move too independantly of any role he could play in recruiting Tanaka. It at least assured the team of a certain floor at the 2B position if Goins doesn't work out. -
I think he's basically Piazza if he sticks at catcher but it's not like I really know. It seems way to esotheric for a mathematical formula to be able to devise either (you wouldn't really have any data to work with for one thing) so who knows?
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The one and only Masahiro Tanaka posting and bidding thread
KingKat replied to SAAviour's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I have been skeptical that this would happen but I'm starting to come around. If Rogers is worried about the marketability of the team then Tanaka makes sense as a much more buzz-worthy move than any other signing. It's a bit of a desperation play but it definitely would help the team on the field as well. It's pretty much the only move that can create something like a comparable splash to the one they made last year. In strict baseball terms, I really hate the stars and scrubs approach where you sign a big name and leave one of your biggest holes (2B) practically unaddressed but after what we saw last year, it's not really realistic to expect a more balanced approach. Inneficiency be damned, I'll take any reason for optimism at this point. I'll get on this bandwagon. -
I don't know if this was ever truly in the cards but you can you imagine his Hall of Fame candidacy if he had stuck at catcher? He would have way more perceived value a a below average defensive catcher than a below average 1B.
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I liked the way he talked about his work with Gordon. Makes me wonder what he might have been able to do with Snider.
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Works on so many levels.
